ORCID Profile
0000-0002-1472-3352
Current Organisations
Australian National University
,
University of Adelaide
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Publisher: Wiley
Date: 09-08-2021
Abstract: This paper provides an empirical case study of impacts of COVID‐19 on Australia’s wine sector. Wine exports were subject to disruptions and, like domestic wine sales, were adversely affected not only by temporary declines in consumers’ expected incomes but also by the social distancing measures and self‐isolation that led to closure of restaurants, bars, cafes and clubs plus declines in international travel and tourism. Partly offsetting this has been a boost to off‐premise and direct e‐commerce sales. We first estimate those impacts and their expected partial recovery in 2021 using a new model of global beverage markets. Then, we add results on regional effects, including through domestic wine tourism, using a new economy‐wide model with sub‐national regions. The paper concludes by drawing lessons on how this sector’s resilience to future global shocks could be strengthened.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 28-06-2013
DOI: 10.1111/AGEC.12060
Publisher: Routledge
Date: 16-11-2010
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 11-1994
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Date: 11-2022
DOI: 10.1017/JWE.2022.43
Abstract: This study uses gravity models to explain bilateral patterns of global wine trade since 1962. This is, to our knowledge, the first study on global wine trade covering the second wave of globalization as a whole. The results suggest that the impact of distance, common language, and common colonizer post-1945 on wine trade was lower in the 1991–2019 period than in the 1962–1990 period. We also use gravity models to explain the impact on bilateral wine trade patterns of similarities across countries in the mix of winegrape varieties in their vineyards. Although our models do not allow us to identify causality, the results suggest that countries trade more wine with each other the closer their mix of winegrape varieties.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 28-09-2010
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Date: 08-2020
DOI: 10.1017/JWE.2020.17
Abstract: This article describes a new empirical model of the world's markets for alcoholic beverages and, to illustrate its usefulness, reports results from projections of those markets from 2016–2018 to 2025 under various scenarios. It not only revises and updates a model of the world's wine markets (Wittwer, Berger, and Anderson, 2003), but also adds beer and spirits so as to capture the substitutability of those beverages among consumers. The model has some of the features of an economy-wide computable general equilibrium model, with international trade linking the markets of its 44 countries and seven residual regions. It is used to simulate prospects for these markets by 2025 (business-as-usual), which points to Asia's rise. Then two alternative scenarios to 2025 are explored: one simulates the withdrawal of the United Kingdom from the European Union (EU) the other simulates the effects of the recent imposition of additional 25% tariffs on selected beverages imported by the United States from several EU member countries. Future applications of the model are discussed in the concluding section. (JEL Classifications: C53, F11, F17, Q13)
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 19-12-2007
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 06-1987
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 12-2012
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 02-01-2007
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 08-2012
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 11-1983
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 03-2009
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 08-01-2014
Publisher: University of Chicago Press
Date: 2008
DOI: 10.1086/522897
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 25-03-2004
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 27-03-2003
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 08-04-2010
Publisher: Ovid Technologies (Wolters Kluwer Health)
Date: 08-2005
DOI: 10.1097/01.TP.0000168215.51902.A0
Abstract: Allografts used in the repair of congenital heart defects in children induce a persistent broad HLA antibody response. We have previously shown that a 3-month course of mycophenolic mofetil (MMF) significantly reduces the HLA class I antibody response to valved allograft implantation in children. The purpose of this study was to determine if this reduction in HLA antibody persists after discontinuation of MMF. We conducted follow-up (mean 2 +/- 0.5 years) of seven patients who had received allograft placement for repair of congenital heart defects. These patients received 3 months of immunosuppression with MMF following allograft implantation. When compared to historical controls, patients who received MMF following surgery showed a significantly decreased HLA class I antibody response at 2 years postimplantation. This study demonstrates the ability to persistently alter the HLA class I antibody response using 3 months of MMF following allograft implantation in children.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 11-2010
DOI: 10.1016/J.NBT.2010.05.012
Abstract: Agricultural biotechnologies, and especially transgenic crops, have the potential to boost food security in developing countries by offering higher incomes for farmers and lower priced and better quality food for consumers. That potential is being heavily compromised, however, because the European Union and some other countries have implemented strict regulatory systems to govern their production and consumption of genetically modified (GM) food and feed crops, and to prevent imports of foods and feedstuffs that do not meet these strict standards. This paper analyses empirically the potential economic effects of adopting transgenic crops in Asia and Sub-Saharan Africa. It does so using a multi-country, multi-product model of the global economy. The results suggest the economic welfare gains from crop biotechnology adoption are potentially very large, and that those benefits are diminished only very slightly by the presence of the European Union's restriction on imports of GM foods. That is, if developing countries retain bans on GM crop production in an attempt to maintain access to EU markets for non-GM products, the loss to their food consumers as well as to farmers in those developing countries is huge relative to the slight loss that could be incurred from not retaining EU market access.
