ORCID Profile
0000-0003-3462-3559
Current Organisations
Imperial College London
,
University of New South Wales
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In Research Link Australia (RLA), "Research Topics" refer to ANZSRC FOR and SEO codes. These topics are either sourced from ANZSRC FOR and SEO codes listed in researchers' related grants or generated by a large language model (LLM) based on their publications.
Physical Oceanography | Climate Change Processes | Atmospheric Sciences | Oceanography | Glaciology | Meteorology | Geophysical Fluid Dynamics
Climate Variability (excl. Social Impacts) | Climate Change Models | Effects of Climate Change and Variability on Antarctic and Sub-Antarctic Environments (excl. Social Impacts) | Effects of Climate Change and Variability on Australia (excl. Social Impacts) | Atmospheric Processes and Dynamics | Physical and Chemical Conditions of Water in Marine Environments | Climate and Climate Change not elsewhere classified | Expanding Knowledge in the Environmental Sciences | Expanding Knowledge in the Earth Sciences | Expanding Knowledge in the Information and Computing Sciences |
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 05-05-2020
DOI: 10.1007/S00382-020-05261-Y
Abstract: Observations over the last 40 years show that the Atlantic Ocean salinity pattern has lified, likely in response to changes in the atmospheric branch of the global water cycle. Observational estimates of oceanic meridional freshwater transport ( FWT ) at 26.5° N indicate a large increase over the last few decades, during an apparent decrease in the Atlantic Meridional Overturning Circulation ( AMOC ). However, there is limited observation based information at other latitudes. The relative importance of changing FWT ergence in these trends remains uncertain. Ten models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 are analysed for AMOC, FWT , water cycle, and salinity changes over 1950–2100. Over this timescale, strong trends in the water cycle and oceanic freshwater transports emerge, a part of anthropogenic climate change. Results show that as the water cycle lifies with warming, FWT strengthens (more southward freshwater transport) throughout the Atlantic sector over the 21st century. FWT strengthens in the North Atlantic subtropical region in spite of declining AMOC , as the long-term trend is dominated by salinity change. The AMOC decline also induces a southward shift of the Inter-Tropical Convergence Zone and a dipole pattern of precipitation change over the tropical region. The consequent decrease in freshwater input north of the equator together with increasing net evaporation lead to strong salinification of the North Atlantic sub-tropical region, enhancing net northward salt transport. This opposes the influence of further AMOC weakening and results in intensifying southward freshwater transports across the entire Atlantic.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 04-2017
Abstract: For decades oceanographers have understood the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation (AMOC) to be primarily driven by changes in the production of deep-water formation in the subpolar and subarctic North Atlantic. Indeed, current Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) projections of an AMOC slowdown in the twenty-first century based on climate models are attributed to the inhibition of deep convection in the North Atlantic. However, observational evidence for this linkage has been elusive: there has been no clear demonstration of AMOC variability in response to changes in deep-water formation. The motivation for understanding this linkage is compelling, since the overturning circulation has been shown to sequester heat and anthropogenic carbon in the deep ocean. Furthermore, AMOC variability is expected to impact this sequestration as well as have consequences for regional and global climates through its effect on the poleward transport of warm water. Motivated by the need for a mechanistic understanding of the AMOC, an international community has assembled an observing system, Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP), to provide a continuous record of the transbasin fluxes of heat, mass, and freshwater, and to link that record to convective activity and water mass transformation at high latitudes. OSNAP, in conjunction with the Rapid Climate Change–Meridional Overturning Circulation and Heatflux Array (RAPID–MOCHA) at 26°N and other observational elements, will provide a comprehensive measure of the three-dimensional AMOC and an understanding of what drives its variability. The OSNAP observing system was fully deployed in the summer of 2014, and the first OSNAP data products are expected in the fall of 2017.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 03-2017
Abstract: Interannual variability in the volumetric water mass distribution within the North Atlantic Subtropical Gyre is described in relation to variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. The relative roles of diabatic and adiabatic processes in the volume and heat budgets of the subtropical gyre are investigated by projecting data into temperature coordinates as volumes of water using an Argo-based climatology and an ocean state estimate (ECCO version 4). This highlights that variations in the subtropical gyre volume budget are predominantly set by transport ergence in the gyre. A strong correlation between the volume anomaly due to transport ergence and the variability of both thermocline depth and Ekman pumping over the gyre suggests that wind-driven heave drives transport anomalies at the gyre boundaries. This wind-driven heaving contributes significantly to variations in the heat content of the gyre, as do anomalies in the air–sea fluxes. The analysis presented suggests that wind forcing plays an important role in driving interannual variability in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation and that this variability can be unraveled from spatially distributed hydrographic observations using the framework presented here.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 03-2022
Abstract: Anthropogenically induced radiative imbalances in the climate system lead to a slow accumulation of heat in the ocean. This warming is often obscured by natural modes of climate variability such as El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which drive substantial ocean temperature changes as a function of depth and latitude. The use of watermass coordinates has been proposed to help isolate forced signals and filter out fast adiabatic processes associated with modes of variability. However, how much natural modes of variability project into these different coordinate systems has not been quantified. Here we apply a rigorous framework to quantify ocean temperature variability using both a quasi-Lagrangian, watermass-based temperature coordinate and Eulerian depth and latitude coordinates in a free-running climate model under preindustrial conditions. The temperature-based coordinate removes the adiabatic component of ENSO-dominated interannual variability by definition, but a substantial diabatic signal remains. At slower (decadal to centennial) frequencies, variability in the temperature- and depth-based coordinates is comparable. Spectral analysis of temperature tendencies reveals the dominance of advective processes in latitude and depth coordinates while the variability in temperature coordinates is related closely to the surface forcing. Diabatic mixing processes play an important role at slower frequencies where quasi-steady-state balances emerge between forcing and mixing in temperature, advection and mixing in depth, and forcing and advection in latitude. While watermass-based analyses highlight diabatic effects by removing adiabatic variability, our work shows that natural variability has a strong diabatic component and cannot be ignored in the analysis of long-term trends. Quantifying the ocean warming associated with anthropogenically induced radiative imbalances in the climate system can be challenging due to the superposition with modes of internal climate variability such as El Niño. One method proposed to address this issue is the analysis of temperature changes in fluid-following (or “watermass”) coordinates that filter out fast adiabatic processes associated with these modes of variability. In this study we compare a watermass-based analysis with more traditional analyses of temperature changes at fixed depth and latitude to show that even natural modes of climate variability exhibit a substantial signal in watermass coordinates, particularly at decadal and slower frequencies. This natural variability must be taken into account when analyzing long-term temperature trends in the ocean.
