ORCID Profile
0000-0002-4599-6468
Current Organisation
Indian Institute of Technology Kanpur
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Agricultural Production Systems Simulation | Crop and Pasture Production not elsewhere classified | Agricultural Systems Analysis and Modelling | Crop and Pasture Production
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 10-12-2007
DOI: 10.1111/J.1365-3040.2007.01772.X
Abstract: Physiological and genetic studies of leaf growth often focus on short-term responses, leaving a gap to whole-plant models that predict biomass accumulation, transpiration and yield at crop scale. To bridge this gap, we developed a model that combines an existing model of leaf 6 expansion in response to short-term environmental variations with a model coordinating the development of all leaves of a plant. The latter was based on: (1) rates of leaf initiation, appearance and end of elongation measured in field experiments and (2) the hypothesis of an independence of the growth between leaves. The resulting whole-plant leaf model was integrated into the generic crop model APSIM which provided dynamic feedback of environmental conditions to the leaf model and allowed simulation of crop growth at canopy level. The model was tested in 12 field situations with contrasting temperature, evaporative demand and soil water status. In observed and simulated data, high evaporative demand reduced leaf area at the whole-plant level, and short water deficits affected only leaves developing during the stress, either visible or still hidden in the whorl. The model adequately simulated whole-plant profiles of leaf area with a single set of parameters that applied to the same hybrid in all experiments. It was also suitable to predict biomass accumulation and yield of a similar hybrid grown in different conditions. This model extends to field conditions existing knowledge of the environmental controls of leaf elongation, and can be used to simulate how their genetic controls flow through to yield.
Publisher: CSIRO Publishing
Date: 05-03-2021
DOI: 10.1071/FP20309
Abstract: Ground coverage (GC) allows monitoring of crop growth and development and is normally estimated as the ratio of vegetation to the total pixels from nadir images captured by visible-spectrum (RGB) cameras. The accuracy of estimated GC can be significantly impacted by the effect of ‘mixed pixels’, which is related to the spatial resolution of the imagery as determined by flight altitude, camera resolution and crop characteristics (fine vs coarse textures). In this study, a two-step machine learning method was developed to improve the accuracy of GC of wheat (Triticum aestivum L.) estimated from coarse-resolution RGB images captured by an unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) at higher altitudes. The classification tree-based per-pixel segmentation (PPS) method was first used to segment fine-resolution reference images into vegetation and background pixels. The reference and their segmented images were degraded to the target coarse spatial resolution. These degraded images were then used to generate a training dataset for a regression tree-based model to establish the sub-pixel classification (SPC) method. The newly proposed method (i.e. PPS-SPC) was evaluated with six synthetic and four real UAV image sets (SISs and RISs, respectively) with different spatial resolutions. Overall, the results demonstrated that the PPS-SPC method obtained higher accuracy of GC in both SISs and RISs comparing to PPS method, with root mean squared errors (RMSE) of less than 6% and relative RMSE (RRMSE) of less than 11% for SISs, and RMSE of less than 5% and RRMSE of less than 35% for RISs. The proposed PPS-SPC method can be potentially applied in plant breeding and precision agriculture to balance accuracy requirement and UAV flight height in the limited battery life and operation time.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 23-09-2015
DOI: 10.1111/GCB.13022
Abstract: Characterization of drought environment types (ETs) has proven useful for breeding crops for drought-prone regions. Here, we consider how changes in climate and atmospheric carbon dioxide (CO2 ) concentrations will affect drought ET frequencies in sorghum and wheat systems of northeast Australia. We also modify APSIM (the Agricultural Production Systems Simulator) to incorporate extreme heat effects on grain number and weight, and then evaluate changes in the occurrence of heat-induced yield losses of more than 10%, as well as the co-occurrence of drought and heat. More than six million simulations spanning representative locations, soil types, management systems, and 33 climate projections led to three key findings. First, the projected frequency of drought decreased slightly for most climate projections for both sorghum and wheat, but for different reasons. In sorghum, warming exacerbated drought stresses by raising the atmospheric vapor pressure deficit and reducing transpiration efficiency (TE), but an increase in TE due to elevated CO2 more than offset these effects. In wheat, warming reduced drought stress during spring by hastening development through winter and reducing exposure to terminal drought. Elevated CO2 increased TE but also raised radiation-use efficiency and overall growth rates and water use, thereby offsetting much of the drought reduction from warming. Second, adding explicit effects of heat on grain number and grain size often switched projected yield impacts from positive to negative. Finally, although average yield losses associated with drought will remain generally higher than that for heat stress for the next half century, the relative importance of heat is steadily growing. This trend, as well as the likely high degree of genetic variability in heat tolerance, suggests that more emphasis on heat tolerance is warranted in breeding programs. At the same time, work on drought tolerance should continue with an emphasis on drought that co-occurs with extreme heat.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 12-2015