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 12-2007
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 2011
DOI: 10.1093/WBER/LHR012
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 09-1992
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 10-11-2023
Publisher: University of Adelaide Press
Date: 15-10-2018
DOI: 10.20851/EU-TRADE-10
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 2007
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 25-03-2004
Publisher: The Royal Society
Date: 27-09-2010
Abstract: Recent globalization has been characterized by a decline in the costs of cross-border trade in farm and other products. It has been driven primarily by the information and communication technology revolution and—in the case of farm products—by reductions in governmental distortions to agricultural production, consumption and trade. Both have boosted economic growth and reduced poverty globally, especially in Asia. The first but maybe not the second of these drivers will continue in coming decades. World food prices will depend also on whether (and if so by how much) farm productivity growth continues to outpace demand growth and to what extent diets in emerging economies move towards livestock and horticultural products at the expense of staples. Demand in turn will be driven not only by population and income growth, but also by crude oil prices if they remain at current historically high levels, since that will affect biofuel demand. Climate change mitigation policies and adaptation, water market developments and market access standards particularly for transgenic foods will add to future production, price and trade uncertainties.
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Date: 05-2022
DOI: 10.1017/JWE.2022.19
Abstract: A proposal to reform the United Kingdom's excise duty on alcohol is under consideration during 2022. The proposal would change the tax base from volume of product to volume of alcohol, which would see a fall in the tax on sparkling wine (by about one-fifth), a rise in the tax on fortified wines of 18% alcohol by volume (ABV) (by about one-sixth), and table wines with more (less) than 11.5% ABV would become dearer (cheaper). With taxes on most beers unchanged and taxes on spirits lowered slightly, the pattern of UK wine consumption and imports would alter considerably. This article draws on a global model of national alcoholic beverage markets to estimate the likely bilateral trade effects of this proposed reform to UK excise duties. It compares them with the trade effects of the United Kingdom's first two bilateral free trade agreements (FTAs), following the post-Brexit EU–UK Trade and Cooperation Agreement, which allows Australian and New Zealand vignerons tariff-free access to the UK wine market. Those two FTAs are estimated to cause the United Kingdom to import far more wine than is lost by the proposed changes in UK excise duties.
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 2006
DOI: 10.1093/WBER/LHJ009
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 08-2007
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 12-2014
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 06-2006
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 27-10-2014
DOI: 10.1111/AEHR.12050
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 06-2012
DOI: 10.1093/OXREP/GRS001
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 29-12-2013
Publisher: American Society for Enology and Viticulture
Date: 2023
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 05-08-2020
DOI: 10.1111/JOES.12388
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 08-1998
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 06-2010
DOI: 10.1093/AEPP/PPQ005
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Date: 10-2008
DOI: 10.1017/S1474745608004011
Abstract: Notwithstanding the tariffication component of the Uruguay Round Agreement on Agriculture, import tariffs on farm products continue to provide an incomplete indication of the extent to which agricultural producer and consumer incentives are distorted in national markets. As well, in developing countries especially, non-agricultural policies indirectly impact on agricultural and food markets. Empirical analysis aimed at monitoring distortions to agricultural incentives thus need to examine both agricultural and non-agricultural policy measures including import or export taxes, subsidies, and quantitative restrictions plus domestic taxes or subsidies on farm outputs or inputs and consumer subsidies for food staples. This paper addresses the practical methodological issues that need to be faced when attempting to undertake such a measurement task in developing countries. The approach is illustrated in two ways: by presenting estimates of nominal and relative rates of assistance to farmers in China for the period 1981–2005 and by summarizing estimates from an economy-wide CGE model of the effects on agricultural versus non-agricultural markets of the project's measured distortions globally as of 2004.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 2015
Publisher: Universite de Bordeaux
Date: 17-05-2023
DOI: 10.20870/OENO-ONE.2023.57.2.7280
Abstract: Precipitation patterns are projected to change in different directions across wine regions in Australia, but temperatures are projected to increase in all wine regions, making them less prone to frosts but more prone to heatwaves and more arid. This research aims to estimate how climate change could affect grape yields in Australia. This is, to our knowledge, the first study using a panel data framework to estimate the potential impact of climate change on grape yields. This framework involves a two-step approach in which the first step consists of estimating the impact of weather on grape yields using a fixed effects panel data model, and the second step involves estimating the potential impact of climate change projections using the estimates from the first step. We also estimate a novel hybrid model that interacts weather with climate, potentially accounting for long-run adaptation. The results suggest that climate change by 2050 may lead to higher yields in most regions but lower yields in some of the country’s largest regions. Put differently, an increase in yields may be expected in the coolest regions, while a decrease may be expected in the hottest regions. Consequently, the average yield in Australia may change very little.