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 27-03-2022
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU22-1377
Abstract: & & Global water cycle changes induced by anthropogenic climate change pose a growing threat to existing ecosystems and human infrastructure. However, scarce direct observations of precipitation and evaporation means historical water cycle changes remain uncertain. In this work, we apply a novel watermass-based diagnostic framework to the latest observations of ocean salinity to quantify poleward freshwater transport in the earth system since 1970. This observational estimate is not replicated in any model in the current generation of CMIP6 climate models - likely due to the inaccurate representation of surface freshwater flux intensification in such models. These results provide a first-of-its-kind baseline of observed warm-to-cold freshwater transport since 1970, and also underscore the need to further explore surface freshwater fluxes in existing climate models.& &
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 12-2013
Abstract: The influence of wind forcing on variability of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) is investigated using a series of eddy-permitting ocean–sea ice models. At interannual and decadal time scales the ACC transport is sensitive to both the mean strength of westerly winds along the ACC circumpolar path, consistent with zonal momentum balance theories, and sensitive to the wind stresses along the coast of Antarctica, consistent with the “free mode” theory of Hughes et al. A linear combination of the two factors explains differences in ACC transport across 11 regional quasi-equilibrium experiments. Repeated single-year global experiments show that the ACC can be robustly accelerated by both processes. Across an ensemble of simulations with realistic forcing over the second half of the twentieth century, interannual ACC transport variability owing to the free-mode mechanism exceeds that due to the zonal momentum balance mechanism by a factor of between 3.5 and 5 to one. While the ACC transport may not accelerate significantly owing to projected increases in along-ACC winds in future decades, significant changes in transport could still occur because of changes in the stress along the coast of Antarctica.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 15-04-2023
Abstract: Ocean heat uptake is asymmetric with respect to the sign of radiative forcing. It is already known that surface cooling anomalies penetrate into the ocean faster than surface warming anomalies. Because of this asymmetry, the time-variable component of radiative forcing can induce a long-term, rectified cooling trend in ocean heat content, which is this work’s primary focus. Here, we explore this asymmetry and rectification on global and interannual scales, its implications, and its possible dependence on model parameters. We do so using a full-complexity global ocean–sea ice general circulation model and an idealized one-dimensional vertical mixing model, both forced with idealized abrupt and oscillatory surface forcing anomalies. In both models, the ocean heat uptake response to an abrupt cooling perturbation is larger than an equal-magnitude warming perturbation. This asymmetry is shown to be larger when the background vertical diffusivity is smaller, and is therefore likely model dependent. Sinusoidal oscillatory forcing with zero time mean induces a rectified cooling trend in both models, whose magnitude depends on both the diffusivity and the frequency of the interannual oscillatory forcing. The net rectified cooling can reach a rate of approximately −0.11 W m −2 , which is substantial relative to the estimated anthropogenic warming rate of 0.47 W m −2 (von Schuckmann et al.). We discuss this rectification effect in the context of volcanic forcing in climate models, whose time-variable component may cause model-dependent ocean cooling in CMIP6 historical simulations, reaching 5%–30% the size of the total impact of volcanic forcing in our one-dimensional model. Correcting for this cooling may help reduce uncertainties in modeled ocean heat content evolution.
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 12-03-2020
Abstract: Abstract. A dynamically passive inert tracer was released in the interior South Pacific Ocean at latitudes of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Observational cross sections of the tracer were taken over 4 consecutive years as it drifted through Drake Passage and into the Atlantic Ocean. The tracer was released within a region of high salinity relative to surrounding waters at the same density. In the absence of irreversible mixing a tracer remains at constant salinity and temperature on an isopycnal surface. To investigate the process of irreversible mixing we analysed the tracer in potential density-versus-salinity-anomaly coordinates. Observations of high tracer concentration tended to be collocated with isopycnal salinity anomalies. With time, an initially narrow peak in tracer concentration as a function of salinity at constant density broadened with the tracer being found at ever fresher salinities, consistent with diffusion-like behaviour in that coordinate system. The second moment of the tracer as a function of salinity suggested an initial period of slow spreading for approximately 2 years in the Pacific, followed by more rapid spreading as the tracer entered Drake Passage and the Scotia Sea. Analysis of isopycnal salinity gradients based on the Argo programme suggests that part of this apparent change can be explained by changes in background salinity gradients while part may be explained by the evolution of the tracer patch from a slowly growing phase where the tracer forms filaments to a more rapid phase where the tracer mixes at 240–550 m2 s−1.
