ORCID Profile
0000-0001-8449-3081
Current Organisations
Australian National University
,
Open University
,
Curtin University
,
Inlecom Commercial Pathways
,
University of Cambridge
,
University of New England
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Publications
Application of GNSS-RTK derived topographical maps for rapid environmental monitoring: A case study of Jack Finnery Lake (Perth, Australia)
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 07-12-2011
Spectral finite element approach to postseismic deformation in a viscoelastic self-gravitating spherical Earth
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 03-2009
On the suitability of the 4°×4° GRACE mascon solutions for remote sensing Australian hydrology
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 03-2011
Modeling the dynamic component of the geoid and topography of Venus
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 30-11-2006
DOI: 10.1029/2005JE002511
Assessing earthquake early warning using sparse networks in developing countries: Case study of the Kyrgyz republic
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Date: 20-09-2017
Multi-risk approach and urban resilience
Publisher: Emerald
Date: 11-04-2016
DOI: 10.1108/IJDRBE-03-2015-0013
Abstract: Urban resilience is becoming increasingly important due to increasing degree of urbanization and a combination of several factors affecting urban vulnerability. Urban resilience is also understood as a capacity of a system to prepare, respond and recover from multi-hazard threats. The purpose of multi-risk approach (MRA) is to take into consideration interdependencies between multiple risks, which can trigger a chain of natural and manmade events with different spatial and temporal scales. The purpose of this study is to understand correlation between multi-risk approach and urban resilience. To increase urban resilience, MRA should also include multi-risk governance, which is based on understanding how existing institutional and governance structures, in idual judgments and communication of risk assessment results shape decision-making processes. This paper is based on extensive fieldwork in the test studies of Naples, Italy and Guadeloupe, France, the historical case study analysis and the stakeholders’ interviews, workshops and focus groups discussions. Multi-risk is a relatively new field in science, only partially developed in social and geosciences. The originality of this research is in establishment of a link between MRA, including both assessment and governance, and urban resilience. In this paper, the authors take a holistic and systemic look at the MRA, including all stages of knowledge generation and decision-making. Both, knowledge generation and decision-making are reinforced by behavioural biases, different perceptions and institutional factors. Further on, the authors develop recommendations on how an MRA can contribute to urban resilience.
Multi-hazard fragility analysis for fluvial dikes in earthquake- A nd flood-prone areas
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 12-09-2003
DOI: 10.5194/NHESS-18-2345-2018
Abstract: Abstract. The paper presents a methodology for the multi-hazard fragility analysis of fluvial earthen dikes in earthquake- and flood-prone areas due to liquefaction. The methodology has been applied for the area along the Rhine River reach and adjacent floodplains between the gauges at Andernach and Düsseldorf. Along this domain, the urban areas are partly protected by dikes, which may be prone to failure during exceptional floods and/or earthquakes. The fragility of the earthen dikes is analysed in terms of liquefaction potential, characterized by the factor of safety estimated using the procedure of Seed and Idriss (1971). Uncertainties in the geometrical and geotechnical dike parameters are considered in a Monte Carlo simulation (MCS). Failure probability of the earthen structures is presented in the form of a fragility surface as a function of both seismic hazard and hydrologic/hydraulic load.
The lithosphere–asthenosphere boundary in the North-West Atlantic region
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 07-2005
Bridging the gap between seismology and engineering: Towards real-time damage assessment
Publisher: Springer International Publishing
Date: 2018
A three-level framework for multi-risk assessment
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 03-04-2015
Effects of uncertainties in the geothermal heat flux distribution on the Greenland Ice Sheet: An assessment of existing heat flow models
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 22-05-2012
DOI: 10.1029/2011JF002098
Abstract: This study analyzes the uncertainties in the models of the Greenland Ice Sheet (GIS) that arise from ill‐constrained geothermal heat flux (GHF) distribution. Within the context of dynamic GIS modeling, we consider the following questions: (i) What is the significance of the differences between the existing GHF models for the GIS modeling studies? (ii) How well does the modeled GIS controlled by the GHF models agree with the observational data? (iii) What are the relative contributions of uncertainties in GHF and climate forcing to the misfit between the observed and modeled present‐day GIS? The results of paleoclimatic simulations suggest that differences in the GHF models have a major effect on the history and resulting present‐day state of the GIS. The ice sheet model controlled by any of these GHF forcings reproduces the observed GIS state to only a limited degree and fails to reproduce either the topography or the low basal temperatures measured in southern Greenland. By contrast, the simulation controlled by a simple spatially uniform GHF forcing results in a considerably better fit with the observations, raising questions about the use of the three GHF models within the framework of GIS modeling. Sensitivity tests reveal that the misfit between the modeled and measured temperatures in central Greenland is mostly due to inaccurate GHF and Wisconsin precipitation forcings. The failure of the ice sheet model in southern Greenland, however, is mainly caused by inaccuracies in the surface temperature forcing and the generally overestimated GHF values suggested by all GHF models.