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 12-2007
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 09-2005
Publisher: Elsevier
Date: 2010
Publisher: Annual Reviews
Date: 10-11-2014
DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-RESOURCE-100913-012600
Abstract: The volatility of food prices has always concerned national governments, especially those of open developing economies, as it undermines their perceived national food security. A common policy approach has been to partially insulate their domestic market from international food price fluctuations by varying restrictions on their imports or exports. Unfortunately, such domestic stabilization measures lify international price fluctuations. This article explains conceptually, and illustrates empirically, how insulation measures do little to advance national food security and collectively imperil global food security. Many countries also intervene to alter the trend level of domestic farm product prices, again most commonly with the use of trade restrictions. The latter policies have the unintended consequence of thinning international food markets, adding to their volatility. The article concludes by pointing to alternative ways for governments to boost food security for vulnerable households such alternatives have become far more feasible in recent times, thanks to the information and communication technology revolution.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 03-2008
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 12-1994
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Date: 02-2023
DOI: 10.1017/JWE.2023.8
Abstract: Another quiet revolution is taking place in the alcoholic beverage markets: a trend toward lower-alcohol and even no-alcohol beverages, especially in the world's higher-income countries. This new trend adds to the long-term consumer trend in affluent countries of substituting quality for quantity in many of their purchases (premiumization), which, in the case of alcoholic beverages, has been driven largely by a desire for a healthier lifestyle. More-affluent consumers also desire a greater variety than is typically available from large producers of regular products, which has led to a craft beverage revolution. Both desires—for lower-alcohol beverages and a greater variety of quality offerings—are driving this so-called low- or no-alcohol revolution. The trend is just beginning to show up in wine (and spirits) markets, but it began developing much earlier in beer markets. The purpose of this paper is to explore the extent of the latter and the consumer forces behind it. Since Australian brewers are leading the way globally in building various Lo-No beer categories, and thereby contributing substantially to lowering that nation's alcohol consumption, its trends are highlighted and compared with global trends. The paper concludes by drawing out lessons and prospects for lower-alcohol beer and wine.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 2012
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 03-1993
DOI: 10.1007/BF02707488
Publisher: University of Adelaide Press
Date: 30-11-2017
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 03-1989
DOI: 10.1007/BF02707524
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Date: 28-06-2004
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 04-01-2011
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 09-2015
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 12-1989
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 07-09-2023
DOI: 10.1111/JOES.12529
Abstract: The history of agricultural trade stretches back more than ten millennia, but it became more inter‐continental from the 17th century and much denser in the 19th century following the repeal of Britain's protective Corn Laws in 1846 and major declines in international trade costs. Trade was chaotic in the period bookended by the two world wars, but trade policy anarchy gave way to greater certainty after the General Agreement on Tariffs and Trade (GATT) was signed in 1947. This paper seeks to identify the forces that shaped that history, and to re‐examine the case for continued openness to trade in farm and processed food products. It does so in the wake of uneven economic growth and structural transformation and as agri‐food systems respond to increased market and policy uncertainties this century—and to growing pressures for agricultural production to become more sustainable and for its food outputs to be safer and more nutritious. The paper points to better policy options than trade measures for achieving most national objectives—options that can simultaneously benefit the rest of the world. Areas for further economic research are noted before the paper concludes.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 26-09-2018
DOI: 10.1111/TWEC.12726
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 02-10-2021
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 21-06-2023
Abstract: The Fijian government's response since 2010 to the loss of preferential access to the European Union's previously highly protected sugar market has been to increasingly support its cane growers and millers. That support is now much higher than most other countries' assistance to the sugar industry. This study provides detailed estimates of the changing extent of those transfers to producers from both taxpayers and consumers during 2010–22. In doing so, it estimates for the first time an annual time series of nominal rates of assistance to producers and consumer tax equivalent rates (NRAs and CTEs, but they are also converted to producer and consumer support estimates as defined by the OECD). Those NRA and CTE estimates have been approaching 100%. The level of support was equivalent to 10% of Fiji's agricultural value added in 2018–21 and is around 5% of its government's consolidated revenue—at a time when the government has a very high debt‐to‐GDP ratio (90% in 2022). Since the nature of the support is economically inefficient, inequitable, environmentally damaging and fiscally unsustainable given foreseeable market prospects, suggestions are made as to how that support might be repurposed to provide better economic, social and environmental outcomes for Fiji.