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 03-03-2021
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU21-3825
Abstract: & & Antarctic Bottom Water (AABW) is a cold dense water mass which sinks around Antarctica keeping the abyssal ocean relatively cool. Recent observations have suggested a component of recent deep ocean warming is linked to AABW. Here we explore how much changes in AABW could affect changes in vertical ocean heat transport in a warming climate. If the AABW circulation were to be completely extinguished, for ex le due to increases in upper ocean thermal stratification, AABW would cease to cool the deep ocean and hence lead to an effective warming of the abyss. Therefore, we propose that long term mean vertical heat transport of the AABW circulation is an effective upper bound on the change in heat transport that can be affected by changes in AABW. We call this upper bound the & #8216 heat uptake potential& #8217 . We analyse AABW circulations in an ensemble of numerical climate models. We find that the AABW circulation contributes between 0.05Wm& sup& -2& /sup& and 0.15Wm& sup& -2& /sup& to the global vertical heat balance in the model& #8217 s pre-industrial states. Indeed, under abrupt CO& sub& & /sub& forcing changes, AABW heat transport systematically reduces (in some cases completely), with the largest reductions occurring in models with the largest pre-industrial mean heat transports. The AABW circulation vertical heat transport is found to be highly correlated with the minimum of the Meridional Overturning Circulation at 50& sup& o& /sup& S in the models, suggesting there may be observable constraints on the heat uptake potential of AABW.& &
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 05-2023
Abstract: Persistent warming and water cycle change due to anthropogenic climate change modifies the temperature and salinity distribution of the ocean over time. This “forced” signal of temperature and salinity change is often masked by the background internal variability of the climate system. Analyzing temperature and salinity change in water-mass-based coordinate systems has been proposed as an alternative to traditional Eulerian (e.g., fixed-depth, zonally averaged) coordinate systems. The impact of internal variability is thought to be reduced in water-mass coordinates, enabling a cleaner separation of the forced signal from background variability—or a higher “signal-to-noise” ratio. Building on previous analyses comparing Eulerian and water-mass-based one-dimensional coordinates, here we recast two-dimensional coordinate systems—temperature–salinity ( T – S ), latitude–longitude, and latitude–depth—onto a directly comparable equal-volume framework. We compare the internal variability, or “noise” in temperature and salinity between these remapped two-dimensional coordinate systems in a 500-yr preindustrial control run from a CMIP6 climate model. We find that the median internal variability is lowest (and roughly equivalent) in T – S and latitude–depth space, compared with latitude–longitude coordinates. A large proportion of variability in T – S and latitude–depth space can be attributed to processes that operate over a time scale greater than 10 years. Overall, the signal-to-noise ratio in T – S coordinates is roughly comparable to latitude–depth coordinates, but is greater in regions of high historical temperature change. Conversely, latitude–depth coordinates have greater signal-to-noise ratio in regions of historical salinity change. Thus, we conclude that the climatic temperature change signal can be more robustly identified in water-mass coordinates. Changes in ocean temperature and salinity are driven both by human-induced climate change and by modes of natural variability in the climate system, such as El Niño–Southern Oscillation. It can be difficult to isolate the human-induced “signal” of climate change from the natural fluctuations or “noise” in the climate system. Water-mass-based methods, which “follow” a parcel of water around the ocean, have been thought to improve on “Eulerian” (i.e., analyses performed at fixed latitude, longitude, and depth) frames of reference as they are less impacted by the noise. However, it is difficult to cleanly compare between water-mass-based methods and Eulerian methods. Here, we aim to quantify the extent to which water-mass-based frameworks improve on Eulerian frameworks in isolating the climate signal from the noise. We recast water-mass and Eulerian methods onto an equivalent grid, enabling a clean comparison between them, and find that doing so increases the signal-to-noise ratio in water-mass-based coordinates in regions of ocean warming. These results emphasize the utility of water-mass-based methods in analyzing long-term climatic temperature change in the ocean.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 05-2013
Abstract: The overturning circulation of the Southern Ocean has been investigated using eddying coupled ocean–sea ice models. The circulation is diagnosed in both density–latitude coordinates and in depth–density coordinates. Depth–density coordinates follow streamlines where the Antarctic Circumpolar Current is equivalent barotropic, capture the descent of Antarctic Bottom Water, follow density outcrops at the surface, and can be interpreted energetically. In density–latitude coordinates, wind-driven northward transport of light water and southward transport of dense water are compensated by standing meanders and to a lesser degree by transient eddies, consistent with previous results. In depth–density coordinates, however, wind-driven upwelling of dense water and downwelling of light water are compensated more strongly by transient eddy fluxes than fluxes because of standing meanders. Model realizations are discussed where the wind pattern of the southern annular mode is lified. In density–latitude coordinates, meridional fluxes because of transient eddies can increase to counter changes in Ekman transport and decrease in response to changes in the standing meanders. In depth–density coordinates, vertical fluxes because of transient eddies directly counter changes in Ekman pumping.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 21-05-2021
Abstract: Ocean circulation and mixing regulate Earth’s climate by moving heat vertically within the ocean. We present a new formalism to diagnose the role of ocean circulation and diabatic processes in setting vertical heat transport in ocean models. In this formalism we use temperature tendencies, rather than explicit vertical velocities to diagnose circulation. Using quasi-steady state simulations from the Australian Community Climate and Earth-System Simulator Ocean Model (ACCESS-OM2), we diagnose a diathermal overturning circulation in temperature-depth space. Furthermore, projection of tendencies due to diabatic processes onto this coordinate permits us to represent these as apparent overturning circulations. Our framework permits us to extend the concept of Super-Residual Transport (SRT), which combines mean and eddy advection terms with subgridscale isopycnal mixing due to mesoscale eddies, but excludes small-scale three dimensional turbulent mixing effect, to construct a new overturning circulation – the ‘Super Residual Circulation’ (SRC). We find that in the coarse resolution version of ACCESS-OM2 (nominally 1° horizontal resolution) the SRC is dominated by an ~11 Sv circulation which transports heat upward. The SRC’s upward heat transport is ~2 times larger in a finer horizontal resolution (0.1°) version of ACCESS, suggesting a differing balance of super-residual and parameterized small-scale processes may emerge as eddies are resolved. Our analysis adds new insight into super-residual processes, as the SRC elucidates the pathways in temperature and depth space along which watermass transformation occurs.
