ORCID Profile
0000-0001-6738-1299
Current Organisation
University of Tokyo
Does something not look right? The information on this page has been harvested from data sources that may not be up to date. We continue to work with information providers to improve coverage and quality. To report an issue, use the Feedback Form.
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 02-2013
DOI: 10.1029/2012JC008352
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 26-11-2021
Abstract: Abstract. Over the past decade, our understanding of the Indian Ocean has advanced through concerted efforts toward measuring the ocean circulation and air–sea exchanges, detecting changes in water masses, and linking physical processes to ecologically important variables. New circulation pathways and mechanisms have been discovered that control atmospheric and oceanic mean state and variability. This review brings together new understanding of the ocean–atmosphere system in the Indian Ocean since the last comprehensive review, describing the Indian Ocean circulation patterns, air–sea interactions, and climate variability. Coordinated international focus on the Indian Ocean has motivated the application of new technologies to deliver higher-resolution observations and models of Indian Ocean processes. As a result we are discovering the importance of small-scale processes in setting the large-scale gradients and circulation, interactions between physical and biogeochemical processes, interactions between boundary currents and the interior, and interactions between the surface and the deep ocean. A newly discovered regional climate mode in the southeast Indian Ocean, the Ningaloo Niño, has instigated more regional air–sea coupling and marine heatwave research in the global oceans. In the last decade, we have seen rapid warming of the Indian Ocean overlaid with extremes in the form of marine heatwaves. These events have motivated studies that have delivered new insight into the variability in ocean heat content and exchanges in the Indian Ocean and have highlighted the critical role of the Indian Ocean as a clearing house for anthropogenic heat. This synthesis paper reviews the advances in these areas in the last decade.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 15-09-2007
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI4275.1
Abstract: Using outputs from the SINTEX-F1 coupled GCM, the thermodynamics of ENSO events and its relation with the seasonal cycle are investigated. Simulated El Niño events are first classified into four groups depending on during which season the Niño-3.4 sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) index (5°S–5°N, 120°–170°W) reaches its peak. Although the heat content of the tropical Pacific decreases for all four types, the tropical Pacific loses about twice as much during an El Niño that peaks during winter compared with one that peaks during summer. The surface heat flux, the southward heat transport at 15°S, and the Indonesian Throughflow heat transport contribute constructively to this remarkable seasonal difference. It is shown that the Indonesian Throughflow supplies anomalous heat from the Indian Ocean, especially during the summer El Niño–like event. Changes in the basic state provided by the seasonal cycle cause differences in the atmospheric response to the SSTA, which in turn lead to the difference between the surface heat flux and the meridional heat transport anomaly.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 2023
DOI: 10.1002/QJ.4423
Abstract: Sea surface temperatures (SSTs) in the western part of the South China Sea (SCS) are cooler than in the eastern part in boreal winter, owing to a winter climatological cold tongue (CT). In this study, using a regional atmospheric model configured for the Maritime Continent, we assess the atmospheric impacts of local (or SCS) SSTs versus those from remote drivers (e.g., western tropical Pacific SSTs) during strong CT events with anomalously cool SSTs. In the local run, more rainfall is observed over the eastern SCS, but no significant atmospheric impacts are found over the CT region when SSTs associated with strong CT events are imposed within the SCS while climatological conditions are imposed elsewhere. SCS SST anomalies during strong CT events do not significantly modify the regional wind circulation. The lack of atmospheric response to SSTs over the CT region may be explained by the wintertime mean SSTs (i.e., –28°C) over the CT region that are inadequate to trigger deep atmospheric convection, while eastern SCS SSTs are high enough. The increase of anomalous positive moist static energy (MSE) near the sea level over the eastern SCS indicates underlying warm eastern SCS SST anomalies could be influencing positive rainfall anomalies. In the remote run, imposing climatological SCS SSTs but remote SSTs and lateral boundary conditions linked to strong CT events results in cyclonic wind and positive rainfall anomalies over the eastern SCS and Philippines, which are a Matsuno–Gill response to the diabatic heating anomalies over the warm western tropical Pacific SST anomalies. Positive rainfall and cloud cover anomalies associated with the cyclonic wind anomalies are due to the anomalous positive MSE import into the eastern SCS by horizontal advection.