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 15-10-2011
DOI: 10.1093/JXB/ERQ311
Abstract: Theoretical considerations suggest that wheat yield potential could be increased by up to 50% through the genetic improvement of radiation use efficiency (RUE). However, to achieve agronomic impacts, structural and reproductive aspects of the crop must be improved in parallel. A Wheat Yield Consortium (WYC) has been convened that fosters linkage between ongoing research platforms in order to develop a cohesive portfolio of activities that will maximize the probability of impact in farmers' fields. Attempts to increase RUE will focus on improving the performance and regulation of Rubisco, introduction of C(4)-like traits such as CO(2)-concentrating mechanisms, improvement of light interception, and improvement of photosynthesis at the spike and whole canopy levels. For extra photo-assimilates to translate into increased grain yield, reproductive aspects of growth must be tailored to a range of agro-ecosystems to ensure that stable expression of a high harvest index (HI) is achieved. Adequate partitioning among plant organs will be critical to achieve favourable expression of HI, and to ensure that plants with heavier grain have strong enough stems and roots to avoid lodging. Trait-based hybridization strategies will aim to achieve their simultaneous expression in elite agronomic backgrounds, and wide crossing will be employed to augment genetic ersity where needed for ex le, to introduce traits for improving RUE from wild species or C(4) crops. Genomic selection approaches will be employed, especially for difficult-to-phenotype traits. Genome-wide selection will be evaluated and is likely to complement crossing of complex but complementary traits by identifying favourable allele combinations among progeny. Products will be delivered to national wheat programmes worldwide via well-established international nursery systems and are expected to make a significant contribution to global food security.
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Date: 23-10-2018
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 25-11-2017
DOI: 10.1093/JXB/ERX368
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 16-04-2010
DOI: 10.1093/JXB/ERQ095
Abstract: Progress in molecular plant breeding is limited by the ability to predict plant phenotype based on its genotype, especially for complex adaptive traits. Suitably constructed crop growth and development models have the potential to bridge this predictability gap. A generic cereal crop growth and development model is outlined here. It is designed to exhibit reliable predictive skill at the crop level while also introducing sufficient physiological rigour for complex phenotypic responses to become emergent properties of the model dynamics. The approach quantifies capture and use of radiation, water, and nitrogen within a framework that predicts the realized growth of major organs based on their potential and whether the supply of carbohydrate and nitrogen can satisfy that potential. The model builds on existing approaches within the APSIM software platform. Experiments on erse genotypes of sorghum that underpin the development and testing of the adapted crop model are detailed. Genotypes differing in height were found to differ in biomass partitioning among organs and a tall hybrid had significantly increased radiation use efficiency: a novel finding in sorghum. Introducing these genetic effects associated with plant height into the model generated emergent simulated phenotypic differences in green leaf area retention during grain filling via effects associated with nitrogen dynamics. The relevance to plant breeding of this capability in complex trait dissection and simulation is discussed.
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Date: 2022
Abstract: High-throughput phenotyping has become the frontier to accelerate breeding through linking genetics to crop growth estimation, which requires accurate estimation of leaf area index (LAI). This study developed a hybrid method to train the random forest regression (RFR) models with synthetic datasets generated by a radiative transfer model to estimate LAI from UAV-based multispectral images. The RFR models were evaluated on both (i) subsets from the synthetic datasets and (ii) observed data from two field experiments (i.e., Exp16, Exp19). Given the parameter ranges and soil reflectance are well calibrated in synthetic training data, RFR models can accurately predict LAI from canopy reflectance captured in field conditions, with systematic overestimation for LAI due to background effect, which can be addressed by applying background correction on original reflectance map based on vegetation-background classification. Overall, RFR models achieved accurate LAI prediction from background-corrected reflectance for Exp16 (correlation coefficient ( r ) of 0.95, determination coefficient ( R 2 ) of 0.90~0.91, root mean squared error (RMSE) of 0.36~0.40 m 2 m -2 , relative root mean squared error (RRMSE) of 25~28%) and less accurate for Exp19 ( r =0.80~0.83, R 2 = 0.63~0.69, RMSE of 0.84~0.86 m 2 m -2 , RRMSE of 30~31%). Additionally, RFR models correctly captured spatiotemporal variation of observed LAI as well as identified variations for different growing stages and treatments in terms of genotypes and management practices (i.e., planting density, irrigation, and fertilization) for two experiments. The developed hybrid method allows rapid, accurate, nondestructive phenotyping of the dynamics of LAI during vegetative growth to facilitate assessments of growth rate including in breeding program assessments.