Publisher: IOP Publishing
Date: 07-2018
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 24-03-2012
DOI: 10.1029/2012GL051004
Publisher: Authorea, Inc.
Date: 20-07-2023
DOI: 10.22541/ESSOAR.168987142.28631718/V1
Abstract: Greenhouse gases and aerosols play a major role in controlling global climate change. Greenhouse gases drive a radiative imbalance which warms the ocean, while aerosols cool the ocean. Since 1980, the effective radiation felt by the planet due to anthropogenic aerosols has levelled off, global ocean cooling due to aerosols has decelerated, and greenhouse gas-driven ocean warming has accelerated. We explore the deceleration of aerosol-driven ocean cooling by quantifying a time- and spatially-varying ocean heat uptake efficiency, defined as the change in the rate of global ocean heat storage per degree of cooling surface temperature. In aerosol-only simulations, ocean heat uptake efficiency has decreased by 69% since the 1900s. The tropics and sub-tropics have driven this decrease, while the coldest fraction of the ocean continues to sustain cooling and high ocean heat uptake efficiency. Our results identify a growing trend towards less efficient ocean cooling due to aerosols.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 09-12-2016
DOI: 10.1038/SREP38752
Abstract: A change in the cycle of water from dry to wet regions of the globe would have far reaching impact on humanity. As air warms, its capacity to hold water increases at the Clausius-Clapeyron rate (CC, approximately 7% °C −1 ). Surface ocean salinity observations have suggested the water cycle has lified at close to CC following recent global warming, a result that was found to be at odds with state-of the art climate models. Here we employ a method based on water mass transformation theory for inferring changes in the water cycle from changes in three-dimensional salinity. Using full depth salinity observations we infer a water cycle lification of 3.0 ± 1.6% °C −1 over 1950–2010. Climate models agree with observations in terms of a water cycle lification (4.3 ± 2.0% °C −1 ) substantially less than CC adding confidence to projections of total water cycle change under greenhouse gas emission scenarios.
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 09-10-2017
DOI: 10.1002/2017GL075182
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 07-2014
Abstract: The ocean’s circulation is analyzed in Absolute Salinity SA and Conservative Temperature Θ coordinates. It is separated into 1) an advective component related to geographical displacements in the direction normal to SA and Θ isosurfaces and 2) into a local component, related to local changes in SA–Θ values, without a geographical displacement. In this decomposition, the sum of the advective and local components of the circulation is equivalent to the material derivative of SA and Θ. The sum is directly related to sources and sinks of salt and heat. The advective component is represented by the advective thermohaline streamfunction . After removing a trend, the local component can be represented by the local thermohaline streamfunction . Here, can be diagnosed using a monthly averaged time series of SA and Θ from an observational dataset. In addition, and are determined from a coupled climate model. The diathermohaline streamfunction is the sum of and and represents the non ergent diathermohaline circulation in SA–Θ coordinates. The diathermohaline trend, resulting from the trend in the local changes of SA and Θ, quantifies the redistribution of the ocean’s volume in SA–Θ coordinates over time. It is argued that the diathermohaline streamfunction provides a powerful tool for the analysis of and comparison among ocean models and observation-based gridded climatologies.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 04-2015
Abstract: The Southern Hemisphere westerly winds have intensified in recent decades associated with a positive trend in the southern annular mode (SAM). However, the response of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) transport and eddy field to wind forcing remains a topic of debate. This study uses global eddy-permitting ocean circulation models driven with both idealized and realistic wind forcing to explore the response to interannual wind strengthening. The response of the barotropic and baroclinic transports and eddy field of the ACC is found to depend on the spatial pattern of the changes in wind forcing. In isolation, an enhancement of the westerlies over the ACC belt leads to an increase of both barotropic and baroclinic transport within the ACC envelope, with lagged enhancement of the eddy kinetic energy (EKE). In contrast, an increase in wind forcing near Antarctica drives a largely barotropic change in transport along closed f / H contours (“free mode”), with little change in eddy activity. Under realistic forcing, the interplay of the SAM and the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) influences the spatial distribution of the wind anomalies, in particular the partition between changes in the wind stress over the ACC and along f / H contours. This study finds that the occurrence of a negative or positive ENSO during a positive SAM can cancel or double the wind anomalies near Antarctica, altering the response of the ACC and its eddy field. While a negative ENSO and positive SAM favors an increase in EKE, a positive ENSO and positive SAM lead to barotropic transport changes and no eddy response.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 15-12-2015
Abstract: The global water cycle leaves an imprint on ocean salinity through evaporation and precipitation. It has been proposed that observed changes in salinity can be used to infer changes in the water cycle. Here salinity is characterized by the distribution of water masses in salinity coordinates. Only mixing and sources and sinks of freshwater and salt can modify this distribution. Mixing acts to collapse the distribution, making saline waters fresher and fresh waters more saline. Hence, in steady state, there must be net precipitation over fresh waters and net evaporation over saline waters. A simple model is developed to describe the relationship between the breadth of the distribution, the water cycle, and mixing—the latter being characterized by an e-folding time scale. In both observations and a state-of-the-art ocean model, the water cycle maintains a salinity distribution in steady state with a mixing time scale of the order of 50 yr. The same simple model predicts the response of the salinity distribution to a change in the water cycle. This study suggests that observations of changes in ocean salinity could be used to infer changes in the hydrological cycle.
