ORCID Profile
0000-0002-3126-3853
Current Organisation
Universitas Padjadjaran
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Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 08-2019
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 22-10-2015
Publisher: Edward Elgar Publishing
Date: 27-01-2005
Publisher: World Scientific Pub Co Pte Ltd
Date: 08-2018
DOI: 10.1162/ADEV_A_00115
Abstract: Indonesia has introduced a moratorium on the conversion of natural forests to land used for palm oil production. Using a dynamic, bottom-up, interregional computable general equilibrium model of the Indonesian economy, we assess several scenarios of the moratorium and discuss its impacts on the domestic economy as well as on regional economies within Indonesia. We find the moratorium reduces Indonesian economic growth and other macroeconomic indicators, but international transfers can more than compensate the welfare losses. The impacts also vary across regions. Sumatra, which is highly dependent on palm oil and is home to forests that no longer have a high carbon stock, receives fewer transfers and suffers the greatest economic loss. Kalimantan, which is relatively less dependent on palm oil and has forests with a relatively high carbon stock, receives more transfers and gets greater benefit. This implies that additional policy measures anticipating the unbalanced impacts of the moratorium are required if the trade-off between conservation and reducing interregional economic disparity is to be reconciled.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 2021
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 2021
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 10-2021
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 06-01-2020
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 11-2020
Publisher: Emerald
Date: 14-05-2018
DOI: 10.1108/IJSE-03-2017-0072
Abstract: The purpose of this paper is to analyze the impact of unconditional cash transfers in Indonesia on poverty and inequality while, unlike much of the previous literature on the welfare impact of such transfers, acknowledging that they will have both a direct effect and an economy-wide effect on the national economy. The methodology used is a Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) model of the Indonesian economy. The unique feature of this model, which is very relevant in this study, is the disaggregation of households by expenditure classes this allows for precise estimation of the distributional impact and poverty incidence. The results suggest that, despite a large reduction in poverty, particularly in rural areas, such transfers reduce the Indonesian GDP, especially if domestically financed through increasing the value added tax of all commodities. However, the GDP reduction can be reduced by approximately half when cash transfers are financed by reducing the distortionary fuel subsidy. Moreover, cash transfers financed by reducing the fuel subsidy also reduce inequality by much more than otherwise. Various extents of the distribution of the transfers are compared, from giving them to the poorest 10 percent to distributing them equally to all households. The benefit of the transfers, in terms of reduced poverty and inequality, is found to be smaller when the author extends the beneficiaries toward the non-poor, although the economy-wide cost, in terms of the reduced GDP, is smaller. The CGE model used in this model is a comparative-static model that does not explicitly model the time dimension, i.e. how the impact of the transfers evolves over time. This is important if we want to know the timing of the transfers and how and when they are translated into impacts. To reduce the contractionary effect of cash transfers program, government olicy makers should carefully look for appropriate financing such as from removing subsidy with pre-existing distortions like fuel subsidies. Government needs to carefully design cash transfers to minimize the negative indirect (economy-wide) implication for the national economy and to make sure that the transfers reach the targeted beneficiaries. Few previous studies have acknowledged the indirect economy-wide effect in analyzing the impact of cash transfers. To the author’s knowledge, this has never been done before for Indonesia. Unlike previous studies, this paper is unique as it contains sensitivity analysis on how transfers can be mistargeted and reach the non-poor and looks at the implications not only for poverty and inequality but also for the rest of the economy.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 26-10-2014
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 02-09-2015
Publisher: Springer Singapore
Date: 2016
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 10-06-2014
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 10-2022
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 08-2012
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 07-2011
Publisher: RFF Press
Date: 29-03-2012
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 08-01-2014
DOI: 10.1111/AGEC.12107
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 04-05-2014
Publisher: Informa UK Limited
Date: 12-2009
Publisher: Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences
Date: 09-01-2012