Publisher: IEEE
Date: 07-2018
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 2003
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 11-01-2022
DOI: 10.1111/GCBB.12919
Abstract: Regional‐scale estimations of sorghum biomass production allow identification of optimum genotype×environment×management (G×E×M) combinations for bioenergy generation. The objective of this study was to determine the degree of contributions of G, E, and M toward variability in sorghum biomass in the United States. Using the Agricultural Production Systems sIMulator in a grid computing platform, biomass was simulated for irrigated and rainfed conditions for 30 years across the United States for four sorghum varietal types (grain—GS, sudangrass—SS, photosensitive—PS, and photo‐insensitive—PI). Simulated biomass was assessed by environments clustered using the sum of intercepted solar radiation ( ir ), mean of temperature stress factor ( tp ) and water stress factor ( sw ). Simulated biomass ranged from 5.8 t ha −1 (GS‐rainfed) to 27.5 t ha −1 (PI‐irrigated). Under high‐temperature environments (mean annual temperature = 25°C), rainfed biomass between 40 and 80 days after planting (DAP) was strongly correlated with sw ( r = 0.64–0.86) and irrigated biomass with ir ( r = 0.68–0.81). Under low‐temperature environments (mean annual temperature = 18°C) after 40 DAP, tp and ir had greater effects than sw ( r = 0.55–0.82). Biomass variance was mainly explained by varietal type (50%–76%) in all environments×irrigation combinations, except in the high‐ and mid‐temperature environments under rainfed conditions where rainfall had the major effect (25%–45%). However, when mean temperature during the growing season decreased from 25°C (high environments) to 18°C (low environments), the contribution of mean temperature to biomass variance increased from 7% to 34% (rainfed) and from 4% to 36% (irrigated). Varietal type had the larger interactions with other factors independently of the environment and irrigation. We demonstrated a need to quantify (i) the main G×E×M drivers of biomass variability based on environmental stress factors and (ii) the variance contribution of these drivers on sorghum biomass. Our regional‐scale estimations are key inputs for future robust biomass projections of energy sorghum genotypes integrating G×E×M under climate change scenarios.
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 12-2009
DOI: 10.1534/GENETICS.109.105429
Abstract: Under drought, substantial genotype–environment (G × E) interactions impede breeding progress for yield. Identifying genetic controls associated with yield response is confounded by poor genetic correlations across testing environments. Part of this problem is related to our inability to account for the interplay of genetic controls, physiological traits, and environmental conditions throughout the crop cycle. We propose a modeling approach to bridge this “gene-to-phenotype” gap. For maize under drought, we simulated the impact of quantitative trait loci (QTL) controlling two key processes (leaf and silk elongation) that influence crop growth, water use, and grain yield. Substantial G × E interaction for yield was simulated for hypothetical recombinant inbred lines (RILs) across different seasonal patterns of drought. QTL that accelerated leaf elongation caused an increase in crop leaf area and yield in well-watered or preflowering water deficit conditions, but a reduction in yield under terminal stresses (as such “leafy” genotypes prematurely exhausted the water supply). The QTL impact on yield was substantially enhanced by including pleiotropic effects of these QTL on silk elongation and on consequent grain set. The simulations obtained illustrated the difficulty of interpreting the genetic control of yield for genotypes influenced only by the additive effects of QTL associated with leaf and silk growth. The results highlight the potential of integrative simulation modeling for gene-to-phenotype prediction and for exploiting G × E interactions for complex traits such as drought tolerance.
