ORCID Profile
0000-0001-8537-6418
Current Organisations
University of Potsdam
,
Utrecht University
,
Institut für systemische Forschung und Therapie
,
Milton-Erickson-Institut Heidelberg
,
Universiteit Utrecht
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Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Date: 19-02-2016
Abstract: Economic policy needs interdisciplinary network analysis and behavioral modeling
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Date: 15-04-2016
Publisher: The Royal Society
Date: 12-08-2020
Abstract: Combinations of intense non-pharmaceutical interventions (lockdowns) were introduced worldwide to reduce SARS-CoV-2 transmission. Many governments have begun to implement exit strategies that relax restrictions while attempting to control the risk of a surge in cases. Mathematical modelling has played a central role in guiding interventions, but the challenge of designing optimal exit strategies in the face of ongoing transmission is unprecedented. Here, we report discussions from the Isaac Newton Institute ‘Models for an exit strategy’ workshop (11–15 May 2020). A erse community of modellers who are providing evidence to governments worldwide were asked to identify the main questions that, if answered, would allow for more accurate predictions of the effects of different exit strategies. Based on these questions, we propose a roadmap to facilitate the development of reliable models to guide exit strategies. This roadmap requires a global collaborative effort from the scientific community and policymakers, and has three parts: (i) improve estimation of key epidemiological parameters (ii) understand sources of heterogeneity in populations and (iii) focus on requirements for data collection, particularly in low-to-middle-income countries. This will provide important information for planning exit strategies that balance socio-economic benefits with public health.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 09-2020
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 14-03-2017
Location: Germany
Start Date: 2021
End Date: 2024
Funder: Marsden Fund
View Funded Activity