On the long-term memory of the Greenland ice sheet
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 26-02-2011
DOI: 10.1029/2010JF001787
Upper atmosphere semidiurnal tides at Christchurch (44°S) and Scott Base (78°S)
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 07-1995
Geoid displacement about Greenland resulting from past and present-day mass changes in the Greenland Ice Sheet
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 03-2004
DOI: 10.1029/2004GL019469
Multi-Risk Assessment and Governance
Publisher: WORLD SCIENTIFIC
Date: 24-07-2017
Multi-hazard and multi-risk decision-support tools as a part of participatory risk governance: Feedback from civil protection stakeholders
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 06-2014
Evaluating the TRMM 3B43 monthly precipitation product using gridded raingauge data over Australia
Publisher: Bureau of Meteorology, Australia
Date: 09-2011
DOI: 10.22499/2.6103.003
Wireless technologies for the monitoring of strategic civil infrastructures: an ambient vibration test on the Fatih Sultan Mehmet Suspension Bridge in Istanbul, Turkey
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 12-06-2009
Regional ice-mass changes and glacial-isostatic adjustment in Antarctica from GRACE
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 30-12-2007
Wiener optimal combination and evaluation of the Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) gravity fields over Antarctica
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 04-2007
DOI: 10.1029/2006JB004605
GPS measurements of crustal uplift near Jakobshavn Isbræ due to glacial ice mass loss
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 16-09-2010
DOI: 10.1029/2010JB007490
A wireless mesh sensing network for early warning
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 03-2012
Modelling the mass balance of northwest Spitsbergen glaciers and responses to climate change
Publisher: International Glaciological Society
Date: 1997
DOI: 10.3189/S0260305500012180
Abstract: An energy-balance model is used to calculate mass balance and equilibrium-line altitudes (ELAs) on two northwest Spitsbergen glaciers, Austre Brøggerbreen and Midre Lovénbreen, whose mass balances are at present negative, and for which greater than 20 year records of mass-balance data are available. The model takes meteorological data, ice-mass area distribution with altitude, and solar radiation as inputs. Modelling uses mean daily meteorological data from a nearby weather station, adjusted for altitude. Average net balances modelled for 1980–89 using models tuned to the decade’s average were –0.44 and –0.47 m w.e. for Lovénbreen and Brøggerbreen, respectively, compared with the measured averages of –0.27 and –0.36 m. Sensitivity tests on glacier response to greenhouse warming predict a net balance change of –0.61 m year –1 per °C temperature rise relative to today, and a rise in ELA of 90 m °C –1 . Modelling of Little lee Age conditions in Spitsbergen suggests that a 0.6°C cooling or a precipitation increase of 23% would yield zero net mass balance for Lovénbreen and that further cooling would increase net balance by 0.30 m year –1 °C –1 . Set in the context of similar modelling of southern Norwegian, Alpine and Greenland ice masses, these results support the suggestion that glaciers with a maritime influence (i.e. higher accumulation) are most sensitive to climate change, implying a gradient towards decreasing sensitivity as accumulation decreases eastward and with altitude in Svalbard.
Wiener optimal filtering of GRACE data
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 10-2006
Constraints on the Greenland Ice Sheet since the Last Glacial Maximum from sea-level observations and glacial-rebound models
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 05-2004
Perspectives on global dynamic exposure modelling for geo-risk assessment
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 25-06-2017
A generalized zero-lag cross-correlation approach for Rapid Earthquake Localization (REL): the example of the Istanbul Megacity Rapid Response System
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 17-03-2011
Contemporary changes in the geoid about Greenland: Predictions relevant to gravity space missions
Publisher: Springer-Verlag
Date: 2005
The Self-organizing Seismic Early Warning Information Network (SOSEWIN)
Publisher: Seismological Society of America (SSA)
Date: 09-2009
Understanding the decline of water storage across the Ramser-Lake Naivasha using satellite-based methods
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 10-2013
Assessing policy preferences amongst climate change adaptation and disaster risk reduction stakeholders using serious gaming
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 12-2020
Comparing the version 7 TRMM 3B43 monthly precipitation product with the TRMM 3B43 version 6/6A and Bureau of Meteorology datasets for Australia
Publisher: Bureau of Meteorology, Australia
Date: 09-2013
DOI: 10.22499/2.6303.007
The multi-parameter wireless sensing system (MPwise): Its description and application to earthquake risk mitigation
Publisher: MDPI AG
Date: 20-10-2017
DOI: 10.3390/S17102400
Geodetic measurements reveal similarities between post–Last Glacial Maximum and present-day mass loss from the Greenland ice sheet
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Date: 02-09-2016
Abstract: Present destabilization of marine-based sectors in Greenland may increase sea level for centuries to come.