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 18-12-2017
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Date: 09-07-2019
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 07-1993
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 08-2019
Publisher: CSIRO Publishing
Date: 2013
DOI: 10.1071/FP12193
Abstract: Atmospheric CO2 levels have increased from ~280 ppm in the pre-industrial era to 391 ppm in 2012. High CO2 concentrations stimulate photosynthesis in C3 plants such as wheat, but large variations have been reported in the literature in the response of yield and other traits to elevated CO2 (eCO2). Few studies have investigated genotypic variation within a species to address issues related to breeding for specific adaptation to eCO2. The objective of this study was to determine the response to eCO2 of 20 wheat lines which were chosen for their contrasting expression in tillering propensity, water soluble carbohydrate (WSC) accumulation in the stem, early vigour and transpiration efficiency. Experiments were performed in control environment chambers and in a glasshouse with CO2 levels controlled at either 420 ppm (local ambient) or 700 ppm (elevated). The results showed no indication of a differential response to eCO2 for any of these lines and adaptive traits were expressed in a consistent manner in ambient and elevated CO2 environments. This implies that for these traits, breeders could expect consistent rankings in the future, assuming these results are validated under field conditions. Additional climate change impacts related to drought and high temperature are also expected to interact with these traits such that genotype rankings may differ from the unstressed condition.
Publisher: Cold Spring Harbor Laboratory
Date: 03-02-2021
DOI: 10.1101/2021.02.02.429471
Abstract: A major challenge for the estimation of crop traits (biophysical variables) from canopy reflectance is the creation of a high-quality training dataset. This can be addressed by using radiative transfer models (RTMs) to generate training dataset representing "real-world" data in situations with varying crop types and growth status as well as various observation configurations. However, this approach can lead to "ill-posed" problems related to assumptions in the s ling strategy and due to uncertainty in the model, resulting in unsatisfactory inversion results for retrieval of target variables. In order to address this problem, this research investigates a practical way to generate higher quality "synthetic" training data by integrating a crop growth model (CGM, in this case APSIM) with an RTM (in this case PROSAIL). This allows control of uncertainties of the RTM by imposing biological constraints on distribution and co-distribution of related variables. Subsequently, the method was theoretically validated on two types of synthetic dataset generated by PROSAIL or the coupling of APSIM and PROSAIL through comparing estimation precision for leaf area index (LAI), leaf chlorophyll content (Cab), leaf dry matter (Cm) and leaf water content (Cw). Additionally, the capabilities of current deep learning techniques using high spectral resolution hyperspectral data were investigated. The main findings include: (1) Feedforward neural network (FFNN) provided with appropriate configuration is a promising technique to retrieve crop traits from input features consisting of 1 nm-wide hyperspectral bands across 400-2500 nm range and observation configuration (solar and viewing angles), leading to a precise joint estimation for LAI (RMSE=0.061 m2 m-2), Cab (RMSE=1.42 μg cm-2), Cm (RMSE=0.000176 g cm-2) and Cw (RMSE=0.000319 g cm-2) (2) For the aim of model simplification, a narrower range in 400-1100 nm without observation configuration in input of FFNN model provided less precise estimation for LAI (RMSE=0.087 m2 m-2), Cab (RMSE=1.92 μg cm-2), Cm (RMSE=0.000299 g cm-2) and Cw (RMSE=0.001271 g cm-2) (3) The introduction of biological constraints in training datasets improved FFNN model performance in both average precision and stability, resulting in a much accurate estimation for LAI (RMSE=0.006 m2 m-2), Cab (RMSE=0.45 μg cm-2), Cm (RMSE=0.000039 g cm-2) and Cw (RMSE=0.000072 g cm-2), and this improvement could be further increased by enriching s le ersity in training dataset.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 06-01-2006
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 04-2018
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 12-2002
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 06-04-2022
DOI: 10.1093/JXB/ERAC144
Abstract: Increasing grain number through fine-tuning duration of the late reproductive phase (LRP terminal spikelet to anthesis) without altering anthesis time has been proposed as a genetic strategy to increase yield potential (YP) of wheat. Here we conducted a modelling analysis to evaluate the potential of fine-tuning LRP in raising YP in irrigated mega-environments. Using the known optimal anthesis and sowing date of current elite benchmark genotypes, we applied a gene-based phenology model for long-term simulations of phenological stages and yield-related variables of all potential germplasm with the same duration to anthesis as the benchmark genotypes. These erse genotypes had the same duration to anthesis but varying LRP duration. Lengthening LRP increased YP and harvest index by increasing grain number to some extent and an excessively long LRP reduced YP due to reduced time for canopy construction for high biomass production of pre-anthesis phase. The current elite genotypes could have their LRP extended for higher YP in most sites. Genotypes with a ratio of the duration of LRP to pre-anthesis phase of about 0.42 ensured high yields (≥95% of YP) with their optimal sowing and anthesis dates. Optimization of intermediate growth stages could be further evaluated in breeding programmes to improve YP.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 10-2018
