ORCID Profile
0000-0003-4752-3135
Current Organisations
University of Reading
,
Met Office
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Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 30-09-2022
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-2022-209
Abstract: Abstract. In this paper we define RAL2 - the second "Regional Atmosphere and Land" (RAL) science configuration for regional modelling. RAL2 uses the Unified Model (UM) as the basis for the atmosphere and the Joint UK Land Environment Simulator (JULES) for the land. RAL2 defines the science configuration of the dynamics and physics schemes of the atmosphere and land and builds on the baseline of RAL1. There are two RAL2 sub-releases, one for mid-latitudes (RAL2-M) and one for tropical regions (RAL2-T). We document the differences between them and where appropriate discuss how RAL2 relates to RAL1 and the corresponding configuration of the global forecasting model. Our results show an increase in medium and low cloud amounts in the mid-latitudes leading to improved cloud forecasts. The increase in cloud amount leads to a reduced diurnal cycle of screen temperature. There is also a reduction in the frequency of heavier precipitation rates. RAL2 is expected to be the last RAL science configuration with two sub-releases as research effort is focused on producing a single defined configuration of the model that performs effectively in all regions of the world.
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 14-06-2019
DOI: 10.5194/GMD-2019-130
Abstract: Abstract. In this paper we define the first "Regional Atmosphere and Land" (RAL) science configuration for kilometre scale modelling using the UM and JULES. "RAL1" defines the science configuration of the dynamics and physics schemes of the atmosphere and land. This configuration will provide a model baseline for any future weather or climate model developments to be described against and it is the intention that from this point forward significant changes to the system will be documented in literature. This is reproducing the process used for global configurations of the UM which was first documented as a science configuration in 2011. While it is our goal to have a single defined configuration of the model that performs effectively in all regions, this has not yet been possible. Currently we define two sub-releases, one for mid-latitudes (RAL1-M) and one for tropical regions (RAL1-T). The differences between RAL1-M and RAL1-T are documented and where appropriate, we define how the model configuration relates to the corresponding configuration of the global forecasting model.
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 26-04-2021
DOI: 10.5194/NHESS-21-1297-2021
Abstract: Abstract. Verification of forecasts and warnings of high-impact weather is needed by the meteorological centres, but how to perform it still presents many open questions, starting from which data are suitable as reference. This paper reviews new observations which can be considered for the verification of high-impact weather and provides advice for their usage in objective verification. Two high-impact weather phenomena are considered: thunderstorm and fog. First, a framework for the verification of high-impact weather is proposed, including the definition of forecast and observations in this context and creation of a verification set. Then, new observations showing a potential for the detection and quantification of high-impact weather are reviewed, including remote sensing datasets, products developed for nowcasting, datasets derived from telecommunication systems, data collected from citizens, reports of impacts and claim/damage reports from insurance companies. The observation characteristics which are relevant for their usage in forecast verification are also discussed. Ex les of forecast evaluation and verification are then presented, highlighting the methods which can be adopted to address the issues posed by the usage of these non-conventional observations and objectively quantify the skill of a high-impact weather forecast.
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 16-11-2020
Abstract: Abstract. Verification of high-impact weather is needed by the Meteorological Centres, but how to perform it still presents many open questions, starting from which data are suitable as reference. This paper reviews new observations which can be considered for the verification of high-impact weather, and provides advice for their usage in objective verification. Two high-impact weather phenomena are considered: Thunderstorm and fog. First, a framework for the verification of high-impact weather is proposed, including the definition of forecast and observations in this context and creation of a verification set. Then, new observations showing a potential for the detection and quantification of high-impact weather are reviewed, including remote sensing datasets, products developed for nowcasting, datasets derived from telecommunication systems, data collected from citizens, reports of impacts and claim/damage reports from insurance companies. The observation characteristics which are relevant for their usage in forecast verification are also discussed. Ex les of forecast evaluation and verification are then presented, highlighting the methods which can be adopted to address the issues posed by the usage of these non-conventional observations and objectively quantify the skill of a high-impact weather forecast.
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
No related grants have been discovered for Marion Mittermaier.