ORCID Profile
0000-0002-9944-4976
Current Organisation
University of Toronto
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Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 11-2019
DOI: 10.1016/J.DIABRES.2019.107843
Abstract: To provide global estimates of diabetes prevalence for 2019 and projections for 2030 and 2045. A total of 255 high-quality data sources, published between 1990 and 2018 and representing 138 countries were identified. For countries without high quality in-country data, estimates were extrapolated from similar countries matched by economy, ethnicity, geography and language. Logistic regression was used to generate smoothed age-specific diabetes prevalence estimates (including previously undiagnosed diabetes) in adults aged 20-79 years. The global diabetes prevalence in 2019 is estimated to be 9.3% (463 million people), rising to 10.2% (578 million) by 2030 and 10.9% (700 million) by 2045. The prevalence is higher in urban (10.8%) than rural (7.2%) areas, and in high-income (10.4%) than low-income countries (4.0%). One in two (50.1%) people living with diabetes do not know that they have diabetes. The global prevalence of impaired glucose tolerance is estimated to be 7.5% (374 million) in 2019 and projected to reach 8.0% (454 million) by 2030 and 8.6% (548 million) by 2045. Just under half a billion people are living with diabetes worldwide and the number is projected to increase by 25% in 2030 and 51% in 2045.
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 04-2017
DOI: 10.1016/J.JCJD.2016.08.218
Abstract: Sulfonylureas have been inconsistently associated with increased cardiovascular mortality in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus. However, there are no existing studies of long-term risk in South Asian and Chinese populations. Our objective was to determine whether sulfonylureas are associated with increased mortality or cardiovascular disease in a population cohort of South Asian, Chinese and other Canadian patients with incident diabetes. We studied a population-based cohort of adults 35 years of age or older who had diabetes and had been diagnosed between April 2004 and March 2014 by using administrative databases from British Columbia. The primary outcome was time to death from any cause or from a major cardiovascular event (MACE) with sulfonylurea treatment within each ethnicity. Propensity score modelling was applied using inverse probability of treatment weights. Results were stratified by agent and adjusted for age, sex, comorbidities, income and other medications. We included 208 870 patients: 13 755 South Asians, 22 871 Chinese, 172 244 other Canadians. Mortality and MACEs were higher in other Canadian patients for whom sulfonylureas had been prescribed (adjusted HR = 2.0 95% confidence interval 1.9 to 2.2 and HR = 1.9, 1.7 to 2.2). Among Chinese and South Asian patients who had been prescribed sulfonylureas, mortality (HR = 2.6, 2.0 to 3.5 and HR = 2.4, 1.7 to 3.4, respectively) and MACEs (HR = 2.3 1.4 to 4.0 and HR = 2.0, 1.2 to 3.2, respectively) were elevated. Considering the widespread use of sulfonylureas, there is a significant signal for increased mortality in all patients. In particular, increased mortality and MACEs were observed in South Asian and Chinese patients. These results should be confirmed in other studies, and patients of Asian descent should be included in clinical trials concerning diabetes.
Publisher: BMJ
Date: 08-2017
DOI: 10.1136/BMJOPEN-2016-013808
Abstract: Guidelines recommend ACE inhibitors (ACEi), angiotensin receptor blockers (ARBs), calcium channel blockers (CCBs) and diuretics in all patients with diabetes mellitus. However, the effectiveness of these agents in South Asian and Chinese populations is unknown. We sought to determine whether ACEi, ARB, CCB and diuretics are associated with reduced mortality in South Asian, Chinese and other patients with diabetes. Population-based cohort study using administrative health databases. Province of British Columbia, Canada (2006–2013). Patients aged ≥35 years with incident diabetes. Primary outcome was all-cause mortality for each medication class compared with untreated patients within each ethnicity. Treatment effect was assessed using inverse probability of treatment weighted Cox proportional hazards models. Medication adherence effect on mortality was also evaluated. 208 870 patients (13 755 South Asian, 22 871 Chinese, 172 244 other Canadian) were included. ACEi reduced mortality in other patients (HR=0.88, 0.84–0.91), but power was insufficient to evaluate for benefit in Chinese and South Asian patients. ARB and diuretics reduced mortality in Chinese (ARB HR=0.64, 0.50–0.82 diuretics HR=0.77, 0.62–0.96) and other patients (ARB HR=0.69, 0.64–0.74 diuretics HR=0.66, 0.63–0.69) compared with untreated patients. No mortality benefit was observed among South Asians for any drug class or for CCB among all ethnicities. Higher medication adherence was associated with lower mortality for other patients only (HR=0.79, 0.72–0.86). Effectiveness of cardiovascular risk reduction therapy on mortality varies considerably by ethnicity. Further study is needed to evaluate the mortality benefit of antihypertensive agents in South Asians. Inclusion of these ethnic groups in future clinical trials is essential to examine for differential responses.
No related grants have been discovered for Calvin Ke.