Publisher: American Economic Association
Date: 06-2013
DOI: 10.1257/JEL.51.2.423
Abstract: The agricultural and food sector is an ideal case for investigating the political economy of public policies. Many of the policy developments in this sector since the 1950s have been sudden and transformational, while others have been gradual but persistent. This article reviews and synthesizes the literature on trends and fluctuations in market distortions and the political-economy explanations that have been advanced. Based on a rich global data set covering a half-century of evidence on commodities, countries, and policy instruments, we identify hypotheses that have been explored in the literature on the extent of market distortions and the conditions under which reform may be feasible. (JEL F13, Q11, Q17, Q18)
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 18-12-2018
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 1989
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 30-08-2010
Publisher: Walter de Gruyter GmbH
Date: 11-2005
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 30-08-2010
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Date: 28-06-2004
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 27-08-2014
DOI: 10.1111/JOES.12087
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 30-08-2010
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Date: 28-06-2004
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 12-2006
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Date: 05-2021
DOI: 10.1017/JWE.2021.13
Abstract: This article provides an empirical case study of the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic on global beverage markets, particularly the wine sector. Both international trade and domestic sales have been adversely affected by temporary shifts away from on-premise sales by social distancing measures and self-isolation that led to the closure of restaurants, bars, and clubs, plus declines in international travel and tourism. Partly offsetting this has been a boost to off-premise and direct e-commerce sales. We first estimate those impacts in 2020 and their expected partial recovery in 2021 using a new model of global beverage markets. Further recent disruption to the global wine trade has been the imposition by China in late 2020 of prohibitive tariffs on its imports of bottled wine from Australia. Its ersionary and trade-reducing effects are compared with those due to COVID-19. (JEL Classifications: C63, D12, F14, F17, Q17)
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 12-2006
DOI: 10.1093/JAE/EJK013
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 08-2007
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 15-02-2009
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 30-08-2010
Abstract: Despite numerous policy reforms since the 1980s, farm product prices remain heavily distorted in both high-income and developing countries. This book seeks to improve our understanding of why societies adopted these policies, and why some but not other countries have undertaken reforms. Drawing on recent developments in political economy theories and in the generation of empirical measures of the extent of price distortions, the present volume provides both analytical narratives of the historical origins of agricultural protectionism in various parts of the world and a set of political econometric analyses aimed at explaining the patterns of distortions that have emerged over the past five decades. These new studies shed much light on the forces affecting incentives and those facing farmers in the course of national and global economic and political development. They also show how those distortions might change in the future.
Publisher: Routledge
Date: 18-04-2006
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 04-2007
Publisher: University of Adelaide Press
Date: 12-2016
DOI: 10.20851/AGTRADE
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 12-2006
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 07-2020
Abstract: Europeans settlers in the Australian colonies had a reputation of being heavy drinkers. Rum dominated during the first few decades, followed by beer. It took until the 1970s before Australia's annual per capita consumption of wine exceeded 10 L, and even then, wine represented only one‐fifth of national alcohol consumption. But over the next two decades, per capita wine consumption nearly trebled and beer consumption shrunk – the opposite of what happened to global alcohol consumption shares. This paper draws on newly compiled data sets to (i) reveal that Australia was not much more alcoholic than Britain or southern Europe during the nineteenth century and (ii) help explain why it took so long for a consumer interest in wine to emerge in Australia.
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 2010
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Date: 23-05-2011
DOI: 10.1017/S1474745611000176
Abstract: Trade negotiators and policy advisors are keen to know the relative contributions of different farm policy instruments to international trade and economic welfare. Nominal rates of assistance or producer support estimates are incomplete indicators, especially when (as in many developing countries) some commodities are taxed and others are subsidized, in which case positive contributions can offset negative contributions. This paper develops and estimates a new set of more-satisfactory partial equilibrium indicators of the relative contribution of different farm policy instruments to reductions in agricultural trade and welfare. It does so by drawing on the trade restrictiveness index literature and a recently compiled database on distortions to agricultural prices for 75 developing and high-income countries over the period 1960 to 2004. Results confirm earlier findings that border taxes are the dominant instrument affecting global trade and welfare, but they also suggest declines in export taxes contributed nearly as much as cuts in import protection to the trade and welfare effects of agricultural policy reforms since the 1980s.
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Date: 28-06-2004
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 04-2010
DOI: 10.1093/AJAE/AAQ025
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 14-11-2012
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 2004
Publisher: Cambridge University Press
Date: 25-10-2004
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 04-2011
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 06-1995
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 09-2003
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 07-01-2021
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 04-1992
Publisher: Routledge
Date: 19-03-2007
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 05-2010
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 10-1987
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 11-2012
DOI: 10.1093/AJAE/AAR105
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 09-11-2009
DOI: 10.1093/WBRO/LKP014
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 05-2003
Publisher: Oxford University Press (OUP)
Date: 09-2005
DOI: 10.1093/JAE/EJI013
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Date: 15-09-2023
DOI: 10.1017/JWE.2023.16
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 04-2010
DOI: 10.1093/AJAE/AAQ011
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 03-2010
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 2000
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 21-12-2008
No related grants have been discovered for Kym Anderson.