ORCID Profile
0000-0003-2128-3604
Current Organisation
Metocean Solutions Ltd
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In Research Link Australia (RLA), "Research Topics" refer to ANZSRC FOR and SEO codes. These topics are either sourced from ANZSRC FOR and SEO codes listed in researchers' related grants or generated by a large language model (LLM) based on their publications.
Ocean Engineering | Physical Oceanography | Maritime Engineering
Oil and Gas Extraction | Effects of Climate Change and Variability on Australia (excl. Social Impacts) | Natural Hazards in Coastal and Estuarine Environments |
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 29-11-2019
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 04-2009
Abstract: The use of numerical guidance has become integral to the process of modern weather forecasting. Using various techniques, postprocessing of numerical model output has been shown to mitigate some of the deficiencies of these models, producing more accurate forecasts. The operational consensus forecast scheme uses past performance to bias-correct and combine numerical forecasts to produce an improved forecast at locations where recent observations are available. This technique was applied to forecasts of significant wave height (Hs), peak period (Tp), and 10-m wind speed (U10) from 10 numerical wave models, at 14 buoy sites located around North America. Results show the best forecast is achieved with a weighted average of bias-corrected components for both Hs and Tp, while a weighted average of linear-corrected components gives the best results for U10. For 24-h forecasts, improvements of 36%, 47%, and 31%, in root-mean-square-error values over the mean raw model components are achieved, or 14%, 22%, and 18% over the best in idual model. Similar gains in forecast skill are retained out to 5 days. By reducing the number of models used in the construction of consensus forecasts, it is found that little forecast skill is gained beyond five or six model components, with the independence of these components, as well as in idual component’s quality, being important considerations. It is noted that for Hs it is possible to beat the best in idual model with a composite forecast of the worst four.
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 08-2021
DOI: 10.1029/2021MS002493
Abstract: Global wave hindcasts are developed using the third generation spectral wave model WAVEWATCH III with the observation‐based source terms (ST6) and a hybrid rectilinear‐curvilinear, irregular‐regular‐irregular grid system (approximately at ). Three distinct global hindcasts are produced: (a) a long‐term hindcast (1979–2019) forced by the ERA5 conventional winds and (b) two short‐term hindcasts (2011–2019) driven by the NCEP climate forecast system (CFS)v2 and the ERA5 neutral winds , respectively. The input field for ice is sourced from the Ocean and Sea Ice Satellite Application Facility (OSI SAF) sea‐ice concentration climate data records. These wave simulations, together with the driving wind forcing, are validated against extensive in‐situ observations and satellite altimeter records. The performance of the ST6 wave hindcasts shows promising results across multiple wave parameters, including the conventional wave characteristics (e.g., wave height and wave period) and high‐order spectral moments (e.g., the surface Stokes drift and mean square slope). The ERA5‐based simulations generally present lower random errors, but the CFS‐based run represents extreme sea states (e.g., m) considerably better. Novel wave parameters available in our hindcasts, namely the dominant wave breaking probability, wave‐induced mixed layer depth, freak wave indexes and wave‐spreading factor, are further described and briefly discussed. Inter‐comparisons of from the long‐term (41 years) wave hindcast, buoy measurements and two different calibrated altimeter data sets highlight the inconsistency in these altimeter records arising from different calibration methodology. Significant errors in the low‐frequency bins (period s) for both wave energy and directionality call for further model development.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 2019
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 09-2015
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 14-08-2021
DOI: 10.1002/GDJ3.104
Abstract: Wind‐wave hindcast data have many applications including climatology assessments for renewable energy projects, maritime engineering design, event‐based impact assessments, generating boundary conditions for further downscaling, amongst others. Here, we present a global wave hindcast with nested high‐resolution grids for the Exclusive Economic Zones of Australia and south west Pacific Island Countries, that is extended in time monthly. The model employs strategic methods to incorporate the effects of subgrid sized features such as small islands and islets. Various bulk wave parameters are available hourly from January 1979 to present, along with the full wave spectra at a set of 3,683 predetermined points distributed globally.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 11-2008
Abstract: The association between Southern Hemisphere cyclones and anticyclones and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), southern annular mode (SAM), Antarctic sea ice extent (SIE), and rainfall in Perth and Melbourne is explored. Those cities are, respectively, located in the southwestern and southeastern corners of Australia, where substantial decreasing rainfall trends have been observed over the last decades. The need for a more unified understanding of large-scale anomalies in storm indicators associated with the climate features itemized above has motivated this study. The main aim is to identify cyclone-anomalous areas that are potentially important in characterizing continental rainfall anomalies from a hemispheric perspective, focusing on midlatitude Australia. The study covers the “satellite era” from 1979 to 2003 and was conducted for the southern winter when midlatitude rainfall is predominantly baroclinic. The results indicate a well-organized hemispheric cyclone pattern associated with