Publisher: Frontiers Media SA
Date: 12-04-2023
DOI: 10.3389/FMARS.2023.1027704
Abstract: Water mass transformation (WMT) around the Antarctic margin controls Antarctica Bottom Water formation and the abyssal limb of the global meridional overturning circulation, besides mediating ocean-ice shelf exchange, ice sheet stability and its contribution to sea level rise. However, the mechanisms controlling the rate of WMT in the Antarctic shelf are poorly understood due to the lack of observations and the inability of climate models to simulate those mechanisms, in particular beneath the floating ice shelves. We used a circum-Antarctic ocean-ice shelf model to assess the contribution of surface fluxes, mixing, and ocean-ice shelf interaction to the WMT on the continental shelf. The salt budget dominates the WMT rates, with only a secondary contribution from the heat budget. Basal melt of ice shelves drives buoyancy gain at lighter density classes (27.2& σ θ & 27.6 kg m -3 ), while salt input associated with sea-ice growth in coastal polynyas drives buoyancy loss at heavier densities (σ θ & 27.6). We found a large sensitivity of the WMT rates to model horizontal resolution, tides and topography within the Filchner-Ronne, East and West Antarctica ice shelf cavities. In the Filchner-Ronne Ice Shelf, an anticyclonic circulation in front of the Ronne Depression regulates the rates of basal melting/refreezing and WMT and is substantially affected by tides and model resolution. Model resolution is also found to affect the Antarctic Slope Current in both East and West Antarctica, impacting the on-shelf heat delivery, basal melt and WMT. Moreover, the representation of the ice shelf draft associated with model resolution impacts the freezing temperature and thus basal melt and WMT rates in the East Antarctica. These results highlight the importance of resolving small-scale features of the flow and topography, and to include the effects of tidal forcing, to adequately represent water mass transformations on the shelf that directly influence the abyssal global overturning circulation.
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 11-12-2019
DOI: 10.1029/2019GL085160
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 19-11-2014
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 07-2021
DOI: 10.1029/2020MS002333
Abstract: Numerical mixing, defined here as the physically spurious tracer diffusion due to the numerical discretization of advection, is known to contribute to biases in ocean models. However, quantifying numerical mixing is nontrivial, with most studies utilizing targeted experiments in idealized settings. Here, we present a water mass transformation‐based method for quantifying numerical mixing that can be applied to any conserved variable in general circulation models. Furthermore, the method can be applied within in idual fluid columns to provide spatial information. We apply the method to a suite of global ocean model simulations with differing grid spacings and subgrid‐scale parameterizations. In all configurations numerical mixing drives diathermal heat transport of comparable magnitude to that associated with explicit parameterizations. Numerical mixing is prominent in the tropical thermocline, where it is sensitive to the vertical diffusivity and resolution. At colder temperatures numerical mixing is sensitive to the presence of explicit neutral diffusion, suggesting that it may act as a proxy for neutral diffusion when it is explicitly absent. Comparison of otherwise equivalent 1/4° and 1/10° configurations with grid‐scale dependent horizontal viscosity shows only a modest enhancement in numerical mixing at 1/4°. However, if the lateral viscosity is maintained while resolution is increased then numerical mixing is reduced by almost 35 % . This result suggests that the common practice of reducing viscosity in order to maximize permitted variability must be considered carefully. Our results provide a detailed view of numerical mixing in ocean models and pave the way for improvements in parameter choices and numerical methods.
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 12-2016
DOI: 10.1002/2016JC012091
Publisher: Annual Reviews
Date: 03-01-2019
DOI: 10.1146/ANNUREV-MARINE-010318-095421
Abstract: The water mass transformation (WMT) framework weaves together circulation, thermodynamics, and biogeochemistry into a description of the ocean that complements traditional Eulerian and Lagrangian methods. In so doing, a WMT analysis renders novel insights and predictive capabilities for studies of ocean physics and biogeochemistry. In this review, we describe fundamentals of the WMT framework and illustrate its practical analysis capabilities. We show how it provides a robust methodology to characterize and quantify the impact of physical processes on buoyancy and other thermodynamic fields. We also detail how to extend WMT to insightful analysis of biogeochemical cycles.
