ORCID Profile
0000-0003-4608-5313
Current Organisation
University of Adelaide
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Publisher: Wiley
Date: 27-06-2021
DOI: 10.1002/RSE2.221
Abstract: Forest cover requires large scale and frequent monitoring as an indicator of bio ersity and progress towards United Nations and World Bank Sustainable Development Goal 15. Measuring change in forest cover over time is an essential task in order to track and preserve quality habitats for species around the world. Due to the prohibitive expense and impracticality of mass field data collection to monitor forest cover at regular intervals, satellite images are a key data source for monitoring forest cover globally. A challenge of working with satellite images is missing data due to clouds. Existing methods for interpolating the missing data based on past images, such as compositing, are effective for stable land cover but can be inaccurate for dynamic and substantially changing landscapes. Here we present an adaptation of our recent stochastic spatial random forest (SS‐RF) method, which combines observed data from a prior image and modelled estimates of the current image to produce interpolated land cover values and associated probabilities of those values. Results show our SS‐RF method accurately detected simulated land cover change under both clear felling (0.83 average overall accuracy) and tree thinning (0.85 average overall accuracy). Our method detected forest cover change substantially more accurately than compositing, offering 39% and 12% increases in average overall accuracy for clear felling and tree thinning simulations respectively. However, when natural fluctuation occurs and there is minimal change in land cover, compositing has equivalent or more accurate performance than our method. Overall we find that our SS‐RF method produces accurate estimates under a range of simulated forest clearing scenarios and has a more accurate and robust performance than compositing when modelling noticeably changing landscapes.
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 14-02-2021
Publisher: Public Library of Science (PLoS)
Date: 11-12-2019
Publisher: MDPI AG
Date: 28-08-2018
DOI: 10.3390/RS10091365
Abstract: Interest in statistical analysis of remote sensing data to produce measurements of environment, agriculture, and sustainable development is established and continues to increase, and this is leading to a growing interaction between the earth science and statistical domains. With this in mind, we reviewed the literature on statistical machine learning methods commonly applied to remote sensing data. We focus particularly on applications related to the United Nations World Bank Sustainable Development Goals, including agriculture (food security), forests (life on land), and water (water quality). We provide a review of useful statistical machine learning methods, how they work in a remote sensing context, and ex les of their application to these types of data in the literature. Rather than prescribing particular methods for specific applications, we provide guidance, ex les, and case studies from the literature for the remote sensing practitioner and applied statistician. In the supplementary material, we also describe the necessary steps pre and post analysis for remote sensing data the pre-processing and evaluation steps.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 31-07-2020
DOI: 10.1186/S40537-020-00331-8
Abstract: Forests are a global environmental priority that need to be monitored frequently and at large scales. Satellite images are a proven useful, free data source for regular global forest monitoring but these images often have missing data in tropical regions due to climate driven persistent cloud cover. Remote sensing and statistical approaches to filling these missing data gaps exist and these can be highly accurate, but any interpolation method results are uncertain and these methods do not provide measures of this uncertainty. We present a new two-step spatial stochastic random forest (SS-RF) method that uses random forest algorithms to construct Beta distributions for interpolating missing data. This method has comparable performance with the traditional remote sensing compositing method, and additionally provides a probability for each interpolated data point. Our results show that the SS-RF method can accurately interpolate missing data and quantify uncertainty and its applicability to the challenge of monitoring forest using free and incomplete satellite imagery data. We propose that there is scope for our SS-RF method to be applied to other big data problems where a measurement of uncertainty is needed in addition to estimates.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 27-01-2020
DOI: 10.1111/ELE.13465
Abstract: Well-intentioned environmental management can backfire, causing unforeseen damage. To avoid this, managers and ecologists seek accurate predictions of the ecosystem-wide impacts of interventions, given small and imprecise datasets, which is an incredibly difficult task. We generated and analysed thousands of ecosystem population time series to investigate whether fitted models can aid decision-makers to select interventions. Using these time-series data (sparse and noisy datasets drawn from deterministic Lotka-Volterra systems with two to nine species, of known network structure), dynamic model forecasts of whether a species' future population will be positively or negatively affected by rapid eradication of another species were correct > 70% of the time. Although 70% correct classifications is only slightly better than an uninformative prediction (50%), this classification accuracy can be feasibly improved by increasing monitoring accuracy and frequency. Our findings suggest that models may not need to produce well-constrained predictions before they can inform decisions that improve environmental outcomes.
Publisher: MDPI AG
Date: 31-07-2019
DOI: 10.3390/RS11151796
Abstract: Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) are a set of priorities the United Nations and World Bank have set for countries to reach in order to improve quality of life and environment globally by 2030. Free satellite images have been identified as a key resource that can be used to produce official statistics and analysis to measure progress towards SDGs, especially those that are concerned with the physical environment, such as forest, water, and crops. Satellite images can often be unusable due to missing data from cloud cover, particularly in tropical areas where the deforestation rates are high. There are existing methods for filling in image gaps however, these are often computationally expensive in image classification or not effective at pixel scale. To address this, we use two machine learning methods—gradient boosted machine and random forest algorithms—to classify the observed and simulated ‘missing’ pixels in satellite images as either grassland or woodland. We also predict a continuous biophysical variable, Foliage Projective Cover (FPC), which was derived from satellite images, and perform accurate binary classification and prediction using only the latitude and longitude of the pixels. We compare the performance of these methods against each other and inverse distance weighted interpolation, which is a well-established spatial interpolation method. We find both of the machine learning methods, particularly random forest, perform fast and accurate classifications of both observed and missing pixels, with up to 0.90 accuracy for the binary classification of pixels as grassland or woodland. The results show that the random forest method is more accurate than inverse distance weighted interpolation and gradient boosted machine for prediction of FPC for observed and missing data. Based on the case study results from a sub-tropical site in Australia, we show that our approach provides an efficient alternative for interpolating images and performing land cover classifications.
Publisher: MDPI AG
Date: 21-12-2022
Abstract: Evapotranspiration by phreatophytes in riparian zones makes up a large component of the water balance. However, our understanding of the relative importance of controlling factors such as climatic conditions, species type, depth to groundwater and distance to surface water in riparian zones remains a significant knowledge gap. A field experiment was conducted in an irrigated catchment in North Queensland, Australia, to investigate the factors controlling evapotranspiration by groundwater dependent trees. The sap flow of four tree species was measured, along with soil moisture, groundwater levels and local climatic conditions. The relative influence of species, hydrologic and climate factors, and measured variables were investigated with two non-parametric methods: random forest and Principal Component Analysis (PCA). Field monitoring data revealed differences in sap flow rates and diurnal sap flow trends between species. Distance from surface water explained the most variance in sap flow rates, followed by depth to groundwater and species, based on random forest modeling. The sap flow rates for some of the Eucalyptus tessellaris trees at this site reduced as groundwater levels declined. Overall, results demonstrate the value that can be gained from applying non-parametric methods, such as random forest and PCA, to investigate the relative importance of the factors influencing evapotranspiration.
No related grants have been discovered for Jacinta Holloway-Brown.