ORCID Profile
0000-0003-4816-8075
Current Organisation
University College Cork
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Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 04-2016
Abstract: Last-minute decisions to take vacations overseas have become popular in recent years. Because of the reduction of the time between the booking and the trip (lead time), and because climate conditions are acknowledged to be key factors in tourism decisions, this study aims to investigate whether weather anomalies are becoming a new key determinant in tourism destination interest. Using data from Google Trends, different time series models are estimated analyzing whether potential tourists’ interest in Majorca, a popular Mediterranean “sun, sea, and sand” destination, is determined by previous and contemporaneous weather conditions both at the destination and in two main tourist countries of origin, Germany and the United Kingdom. Results show how favorable weather conditions at the destination but also adverse weather conditions at the origin are significantly related to a higher interest in Majorca.
Publisher: SAGE Publications
Date: 23-03-2020
Abstract: This study aims to investigate the role of personal income in the income elasticity of tourism demand and, more specifically, the hypothesis that the richest and poorest in iduals both tend to react less to changes in income than middle-class in iduals, who tend to be more sensitive. To that end, this study applies different strategies within the context of a gravity model, using yearly data from 1995 to 2016 and bilateral tourism flows between 192 countries. Results show that income elasticity is determined to a significant extent by per capita income in the origin country and they confirm the inverted-U relationship between income elasticity and personal income. The study indicates that middle-income countries are more elastic than low- and high-income ones, while high-income countries display an inelastic or nonsignificant relationship.
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 18-01-2017
Abstract: Context For some countries, favourable climatic conditions for tourism are often associated with favourable conditions for infectious diseases, with the ensuing development constraints on the tourist sectors of impoverished countries where tourism’s economic contribution has a high potential. This paper evaluates the economic implications of eradication of Malaria, Dengue, Yellow Fever and Ebola on the affected destination countries focusing on the tourist expenditures. Methods A gravity model for international tourism flows is used to provide an estimation of the impact of each travel-related disease on international tourist arrivals. Next the potential eradication of these diseases in the affected countries is simulated and the impact on tourism expenditures is estimated. Findings The results show that, in the case of Malaria, Dengue, Yellow Fever and Ebola, the eradication of these diseases in the affected countries would result in an increase of around 10 million of tourist worldwide and a rise in the tourism expenditure of 12 billion dollars. Conclusion By analysing the economic benefits of the eradication of Dengue, Ebola, Malaria, and Yellow Fever for the tourist sector—a strategic economic sector for many of the countries where these TRD are present—this paper explores a new aspect of the quantification of health policies which should be taken into consideration in future international health assessment programmes. It is important to note that the analysis is only made of the direct impact of the diseases’ eradication and consequently the potential multiplicative effects of a growth in the GDP, in terms of tourism attractiveness, are not evaluated. Consequently, the economic results can be considered to be skeleton ones.
No related grants have been discovered for Aon Waqas Awan.