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 30-08-2019
DOI: 10.5194/OS-2019-97
Abstract: Abstract. A dynamically passive inert tracer was released in the interior South Pacific Ocean at latitudes of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current. Observational cross sections of the tracer were taken over four consecutive years as it drifted through Drake Passage and into the Atlantic Ocean. The tracer was released within a region of high salinity relative to surrounding waters at the same density. In the absence of irreversible mixing a tracer remains at constant salinity and temperature on an isopycnal surface. To investigate the process of irreversible mixing we analysed the tracer in potential density versus salinity-anomaly coordinates. Observations of high tracer concentration tended to be collocated with isopycnal salinity anomalies. With time an initially narrow peak in tracer concentration as a function of salinity at constant density, broadened with the tracer being found at ever fresher salinities, consistent with diffusion-like behaviour in that coordinate system. The second moment of the tracer as a function of salinity suggested an initial period of slow spreading for approximately 2 years in the Pacific, followed by more rapid spreading as the tracer entered Drake Passage and the Scotia Sea. Analysis of isopycnal salinity gradients based on the Argo programme suggests that part of this apparent change can be explained by changes in background salinity gradients while part of the change may be explained by geographical changes in background mixing.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 03-2017
Abstract: This study provides observation-based estimates, determined by inverse methods, of horizontal and isopycnal eddy diffusion coefficients K H and K I , respectively, the small-scale mixing coefficient D , and the diathermohaline streamfunction Ψ. The inverse solution of Ψ represents the ocean circulation in Absolute Salinity S A and Conservative Temperature Θ coordinates. The authors suggest that the observation-based estimate of Ψ will be useful for comparison with equivalent diagnostics from numerical climate models. The estimates of K H and K I represent horizontal eddy mixing in the mixed layer and isopycnal eddy mixing in the ocean interior, respectively. This study finds that the solution for D and K H are comparable to existing estimates. The solution for K I is one of the first observation-based global and full-depth constrained estimates of isopycnal mixing and indicates that K I is an order of magnitude smaller than K H . This suggests that there is a large vertical variation in the eddy mixing coefficient, which is generally not included in ocean models. With ocean models being very sensitive to the choice of isopycnal mixing, this result suggests that further investigation of the spatial structure of isopycnal eddy mixing from observations is required.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 2017
Abstract: The thermohaline circulation of the ocean is compared to the hydrothermal circulation of the atmosphere. The oceanic thermohaline circulation is expressed in potential temperature–absolute salinity space and comprises a tropical cell, a conveyor belt cell, and a polar cell, whereas the atmospheric hydrothermal circulation is expressed in potential temperature–specific humidity space and unifies the tropical Hadley and Walker cells as well as the midlatitude eddies into a single, global circulation. The oceanic thermohaline streamfunction makes it possible to analyze and quantify the entire World Ocean conversion rate between cold–warm and fresh–saline waters in one single representation. Its atmospheric analog, the hydrothermal streamfunction, instead captures the conversion rate between cold–warm and dry–humid air in one single representation. It is shown that the ocean thermohaline and the atmospheric hydrothermal cells are connected by the exchange of heat and freshwater through the sea surface. The two circulations are compared on the same diagram by scaling the axes such that the latent heat energy required to move an air parcel on the moisture axis is equivalent to that needed to move a water parcel on the salinity axis. Such a comparison leads the authors to propose that the Clausius–Clapeyron relationship guides both the moist branch of the atmospheric hydrothermal circulation and the warming branches of the tropical and conveyor belt cells of the oceanic thermohaline circulation.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 23-02-2022
DOI: 10.1038/S41586-021-04370-W
Abstract: Warming-induced global water cycle changes pose a significant challenge to global ecosystems and human society. However, quantifying historical water cycle change is difficult owing to a dearth of direct observations, particularly over the ocean, where 77% and 85% of global precipitation and evaporation occur, respectively
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 02-2022
Abstract: Mixing along sloping isopycnals plays a key role in the transport and uptake of heat and carbon by the ocean. This mixing is quantified by a lateral diffusivity, which can be measured by tracking the lateral spreading of point release tracer patches. We present a definition for the area of a tracer patch, the time derivative of which provides the lateral diffusivity. To accurately estimate the diffusivity, an ensemble mean concentration field of many tracer release experiments is required. We use numerical experiments to quantify how accurately the “true” lateral diffusivity (obtained from the ensemble mean concentration field) can be estimated from a single tracer release experiment (one ensemble member). To simulate observational c aigns, we also estimate the diffusivity from a single tracer release that is spatially and/or temporally subs led, quantifying how the error between the estimated diffusivity and the true diffusivity grows as this s ling resolution worsens. We perform these numerical experiments in a two-layer quasigeostrophic model of turbulent flow on a β plane, using an ensemble of 50 passive tracer release experiments, each initialized as a 2D Gaussian but with differing realizations of the turbulent flow. We find that the diffusivity estimates from the single tracer releases have a relative root-mean-square error (RMSE) of 1.43% from the true diffusivity. Subs ling a single tracer release experiment every 956 km increases the relative RMSE from the true diffusivity to 3.1% also subs ling every 277 days raises this figure to 6.5%.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 27-02-2014