The effect of melting land-based ice masses on sea-level around the Australian coastline
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 06-2012
Denmark Strait overflow for Last Glacial Maximum to Holocene conditions
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 06-2004
DOI: 10.1029/2003PA000972
Using serious gaming to explore how uncertainty affects stakeholder decision-making across the science-policy divide during disasters
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 12-2020
The use of serious games in engaging stakeholders for disaster risk reduction, management and climate change adaption information elicitation
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 10-2020
Simulating synergies between Climate Change Adaptation and Disaster Risk Reduction stakeholders to improve management of transboundary disasters in Europe
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 10-2020
On-Site early warning and rapid damage forecasting using single stations: Outcomes from the REAKT project
Publisher: Seismological Society of America (SSA)
Date: 22-07-2015
DOI: 10.1785/0220140205
Dominant Patterns of Water Storage Changes in the Nile Basin During 2003-2013
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 31-10-2014
Uncertainty and sensitivity analyses in seismic risk assessments on the example of Cologne, Germany
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 27-06-2014
DOI: 10.5194/NHESS-14-1625-2014
Abstract: Abstract. Both aleatory and epistemic uncertainties associated with different sources and components of risk (hazard, exposure, vulnerability) are present at each step of seismic risk assessments. All in idual sources of uncertainty contribute to the total uncertainty, which might be very high and, within the decision-making context, may therefore lead to either very conservative and expensive decisions or the perception of considerable risk. When anatomizing the structure of the total uncertainty, it is therefore important to propagate the different in idual uncertainties through the computational chain and to quantify their contribution to the total value of risk. The present study analyses different uncertainties associated with the hazard, vulnerability and loss components by the use of logic trees. The emphasis is on the analysis of epistemic uncertainties, which represent the reducible part of the total uncertainty, including a sensitivity analysis of the resulting seismic risk assessments with regard to the different uncertainty sources. This investigation, being a part of the EU FP7 project MATRIX (New Multi-Hazard and Multi-Risk Assessment Methods for Europe), is carried out for the ex le of, and with reference to, the conditions of the city of Cologne, Germany, which is one of the MATRIX test cases. At the same time, this particular study does not aim to revise nor to refine the hazard and risk level for Cologne it is rather to show how large are the existing uncertainties and how they can influence seismic risk estimates, especially in less well-studied areas, if hazard and risk models adapted from other regions are used.
Glacial-isostatic adjustment and the viscosity structure underlying the Vatnajökull Ice Cap, Iceland
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 04-2007
Hydrogeological characterisation of groundwater over Brazil using remotely sensed and model products
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 12-2017
DOI: 10.1016/J.SCITOTENV.2017.04.188
Abstract: For Brazil, a country frequented by droughts and whose rural inhabitants largely depend on groundwater, reliance on isotope for its monitoring, though accurate, is expensive and limited in spatial coverage. We exploit total water storage (TWS) derived from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) satellites to analyse spatial-temporal groundwater changes in relation to geological characteristics. Large-scale groundwater changes are estimated using GRACE-derived TWS and altimetry observations in addition to GLDAS and WGHM model outputs. Additionally, TRMM precipitation data are used to infer impacts of climate variability on groundwater fluctuations. The results indicate that climate variability mainly controls groundwater change trends while geological properties control change rates, spatial distribution, and storage capacity. Granular rocks in the Amazon and Guarani aquifers are found to influence larger storage capability, higher permeability (>10
Refining the eustatic sea-level curve since the Last Glacial Maximum using far- and intermediate-field sites
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 11-1998
Long- and Short-Term Monitoring of a Dam in Response to Seasonal Changes and Ground Motion Loading: The Test Case of the Kurpsai Dam, Western Kyrgyz Republic
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 22-09-2021
DOI: 10.1007/S00024-021-02861-5
Abstract: An experimental multi-parameter structural monitoring system has been installed on the Kurpsai dam, western Kyrgyz Republic. This system consists of equipment for seismic and strain measurements for making longer- (days, weeks, months) and shorter- (minutes, hours) term observations, dealing with, for ex le seasonal (longer) effects or the response of the dam to ground motion from noise or seismic events. Fibre-optic strain sensors allow the seasonal and daily opening and closing of the spaces between the dam’s segments to be tracked. For the seismic data, both litude (in terms of using differences in litudes in the Fourier spectra for mapping the modes of vibration of the dam) and their time–frequency distribution for a set of small to moderate seismic events are investigated and the corresponding phase variabilities (in terms of lagged coherency) are evaluated. Even for moderate levels of seismic-induced ground motion, some influence on the structural response can be detected, which then sees the dam quickly return to its original state. A seasonal component was identified in the strain measurements, while levels of noise arising from the operation of the dam's generators and associated water flow have been provisionally identified.
Tropical cyclones and the ecohydrology of Australia's recent continental-scale drought
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 02-2012
DOI: 10.1029/2011GL050263
Related Organisations
Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam - Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ
Location: No location found
Open University
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Helmholtz-Zentrum Potsdam - Deutsches GeoForschungsZentrum GFZ
Location: Germany
University Of Cambridge
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Related Funding Activities
No related grants have been discovered for Kevin Michael Fleming.