Abstract: We estimate and map the impacts that alternative national and subnational economic incentive structures for reducing emissions from deforestation (REDD+) in Indonesia would have had on greenhouse gas emissions and national and local revenue if they had been in place from 2000 to 2005. The impact of carbon payments on deforestation is calibrated econometrically from the pattern of observed deforestation and spatial variation in the benefits and costs of converting land to agriculture over that time period. We estimate that at an international carbon price of $10/tCO 2 e, a “mandatory incentive structure,” such as a cap-and-trade or symmetric tax-and-subsidy program, would have reduced emissions by 163–247 MtCO 2 e/y (20–31% below the without-REDD+ reference scenario), while generating a programmatic budget surplus. In contrast, a “basic voluntary incentive structure” modeled after a standard payment-for-environmental-services program would have reduced emissions nationally by only 45–76 MtCO 2 e/y (6–9%), while generating a programmatic budget shortfall. By making four policy improvements—paying for net emission reductions at the scale of an entire district rather than site-by-site paying for reductions relative to reference levels that match business-as-usual levels sharing a portion of district-level revenues with the national government and sharing a portion of the national government's responsibility for costs with districts—an “improved voluntary incentive structure” would have been nearly as effective as a mandatory incentive structure, reducing emissions by 136–207 MtCO 2 e/y (17–26%) and generating a programmatic budget surplus.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 15-10-2021
Publisher: Cambridge University Press (CUP)
Date: 21-11-2005
DOI: 10.1017/S1355770X05002548
Abstract: Hedonic valuation of quality attributes can be misleading when the assumption that these attributes are exogenous to s le selection is violated. This paper considers the simultaneity between hedonic valuation and s le selection in the context of a model of consumer behavior over packaged goods and investigates empirically how the decision on house location (urban/rural) affects the household's valuation of water-related characteristics of the house in question. The empirical analysis uses data from the Indonesian housing market and suggests that households value access to safe and improved domestic water sources. However, failing to correct for s le selection results in a biased valuation of willingness to pay for house characteristics. This might misguide policy recommendations for improved provision of domestic water, based on cost–benefit analysis.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 23-09-2021
DOI: 10.1111/RSP3.12463
Abstract: Using a recursive‐dynamic multiregional computable general equilibrium (CGE) modelling approach, we introduced a set of sector‐specific labour productivity shocks representing the effect of Industry 4.0 on the Indonesian economy. The results suggest that Indonesia’s long‐term economic growth will increase from 5.2% per year to 5.7% per year. In terms of output expansion, the top gainer would be the machinery and motor vehicles sector, and to a lesser extent, finance, whereas low gainers include extractive and agricultural sectors and food processing industries. Region‐wise, Java, the already advanced region, will be the primary beneficiary of the growth, while other islands will not benefit as much. There is not much risk of unfavourable distributional effect. However, agriculture workers will lose out compared with workers in other sectors, particularly those with intermediate skill levels.
Publisher: MDPI AG
Date: 31-12-2019
DOI: 10.3390/REL11010021
Abstract: Motivated by increasing religious intolerance, we study the socio-economic covariates of in idual-level religious intolerance in Indonesia, the largest Muslim democracy in the world. We use panel data from 2007 and 2014 of more than 20,000 adult in iduals (representing 83% of the population) and apply fixed-effect regression analysis to identify relevant socio-economic characteristics that are highly associated with religious intolerance at the in idual level. We utilize survey questions on willingness to accept someone with different faith living in the same village, living in the same neighborhood, renting a house, marrying relatives or children, and building a place of worship in the neighborhood as our measures of religious intolerance. We find that higher in idual income and educational attainment are positively correlated with the tolerance level. At the same time, a higher level of self-declared religiosity is negatively correlated with a tolerant attitude. For location-specific characteristics, higher income inequality and extent of poverty in the location where an in idual resides are associated with a higher level of religious intolerance. These patterns are generally robust across different measures of religious intolerance, although there is heterogeneity in the magnitudes of the correlations, where these covariates have the smallest correlations with the willingness to accept interfaith marriage in the family.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 03-2009
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
No related grants have been discovered for Arief Yusuf.