ENSO, SAM, SIE, and rainfall anomalies. There is a moderate large-scale, high-latitude resemblance between La Niña, negative SAM, and reduced SIE in some sectors. In particular, there is a suggestion that SIE anomalies over the Indian Ocean and Western Australia sectors are associated with a large-scale pattern of cyclone/anticyclone anomalies that is more pronounced over the longitudes of Australia and New Zealand. Spatial correlation analysis suggests a robust link between cyclone density over the sectors mentioned above and rainfall in Perth and Melbourne. Statistical analyses of rainfall and SIE show modest correlations for Perth and weak correlations for Melbourne, generally corroborating the above. It is proposed that SAM and SIE are part of a complex physical system that is best understood as a coupled mechanism, and that their impacts on the circulation can be seen as partially independent of ENSO. While SAM and SIE have greater influence on the circulation affecting rainfall in the western side of Australia, ENSO is the dominant influence on the eastern half of the country. A contraction of the sea ice seems to be accompanied by a southward shift of high-latitude cyclones, which is also hypothesized to increase downstream cyclone density at midlatitudes via conservation of mass, similarly to what is observed during the extreme positive phase of the SAM. These associations build on previous developments in the literature. They bring a more unified view on high-latitude climate features, and may also help to explain the declining trends in Australian rainfall.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 10-2013
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 04-2014
Abstract: This study examines the application of three different variations of linear-regression corrections to the surface marine winds from the Australian Bureau of Meteorology’s recently implemented operational atmospheric model. A simple correction over the entire domain is found to inadequately account for geographical variation in the wind bias. This is addressed by considering corrections that vary in space. Further, these spatially varying corrections are extended to vary in time. In an operational environment, the error characteristics of the wind forcing can be expected to change over time with the evolution of the atmospheric model. This in turn requires any applied correction to be monitored and maintained. Motivated by a desire to avoid this manual maintenance, a self-learning correction method is proposed whereby spatially and temporally varying corrections are calculated in real time from a moving window of historical comparisons between observations and preceding forecasts. This technique is shown to effectively remove both global and regionally varying wind speed biases.
Publisher: IEEE
Date: 05-2010
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 12-2017
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 12-2015
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 2009
Abstract: Satellite altimetry provides an immensely valuable source of operational significant wave height (Hs) data. Currently, altimeters on board Jason-1 and Envisat provide global Hs observations, available within 3–5 h of real time. In this work, Hs data from these altimeters are validated against in situ buoy data from the National Data Buoy Center (NDBC) and Marine Environmental Data Service (MEDS) buoy networks. Data cover a period of three years for Envisat and more than four years for Jason-1. Collocation criteria of 50 km and 30 min yield 3452 and 2157 collocations for Jason-1 and Envisat, respectively. Jason-1 is found to be in no need of correction, performing well throughout the range of wave heights, although it is notably noisier than Envisat. An overall RMS difference between Jason-1 and buoy data of 0.227 m is found. Envisat has a tendency to overestimate low Hs and underestimate high Hs. A linear correction reduces the RMS difference by 7%, from 0.219 to 0.203 m. In addition to wave height–dependent biases in the altimeter Hs estimate, a wave state–dependent bias is also identified, with steep (smooth) waves producing a negative (positive) bias relative to buoys. A systematic difference in the Hs being reported by MEDS and NDBC buoy networks is also noted. Using the altimeter data as a common reference, it is estimated that MEDS buoys are underestimating Hs relative to NDBC buoys by about 10%.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 26-05-2018
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Date: 09-07-2019
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 10-09-2014
DOI: 10.1007/S00338-014-1205-7
Abstract: Offshore reef systems consist of in idual reefs, with spaces in between, which together constitute the reef matrix. This is the first comprehensive, large-scale study, of the influence of an offshore reef system on wave climate and wave transmission. The focus was on the Great Barrier Reef (GBR), Australia, utilizing a 16-yr record of wave height from seven satellite altimeters. Within the GBR matrix, the wave climate is not strongly dependent on reef matrix submergence. This suggests that after initial wave breaking at the seaward edge of the reef matrix, wave energy that penetrates the matrix has little depth modulation. There is no clear evidence to suggest that as reef matrix porosity (ratio of spaces between in idual reefs to reef area) decreases, wave attenuation increases. This is because in idual reefs cast a wave shadow much larger than the reef itself thus, a matrix of isolated reefs is remarkably effective at attenuating wave energy. This weak dependence of transmitted wave energy on depth of reef submergence, and reef matrix porosity, is also evident in the lee of the GBR matrix. Here, wave conditions appear to be dependent largely on local wind speed, rather than wave conditions either seaward, or within the reef matrix. This is because the GBR matrix is a very effective wave absorber, irrespective of water depth and reef matrix porosity.
Start Date: 09-2021
End Date: 08-2024
Amount: $469,000.00
Funder: Australian Research Council
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