ORCID Profile
0000-0002-8278-9513
Current Organisations
Faculty of Intensive Care Medicine
,
University Hospitals Sussex NHS Foundation Trust
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Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 25-08-2022
DOI: 10.1186/S13054-022-04120-Y
Abstract: Timing of initiation of kidney-replacement therapy (KRT) in critically ill patients remains controversial. The Standard versus Accelerated Initiation of Renal-Replacement Therapy in Acute Kidney Injury (STARRT-AKI) trial compared two strategies of KRT initiation (accelerated versus standard) in critically ill patients with acute kidney injury and found neutral results for 90-day all-cause mortality. Probabilistic exploration of the trial endpoints may enable greater understanding of the trial findings. We aimed to perform a reanalysis using a Bayesian framework. We performed a secondary analysis of all 2927 patients randomized in multi-national STARRT-AKI trial, performed at 168 centers in 15 countries. The primary endpoint, 90-day all-cause mortality, was evaluated using hierarchical Bayesian logistic regression. A spectrum of priors includes optimistic, neutral, and pessimistic priors, along with priors informed from earlier clinical trials. Secondary endpoints (KRT-free days and hospital-free days) were assessed using zero–one inflated beta regression. The posterior probability of benefit comparing an accelerated versus a standard KRT initiation strategy for the primary endpoint suggested no important difference, regardless of the prior used (absolute difference of 0.13% [95% credible interval [CrI] − 3.30% 3.40%], − 0.39% [95% CrI − 3.46% 3.00%], and 0.64% [95% CrI − 2.53% 3.88%] for neutral, optimistic, and pessimistic priors, respectively). There was a very low probability that the effect size was equal or larger than a consensus-defined minimal clinically important difference. Patients allocated to the accelerated strategy had a lower number of KRT-free days (median absolute difference of − 3.55 days [95% CrI − 6.38 − 0.48]), with a probability that the accelerated strategy was associated with more KRT-free days of 0.008. Hospital-free days were similar between strategies, with the accelerated strategy having a median absolute difference of 0.48 more hospital-free days (95% CrI − 1.87 2.72) compared with the standard strategy and the probability that the accelerated strategy had more hospital-free days was 0.66. In a Bayesian reanalysis of the STARRT-AKI trial, we found very low probability that an accelerated strategy has clinically important benefits compared with the standard strategy. Patients receiving the accelerated strategy probably have fewer days alive and KRT-free. These findings do not support the adoption of an accelerated strategy of KRT initiation.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 07-2022
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 11-12-2021
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-020-03065-Y
Abstract: Host-mediated lung inflammation is present
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 07-03-2022
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-022-04576-6
Abstract: Critical COVID-19 is caused by immune-mediated inflammatory lung injury. Host genetic variation influences the development of illness requiring critical care 1 or hospitalization 2–4 after infection with SARS-CoV-2. The GenOMICC (Genetics of Mortality in Critical Care) study enables the comparison of genomes from in iduals who are critically ill with those of population controls to find underlying disease mechanisms. Here we use whole-genome sequencing in 7,491 critically ill in iduals compared with 48,400 controls to discover and replicate 23 independent variants that significantly predispose to critical COVID-19. We identify 16 new independent associations, including variants within genes that are involved in interferon signalling ( IL10RB and PLSCR1 ), leucocyte differentiation ( BCL11A ) and blood-type antigen secretor status ( FUT2 ). Using transcriptome-wide association and colocalization to infer the effect of gene expression on disease severity, we find evidence that implicates multiple genes—including reduced expression of a membrane flippase ( ATP11A ), and increased expression of a mucin ( MUC1 )—in critical disease. Mendelian randomization provides evidence in support of causal roles for myeloid cell adhesion molecules ( SELE , ICAM5 and CD209 ) and the coagulation factor F8 , all of which are potentially druggable targets. Our results are broadly consistent with a multi-component model of COVID-19 pathophysiology, in which at least two distinct mechanisms can predispose to life-threatening disease: failure to control viral replication or an enhanced tendency towards pulmonary inflammation and intravascular coagulation. We show that comparison between cases of critical illness and population controls is highly efficient for the detection of therapeutically relevant mechanisms of disease.