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 29-03-2019
DOI: 10.5194/OS-2021-1
Abstract: Abstract. Over the past decade, our understanding of the Indian Ocean has advanced through concerted efforts toward measuring the ocean circulation and its water properties, detecting changes in water masses, and linking physical processes to ecologically important variables. New circulation pathways and mechanisms have been discovered, which control atmospheric and oceanic mean state and variability. This review brings together new understanding of the ocean-atmosphere system in the Indian Ocean since the last comprehensive review, describing the Indian Ocean circulation patterns, air-sea interactions and climate variability. The second International Indian Ocean Expedition (IIOE-2) and related efforts have motivated the application of new technologies to deliver higher-resolution observations and models of Indian Ocean processes. As a result we are discovering the importance of small scale processes in setting the large-scale gradients and circulation, interactions between physical and biogeochemical processes, interactions between boundary currents and the interior, and between the surface and the deep ocean. In the last decade we have seen rapid warming of the Indian Ocean overlaid with extremes in the form of marine heatwaves. These events have motivated studies that have delivered new insight into the variability in ocean heat content and exchanges in the Indian Ocean, and climate variability on interannual to decadal timescales.This synthesis paper reviews the advances in these areas in the last decade.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 24-02-2013
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 15-06-2012
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00396.1
Abstract: The growth and decay mechanisms of subtropical dipole modes in the southern Indian and South Atlantic Oceans and their impacts on southern African rainfall are investigated using results from a coupled general circulation model originally developed for predicting tropical climate variations. The second (most) dominant mode of interannual sea surface temperature (SST) variations in the southern Indian (South Atlantic) Ocean represents a northeast–southwest oriented dipole, now called subtropical dipole mode. The positive (negative) SST interannual anomaly pole starts to grow in austral spring and reaches its peak in February. In austral late spring, the suppressed (enhanced) latent heat flux loss associated with the variations in the subtropical high causes a thinner (thicker) than normal mixed layer thickness that, in turn, enhances (reduces) the warming of the mixed layer by the climatological shortwave radiation. The positive (negative) pole gradually decays in austral fall because the mixed layer cooling by the entrainment is enhanced (reduced), mostly owing to the larger (smaller) temperature difference between the mixed layer and the entrained water. The increased (decreased) latent heat loss due to the warmer (colder) SST also contributes to the decay of the positive (negative) pole. Although further verification using longer observational data is required, the present coupled model suggests that the South Atlantic subtropical dipole may play a more important role in rainfall variations over the southern African region than the Indian Ocean subtropical dipole.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 04-2005
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 03-08-2020
DOI: 10.1029/2020GL088648
Publisher: Research Square Platform LLC
Date: 02-08-2023
DOI: 10.21203/RS.3.RS-3222878/V1
Abstract: The northwestern Pacific monsoon trough (NWPMT) deeply impacts socio-economic development and human security over East Asia by supplying moisture to the summer monsoon rainfall and modulating tropical cyclone activities. However, considerable inter-model spreads in the Coupled Model Inter-comparison Project Phase 6 models make the future projection of the NWPMT less reliable. Here, we find that the inter-model spread of the NWPMT change is significantly correlated with the central equatorial Pacific sea surface temperature change, and mainly determined by the equatorial thermocline sharpness in the historical simulations. According to the emergent constraint method, the central equatorial Pacific SST would warm up about 8% slower than the multi-model mean with 56% uncertainty reduced. Correspondingly, the NWPMT would slacken westward with 36% uncertainty reduced. Results here emphasize the importance of examining and reducing systematic model biases in simulating subsurface fields that have been overlooked in past literatures, before achieving more reliable future projections.
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 21-09-2020
DOI: 10.1029/2020GL090079
Abstract: The 2019 positive Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) was the strongest event since the 1960s which developed independently without coinciding El Niño. The dynamics is not fully understood. Here we show that in March–May, westward propagating oceanic Rossby waves, a remnant consequence of the weak 2018 Pacific warm condition, led to anomalous sea surface temperature warming in the southwest tropical Indian Ocean (TIO), inducing deep convection and anomalous easterly winds along the equator, which triggered the initial cooling in the east. In June–August, the easterly wind anomalies continued to evolve through ocean‐atmosphere coupling involving Bjerknes feedback and equatorial nonlinear ocean advection, until its maturity in September–November. This study clarifies the contribution of oceanic Rossby waves in the south TIO in different dynamic settings and reveals a new triggering mechanism for extreme IOD events that will help to understand IOD ersity.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 08-01-2008
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 07-2007
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI4168.1
Abstract: The decadal variation in the tropical Indian Ocean is investigated using outputs from a 200-yr integration of the Scale Interaction Experiment-Frontier Research Center for Global Change (SINTEX-F1) ocean–atmosphere coupled model. The first EOF mode of the decadal bandpass- (9–35 yr) filtered sea surface temperature anomaly (SSTA) represents a basinwide mode and is closely related with the Pacific ENSO-like decadal variability. The second EOF mode shows a clear east–west SSTA dipole pattern similar to that of the interannual Indian Ocean dipole (IOD) and may be termed the decadal IOD. However, it is demonstrated that the decadal air–sea interaction in the Tropics can be a statistical artifact it should be interpreted more correctly as decadal modulation of interannual IOD events (i.e., asymmetric or skewed occurrence of positive and negative events). Heat budget analysis has revealed that the occurrence of IOD events is governed by variations in the southward Ekman heat transport across 15°S and variations in the Indonesian Throughflow associated with the ENSO. The variations in the southward Ekman heat transport are related to the Mascarene high activities.
No related grants have been discovered for Tomoki Tozuka.