Abstract: The zonal and meridional components of the atmospheric general circulation are used to define a global thermodynamic streamfunction in dry static energy versus latent heat coordinates. Diabatic motions in the tropical circulations and fluxes driven by midlatitude eddies are found to form a single, global thermodynamic cycle. Calculations based on the Interim European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) dataset indicate that the cycle has a peak transport of 428 Sv (Sv ≡ 109 kg s−1). The thermodynamic cycle encapsulates a globally interconnected heat and water cycle comprising ascent of moist air where latent heat is converted into dry static energy, radiative cooling where dry air loses dry static energy, and a moistening branch where air is warmed and moistened. It approximately follows a tropical moist adiabat and is bounded by the Clausius–Clapeyron relationship for near-surface air. The variability of the atmospheric general circulation is related to ENSO events using reanalysis data from recent years (1979–2009) and historical simulations from the EC-Earth Consortium (EC-Earth) coupled climate model (1850–2005). The thermodynamic cycle in both EC-Earth and ERA-Interim widens and weakens with positive ENSO phases and narrows and strengthens during negative ENSO phases with a high correlation coefficient. Weakening in litude suggests a weakening of the large-scale circulation, while widening suggests an increase in mean tropical near-surface moist static energy.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 2010
Abstract: A method is developed for estimating the along-isopycnal and vertical mixing coefficients (K and D) and the absolute velocity from time-averaged hydrographic data. The method focuses directly on transports down tracer gradients on isopycnals. When the tracer considered is salinity or an appropriate variable for heat, this downgradient transport constitutes the along-isopycnal component of the thermohaline overturning circulation. In the method, a geostrophic streamfunction is defined that is related on isopycnals by tracer contours and by the thermal wind relationship in the vertical. Volume and tracer conservation constraints are also included. The method is overdetermined and avoids much of the signal-to-noise error associated with differentiating hydrographic data in conventional inverse methods. The method is validated against output of a layered model. It is shown to resolve both K and D, the downgradient isopycnal transport, and the mean flow on isopycnals in the North Pacific and South Atlantic. Importantly, an understanding is established of both the physics underlying the method and the circumstances necessary for an inverse method to determine the mixing rates and the absolute velocity. If mixing is neglected, the method is the Bernoulli inverse method. At the limit of zero weight on the tracer-contour equations the method is a conventional box inverse method. Comparisons are drawn between each method and their relative merits are discussed. A new closed expression for the absolute velocity is also presented.
Publisher: The Royal Society
Date: 07-08-2017
Abstract: The processes regulating ocean ventilation at high latitudes are re-examined based on a range of observations spanning all scales of ocean circulation, from the centimetre scales of turbulence to the basin scales of gyres. It is argued that high-latitude ocean ventilation is controlled by mechanisms that differ in fundamental ways from those that set the overturning circulation. This is contrary to the assumption of broad equivalence between the two that is commonly adopted in interpreting the role of the high-latitude oceans in Earth's climate transitions. Illustrations of how recognizing this distinction may change our view of the ocean's role in the climate system are offered. This article is part of the themed issue ‘Ocean ventilation and deoxygenation in a warming world’.
Publisher: Elsevier
Date: 2022
Publisher: American Association for the Advancement of Science (AAAS)
Date: 30-01-2015
Abstract: Global warming is expected to intensify the hydrological cycle, but it might also make the atmosphere less energetic. Laliberté et al. modeled the atmosphere as a classical heat engine in order to evaluate how much energy it contains and how much work it can do (see the Perspective by Pauluis). They then used a global climate model to project how that might change as climate warms. Although the hydrological cycle may increase in intensity, it does so at the expense of its ability to do work, such as powering large-scale atmospheric circulation or fueling more very intense storms. Science , this issue p. 540 see also p. 475
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 27-03-2022
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU22-2085
Abstract: & & Anthropogenically induced radiative imbalances in the climate system lead to a slow accumulation of heat in the ocean. This warming is often obscured by natural modes of climate variability such as the El Nino-Southern Oscillation (ENSO), which drive substantial ocean temperature changes as a function of depth and latitude. The use of watermass coordinates has been proposed to help isolate forced signals and filter out fast adiabatic processes associated with modes of variability. However, how much natural modes of variability project into these different coordinate systems has not been quantified. Here we apply a rigorous framework to quantify ocean temperature variability using both a quasi-Lagrangian watermass-based temperature coordinate and Eulerian depth and latitude coordinates in a free-running climate model under pre-industrial conditions. The temperature-based coordinate effectively filters out the adiabatic component of ENSO-dominated interannual variability, while a substantial diabatic signal remains. At slower (decadal to centennial) frequencies, variability in the temperature- and depth-based coordinates is comparable. Spectral analysis of temperature tendencies reveals the dominance of advective processes in latitude- and depth-coordinates while the variability in temperature-coordinates is related closely to the surface forcing. Diabatic mixing processes play an important role at slower frequencies where quasi steady-state balances emerge between forcing and mixing in temperature, advection and mixing in depth and forcing and advection in latitude. Our work suggests that watermass based analyses accurately filter out adiabitic variability and highlight diabatic effects, but also that natural variability has a strong diabatic component and can not be ignored in the analysis of long term trends.& &
Publisher: Elsevier BV
Date: 2018
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 10-2014
Abstract: The thermohaline inverse method (THIM) is presented that provides estimates of the diathermohaline streamfunction , the downgradient along-isopycnal diffusion coefficient K, and the isotropic downgradient turbulent diffusion coefficient D of small-scale mixing processes. This is accomplished by using the water mass transformation framework in two tracer dimensions: here in Absolute Salinity SA and Conservative Temperature Θ coordinates. The authors show that a diathermal volume transport down a Conservative Temperature gradient is related to surface heating and cooling and mixing, and a diahaline volume transport down an Absolute Salinity gradient is related to surface freshwater fluxes and mixing. Both the diahaline and diathermal flows can be calculated using readily observed parameters that are used to produce climatologies, surface flux products, and mixing parameterizations for K and D. Conservation statements for volume, salt, and heat in (SA, Θ) coordinates, using the diahaline and diathermal volume transport expressed as surface freshwater and heat fluxes and mixing, allow for the formulation of a system of equations that is solved by an inverse method that can estimate the unknown diathermohaline streamfunction and the diffusion coefficients K and D. The inverse solution provides an accurate estimate of , K, and D when tested against a numerical climate model for which all these parameters are known.