Publisher: Massachusetts Medical Society
Date: 19-07-2100
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 17-05-2023
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-023-06034-3
Abstract: Critical illness in COVID-19 is an extreme and clinically homogeneous disease phenotype that we have previously shown 1 to be highly efficient for discovery of genetic associations 2 . Despite the advanced stage of illness at presentation, we have shown that host genetics in patients who are critically ill with COVID-19 can identify immunomodulatory therapies with strong beneficial effects in this group 3 . Here we analyse 24,202 cases of COVID-19 with critical illness comprising a combination of microarray genotype and whole-genome sequencing data from cases of critical illness in the international GenOMICC (11,440 cases) study, combined with other studies recruiting hospitalized patients with a strong focus on severe and critical disease: ISARIC4C (676 cases) and the SCOURGE consortium (5,934 cases). To put these results in the context of existing work, we conduct a meta-analysis of the new GenOMICC genome-wide association study (GWAS) results with previously published data. We find 49 genome-wide significant associations, of which 16 have not been reported previously. To investigate the therapeutic implications of these findings, we infer the structural consequences of protein-coding variants, and combine our GWAS results with gene expression data using a monocyte transcriptome-wide association study (TWAS) model, as well as gene and protein expression using Mendelian randomization. We identify potentially druggable targets in multiple systems, including inflammatory signalling ( JAK1 ), monocyte–macrophage activation and endothelial permeability ( PDE4A ), immunometabolism ( SLC2A5 and AK5 ), and host factors required for viral entry and replication ( TMPRSS2 and RAB2A ).
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 05-2023
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 05-2021
Publisher: American Medical Association (AMA)
Date: 10-2023
DOI: 10.1001/JAMAPEDIATRICS.2023.3117
Abstract: Multiple SARS-CoV-2 variants have emerged over the COVID-19 pandemic. The implications for COVID-19 severity in children worldwide are unclear. To determine whether the dominant circulating SARS-CoV-2 variants of concern (VOCs) were associated with differences in COVID-19 severity among hospitalized children. Clinical data from hospitalized children and adolescents (younger than 18 years) who were SARS-CoV-2 positive were obtained from 9 countries (Australia, Brazil, Italy, Portugal, South Africa, Switzerland, Thailand, UK, and the US) during 3 different time frames. Time frames 1 (T1), 2 (T2), and 3 (T3) were defined to represent periods of dominance by the ancestral virus, pre-Omicron VOCs, and Omicron, respectively. Age groups for analysis were younger than 6 months, 6 months to younger than 5 years, and 5 to younger than 18 years. Children with an incidental positive test result for SARS-CoV-2 were excluded. SARS-CoV-2 hospitalization during the stipulated time frame. The severity of disease was assessed by admission to intensive care unit (ICU), the need for ventilatory support, or oxygen therapy. Among 31 785 hospitalized children and adolescents, the median age was 4 (IQR 1-12) years and 16 639 were male (52.3%). In children younger than 5 years, across successive SARS-CoV-2 waves, there was a reduction in ICU admission (T3 vs T1: risk ratio [RR], 0.56 95% CI, 0.42-0.75 [younger than 6 months] RR, 0.61, 95% CI 0.47-0.79 [6 months to younger than 5 years]), but not ventilatory support or oxygen therapy. In contrast, ICU admission (T3 vs T1: RR, 0.39, 95% CI, 0.32-0.48), ventilatory support (T3 vs T1: RR, 0.37 95% CI, 0.27-0.51), and oxygen therapy (T3 vs T1: RR, 0.47 95% CI, 0.32-0.70) decreased across SARS-CoV-2 waves in children 5 years to younger than 18 years old. The results were consistent when data were restricted to unvaccinated children. This study provides valuable insights into the impact of SARS-CoV-2 VOCs on the severity of COVID-19 in hospitalized children across different age groups and countries, suggesting that while ICU admissions decreased across the pandemic in all age groups, ventilatory and oxygen support generally did not decrease over time in children aged younger than 5 years. These findings highlight the importance of considering different pediatric age groups when assessing disease severity in COVID-19.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 02-2021
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 06-09-2023
