ORCID Profile
0000-0002-1916-9450
Current Organisations
Australian Water Partnership
,
University of Oxford
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Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 29-07-2020
DOI: 10.1007/S10113-020-01681-Y
Abstract: Bangladesh is one of the most climate-sensitive countries globally, creating significant challenges for future development. Here we apply an integrated assessment model — Delta Dynamic Integrated Emulator Model (ΔDIEM) — to the south-west coastal zone of Bangladesh to explore the outcomes of four contrasting and plausible development trajectories under different climate and socio-economic scenarios: (1) embankment rehabilitation (2) build elevation via controlled sedimentation (3) planned migration (managed retreat) and (4) ‘do nothing’ (unplanned migration and abandonment). Embankment rehabilitation reduces flood risk, but at a high economic cost and enhancing waterlogging. Planned and unplanned migration combined with limited infrastructure management and governance both result in significant abandonment. Building elevation through sedimentation has the potential for increased environmental and economic sustainability but raises equity issues. Poverty and inequality persist across all scenarios, and outmigration from the coastal zone continues, although the magnitude is sensitive to assumptions about sea-level rise, socio-economic development and development trajectory. Integrated assessment tools linking the environment, people and policy choices, such as the ΔDIEM used here, highlight the complex interactions occurring in a dynamic delta environment. Such analysis supports informed management, development and adaptation.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 24-02-2022
Publisher: MDPI AG
Date: 25-11-2019
DOI: 10.3390/W11122480
Abstract: We reflect on methodologies to support integrated river basin planning for the Ayeyarwady Basin in Myanmar, and the Kamala Basin in Nepal, to which we contributed from 2017 to 2019. The principles of Integrated Water Resources Management have been promoted across states and regions with markedly different biophysical and political economic conditions. IWRM-based river basin planning is complex, resource intensive, and aspirational. It deserves scrutiny to improve process and outcome legitimacy. We focus on the value of co-production and deliberation in IWRM. Among our findings: (i) multi-stakeholder participation can be complicated by competition between actors for resources and legitimacy (ii) despite such challenges, multi-stakeholder deliberative approaches can empower actors and can be an effective means for co-producing knowledge (iii) tensions between (rational choice and co-productive) models of decision complicate participatory deliberative planning. Our experience suggests that a commitment to co-productive decision-making fosters socially legitimate IWRM outcomes.
Publisher: Springer International Publishing
Date: 2018
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 08-2019
Publisher: Royal Society of Chemistry (RSC)
Date: 2015
DOI: 10.1039/C4EM00616J
Abstract: This study investigates the potential impacts of future climate and socio-economic change on the flow and nitrogen fluxes of the Ganga river system.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 09-2016
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 02-2022
DOI: 10.1016/J.SCITOTENV.2021.150512
Abstract: Deltas are experiencing profound demographic, economic and land use changes and human-induced catchment and climate change. Bangladesh exemplifies these difficulties through multiple climate risks including subsidence/sea-level rise, temperature rise, and changing precipitation patterns, as well as changing management of the Ganges and Brahmaputra catchments. There is a growing population and economy driving numerous more local changes, while dense rural population and poverty remain significant. Identifying appropriate policy and planning responses is extremely difficult in these circumstances. This paper adopts a participatory scenario development process incorporating both socio-economic and biophysical elements across multiple scales and sectors as part of an integrated assessment of ecosystem services and livelihoods in coastal Bangladesh. Rather than simply downscale global perspectives, the analysis was driven by a large and erse stakeholder group who met with the researchers over four years as the assessment was designed, implemented and applied. There were four main stages: (A) establish meta-framework for the analysis (B) develop qualitative scenarios of key trends (C) translate these scenarios into quantitative form for the integrated assessment model analysis and (D) a review of the model results, which raises new stakeholder insights (e.g., preferred adaptation and policy responses) and questions. Step D can be repeated leading to an iterative learning loop cycle, and the process can potentially be ongoing. The strong and structured process of stakeholder engagement gave strong local ownership of the scenarios and the wider process. This process can be generalised for widespread application across socio-ecological systems following the same four-stage approach. It demands sustained engagement with stakeholders and hence needs to be linked to a long-term research process. However, it facilitates a more credible foundation for planning especially where there are multiple interacting factors.
Publisher: Springer International Publishing
Date: 2018
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 2019
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 12-2014
Publisher: Royal Society of Chemistry (RSC)
Date: 2015
DOI: 10.1039/C4EM00619D
Abstract: The potential impacts of climate change and socio-economic change on flow and water quality in rivers worldwide is a key area of interest.
Publisher: Springer International Publishing
Date: 2018
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 18-03-2019
DOI: 10.1002/JOC.5931
Location: Australia
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
No related grants have been discovered for Emily Barbour.