Publisher: CSIRO Publishing
Date: 2014
DOI: 10.1071/CP14088
Abstract: Climatic variability in dryland production environments (E) generates variable yield and crop production risks. Optimal combinations of genotype (G) and management (M) depend strongly on E and thus vary among sites and seasons. Traditional crop improvement seeks broadly adapted genotypes to give best average performance under a standard management regime across the entire production region, with some subsequent manipulation of management regionally in response to average local environmental conditions. This process does not search the full spectrum of potential G × M × E combinations forming the adaptation landscape. Here we examine the potential value (relative to the conventional, broad adaptation approach) of exploiting specific adaptation arising from G × M × E. We present an in-silico analysis for sorghum production in Australia using the APSIM sorghum model. Crop design (G × M) is optimised for subsets of locations within the production region (specific adaptation) and is compared with the optimum G across all environments with locally modified M (broad adaptation). We find that geographic subregions that have frequencies of major environment types substantially different from that for the entire production region show greatest advantage for specific adaptation. Although the specific adaptation approach confers yield and production risk advantages at industry scale, even greater benefits should be achievable with better predictors of environment-type likelihood than that conferred by location alone.
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 30-06-2022
DOI: 10.1093/JXB/ERAC291
Abstract: A major challenge for the estimation of crop traits (biophysical variables) from canopy reflectance is the creation of a high-quality training dataset. To address this problem, this research investigated a conceptual framework by integrating a crop growth model with a radiative transfer model to introduce biological constraints in a synthetic training dataset. In addition to the comparison of two datasets without and with biological constraints, we also investigated the effects of observation geometry, retrieval method, and wavelength range on estimation accuracy of four crop traits (leaf area index, leaf chlorophyll content, leaf dry matter, and leaf water content) of wheat. The theoretical analysis demonstrated potential advantages of adding biological constraints in synthetic training datasets as well as the capability of deep learning. Additionally, the predictive models were validated on real unmanned aerial vehicle-based multispectral images collected from wheat plots contrasting in canopy structure. The predictive model trained over a synthetic dataset with biological constraints enabled the prediction of leaf water content from using wavelengths in the visible to near infrared range based on the correlations between crop traits. Our findings presented the potential of the proposed conceptual framework in simultaneously retrieving multiple crop traits from canopy reflectance for applications in precision agriculture and plant breeding.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 03-2017
DOI: 10.1002/CSC2.20110
Abstract: Climate risks pervade agriculture and generate major consequences on crop production. We do not know what the next season will be like, let alone the season 30 years hence. Yet farmers need to decide on g enotype and m anagement (G×M) combinations in advance of the season and in the face of this e nvironment risk. Beyond that, breeders must target traits for future genotypes up to 10 years ahead of their release. Here we present the case for next generation design of G×M×E for crop adaptation in future climates. We focus on adaptation to drought and high‐temperature shock in sorghum [ Sorghum bicolor (L.) Moench] in Australia, but the concepts are generic. The considerable knowledge of climate, both past and future, gives us insight into climate variability and trends. We know that CO 2 and temperature are increasing, and this influences drought and high‐temperature risks for crops. We also have considerable knowledge of crop growth and development responses to CO 2 , drought, and high temperature that have been integrated into advanced crop simulation models. Here we explore by simulation the design of crops best suited to current and future environments. A yield–risk framework is used to identify adapted G×M combinations. The results in this case study indicate the urgent need for high‐temperature tolerance to effects on seed set. Further, existing approaches to G×M for effective use of water through the crop cycle will not be adequate to maintain productivity once global warming of ∼2°C is reached. Improvement in transpiration efficiency offered the avenue with best potential for advancing adaptation relevant to future climates.
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Date: 08-09-2017
Publisher: Water Science Policy gUG
Date: 15-12-2021
DOI: 10.53014/HDDJ2412
Abstract: Looking back on COP26, we argue that there is power in telling stories about adaptation to water-related climate change impacts in Australia and the Pacific.
Start Date: 04-2021
End Date: 03-2025
Amount: $638,000.00
Funder: Australian Research Council
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