ORCID Profile
0000-0002-2819-3292
Current Organisation
Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory
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Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 28-04-2021
DOI: 10.5194/ISMC2021-19
Abstract: & & Soil carbon (C) models are used to predict C sequestration responses to climate and land use change. Yet, the soil models embedded in Earth system models typically do not represent processes that reflect our current understanding of soil C cycling, such as microbial decomposition, mineral association, and aggregation. Rather, they rely on conceptual pools with turnover times that are fit to bulk C stocks and/or fluxes. As measurements of soil fractions become increasingly available, soil C models that represent these measurable quantities can be evaluated more accurately. Here we present Version 2 (V2) of the Millennial model, a soil model developed to simulate C pools that can be measured by extraction or fractionation, including particulate organic C, mineral-associated organic C, aggregate C, microbial biomass, and dissolved organic C. Model processes have been updated to reflect the current understanding of mineral-association, temperature sensitivity and reaction kinetics, and different model structures were tested within an open-source framework. We evaluated the ability of Millennial V2 to simulate total soil organic C (SOC), as well as the mineral-associated and particulate fractions, using three soil fractionation data sets spanning a range of climate and geochemistry in Australia (N=495), Europe (N=176), and across the globe (N=730). Millennial V2 (RMSE = 1.98 & #8211 4.76 kg, AIC = 597 & #8211 1755) generally predicts SOC content better than the widely-used Century model (RMSE = 2.23 & #8211 4.8 kg, AIC = 584 & #8211 2271), despite an increase in process complexity and number of parameters. Millennial V2 reproduces between-site variation in SOC across a gradient of plant productivity, and predicts SOC turnover times similar to those of a global meta-analysis. Millennial V2 updates the conceptual Century model pools and processes and represents our current understanding of the roles that microbial activity, mineral association and aggregation play in soil C sequestration.& &
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 2016
DOI: 10.1002/2015GB005239
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 21-10-2020
DOI: 10.1111/NPH.16866
Abstract: Atmospheric carbon dioxide concentration ([CO 2 ]) is increasing, which increases leaf‐scale photosynthesis and intrinsic water‐use efficiency. These direct responses have the potential to increase plant growth, vegetation biomass, and soil organic matter transferring carbon from the atmosphere into terrestrial ecosystems (a carbon sink). A substantial global terrestrial carbon sink would slow the rate of [CO 2 ] increase and thus climate change. However, ecosystem CO 2 responses are complex or confounded by concurrent changes in multiple agents of global change and evidence for a [CO 2 ]‐driven terrestrial carbon sink can appear contradictory. Here we synthesize theory and broad, multidisciplinary evidence for the effects of increasing [CO 2 ] (iCO 2 ) on the global terrestrial carbon sink. Evidence suggests a substantial increase in global photosynthesis since pre‐industrial times. Established theory, supported by experiments, indicates that iCO 2 is likely responsible for about half of the increase. Global carbon budgeting, atmospheric data, and forest inventories indicate a historical carbon sink, and these apparent iCO 2 responses are high in comparison to experiments and predictions from theory. Plant mortality and soil carbon iCO 2 responses are highly uncertain. In conclusion, a range of evidence supports a positive terrestrial carbon sink in response to iCO 2 , albeit with uncertain magnitude and strong suggestion of a role for additional agents of global change.
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 10-2015
DOI: 10.1002/2015GB005188
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 27-03-2022
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU22-6079
Abstract: & & Forestry is a regionally dominant land use but the carbon and climate impact of boreal forest management is not well characterized, partly because no large-scale maps of managed and primary unmanaged forests exist. Northern land has greened considerably during the last decades and there is evidence of the growing dominance of the boreal biome in the global land sink of carbon. However it remains unclear what drives the observed changes, if it is management or environmental changes.& & & & In this project we have mapped and classified the naturalness of more than 400 primary forests in Sweden. The primary forests are found from the temperate south to the boreal north of the country, and managed secondary forests are identified close to each primary forest forming spatial pairs of primary and secondary forests that share climate and landscape history but not management. The primary forests represent a natural baseline of ecosystem states and changes. Changes in these forests are driven by regional to global environmental change such as elevated CO2 concentrations, warming or nitrogen deposition. The managed forests on the other hand are influenced by both environmental changes and management. By studying the states and changes in the primary forests we can gain new knowledge in how ecosystems would have changed and what their states would have been with no management. By contrasting changes and states in the managed ecosystems we can estimate the long-term influence of management on both states and changes.& & & & In this project the maps are used in combination with more than 100k forest inventory plots, extensive targeted field s ling over two years and remote sensing to understand, (i) changes in remotely sensed greening since 1984, and (ii) differences in carbon storage. We will present and discuss preliminary and more mature results that suggests that (i) primary forests have greened considerably since 1984, and at mature ages, faster than managed forests do, and (ii) store considerably more carbon than the paired managed forests do.& & &
Location: United States of America
Location: United States of America
Location: United States of America
Location: United States of America
No related grants have been discovered for Katerina Georgiou.