Publisher: American Thoracic Society
Date: 09-2022
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 05-2021
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 27-04-2022
DOI: 10.1038/S41598-022-08032-3
Abstract: COVID-19 is clinically characterised by fever, cough, and dyspnoea. Symptoms affecting other organ systems have been reported. However, it is the clinical associations of different patterns of symptoms which influence diagnostic and therapeutic decision-making. In this study, we applied clustering techniques to a large prospective cohort of hospitalised patients with COVID-19 to identify clinically meaningful sub-phenotypes. We obtained structured clinical data on 59,011 patients in the UK (the ISARIC Coronavirus Clinical Characterisation Consortium, 4C) and used a principled, unsupervised clustering approach to partition the first 25,477 cases according to symptoms reported at recruitment. We validated our findings in a second group of 33,534 cases recruited to ISARIC-4C, and in 4,445 cases recruited to a separate study of community cases. Unsupervised clustering identified distinct sub-phenotypes. First, a core symptom set of fever, cough, and dyspnoea, which co-occurred with additional symptoms in three further patterns: fatigue and confusion, diarrhoea and vomiting, or productive cough. Presentations with a single reported symptom of dyspnoea or confusion were also identified, alongside a sub-phenotype of patients reporting few or no symptoms. Patients presenting with gastrointestinal symptoms were more commonly female, had a longer duration of symptoms before presentation, and had lower 30-day mortality. Patients presenting with confusion, with or without core symptoms, were older and had a higher unadjusted mortality. Symptom sub-phenotypes were highly consistent in replication analysis within the ISARIC-4C study. Similar patterns were externally verified in patients from a study of self-reported symptoms of mild disease. The large scale of the ISARIC-4C study enabled robust, granular discovery and replication. Clinical interpretation is necessary to determine which of these observations have practical utility. We propose that four sub-phenotypes are usefully distinct from the core symptom group: gastro-intestinal disease, productive cough, confusion, and pauci-symptomatic presentations. Importantly, each is associated with an in-hospital mortality which differs from that of patients with core symptoms.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 04-11-2022
DOI: 10.1007/S00134-022-06912-W
Abstract: To assess whether pre-existing chronic kidney disease (CKD) modified the relationship between the strategy for renal-replacement theraphy (RRT) initiation and clinical outcomes in the STARRT-AKI trial. This was a secondary analysis of a multi-national randomized trial. We included patients who had documented pre-existing estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) data prior to hospitalization, and we defined CKD as an eGFR ≤ 59 mL/min/1.73 m We studied 1121 patients who had pre-hospital measures of kidney function. Of these, 432 patients (38.5%) had CKD. The median (IQR) baseline serum creatinine was 130 (114-160) and 76 (64-90) µmol/L for those with and without CKD, respectively. Patients with CKD were older and more likely to have cardiovascular comorbidities and diabetes mellitus. Patients with CKD had higher 90-day mortality (47% vs. 40%, p < 0.001) compared to those without CKD, though this was not significant after covariate adjustment (adjusted odds ratio [aOR], 1.05 95% CI, 0.79-1.41). Patients with CKD were more likely to remain RRT dependent at 90 days (14% vs. 8% aOR, 1.89 95% CI, 1.05-3.43). CKD status did not modify the effect of RRT initiation strategy on 90-day mortality. Among patients with CKD, allocation to the accelerated strategy conferred more than threefold greater odds of RRT dependence at 90 days (aOR 3.18 95% CI, 1.41-7.91) compared with the standard strategy, whereas RRT initiation strategy had no effect on this outcome among those without CKD (aOR 0.71 95% CI, 0.34-1.47, p value for interaction, 0.009). In this secondary analysis of the STARRT-AKI trial, an accelerated strategy of RRT initiation conferred a higher risk of 90-day RRT dependence among patients with pre-existing CKD however, no effect was observed in the absence of CKD.
Publisher: Massachusetts Medical Society
Date: 16-07-2020
Publisher: Massachusetts Medical Society
Date: 25-02-2021
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Start Date: 2021
End Date: 2025
Funder: NIHR Evaluation Trials and Studies Coordinating Centre
View Funded Activity