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 11-2014
DOI: 10.1002/2014JC010097
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 26-08-2020
Abstract: Coupled climate models are prone to ‘drift’ (long-term unforced trends in state variables) due to incomplete spin-up and non-closure of the global mass and energy budgets. Here we assess model drift and the associated conservation of energy, mass and salt in CMIP6 and CMIP5 models. For most models, drift in globally-integrated ocean mass and heat content represents a small but non-negligible fraction of recent historical trends, while drift in atmospheric water vapor is negligible. Model drift tends to be much larger in time-integrated ocean heat and freshwater flux, net top-of-the-atmosphere radiation (netTOA) and moisture flux into the atmosphere (evaporation minus precipitation), indicating a substantial leakage of mass and energy in the simulated climate system. Most models are able to achieve approximate energy budget closure after drift is removed, but ocean mass budget closure eludes a number of models even after de-drifting and none achieve closure of the atmospheric moisture budget. The magnitude of the drift in the CMIP6 ensemble represents an improvement over CMIP5 in some cases (salinity and time-integrated netTOA) but is worse (time-integrated ocean freshwater and atmospheric moisture fluxes) or little changed (ocean heat content, ocean mass and time-integrated ocean heat flux) for others, while closure of the ocean mass and energy budgets after drift removal has improved.
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 28-06-2015
DOI: 10.1002/2015GL064156
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 05-2012
Abstract: The thermohaline streamfunction is presented. The thermohaline streamfunction is the integral of transport in temperature–salinity space and represents the net pathway of oceanic water parcels in that space. The thermohaline streamfunction is proposed as a diagnostic to understand the global oceanic circulation and its role in the global movement of heat and freshwater. The coordinate system used filters out adiabatic fluctuations. Physical pathways and ventilation time scales are naturally diagnosed, as are the roles of the mean flow and turbulent fluctuations. Because potential density is a function of temperature and salinity, the framework is naturally isopycnal and is ideal for the diagnosis of water-mass transformations and advective diapycnal heat and freshwater transports. Crucially, the thermohaline streamfunction is computationally and practically trivial to implement as a diagnostic for ocean models. Here, the thermohaline streamfunction is computed using the output of an equilibrated intermediate complexity climate model. It describes a global cell, a warm tropical cell, and a bottom water cell. The streamfunction computed from eddy-induced advection is equivalent in magnitude to that from the total advection, demonstrating the leading-order importance of parameterized eddy fluxes in oceanic heat and freshwater transports. The global cell, being clockwise in thermohaline space, tends to advect both heat and salt toward denser (poleward) water masses in symmetry with the atmosphere’s poleward transport of moisture. A reprojection of the global cell from thermohaline to geographical coordinates reveals a thermohaline circulation reminiscent of the schematized “global conveyor.”
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 21-12-2018
DOI: 10.1029/2018GL079986
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 14-09-2023
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 24-04-2021
DOI: 10.1029/2020GL091439
Abstract: The ocean has absorbed approximately 90% of the accumulated heat in the climate system since 1970. As global warming accelerates, understanding ocean heat content changes and tracing these to surface heat input is increasingly important. We introduce a novel framework by organizing the ocean into temperature‐percentiles from warmest to coldest, allowing us to trace ocean temperature changes to changes in surface fluxes and mixing. Applying this framework to observations and historical CMIP6 simulations, we find that 50 ± 6% of surface heat uptake between 1970 and 2014 is confined to isotherms in the coldest 90% of the ocean volume. These isotherms outcrop over only 23% of the ocean's surface area in the sub‐polar regions, implying a disproportionately large heat input per unit area. Additionally, a cooling bias in the CMIP6 models is traced to inaccurate sea surface temperatures and surface heat fluxes into the warmest 5%–20% of the ocean volume.
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 14-01-2016
DOI: 10.1002/2015GL066658
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 08-2010
Abstract: The tracer-contour inverse method is used to infer mixing and circulation in the eastern North Atlantic. Solutions for the vertical mixing coefficient D, the along-isopycnal mixing coefficient K, and a geostrophic streamfunction Ψ are all direct outputs of the method. The method predicts a vertical mixing coefficient O(10−5 m2 s−1) in the upper 1000 m of the water column, consistent with in situ observations. The method predicts a depth-dependent along-isopycnal mixing coefficient that decreases from O(1000 m2 s−1) close to the mixed layer to O(100 m2 s−1) in the interior, which is also consistent with observations and previous hypotheses. The robustness of the result is tested with a rigorous sensitivity analysis including the use of two independently constructed datasets. This study confirms the utility of the tracer-contour inverse method. The results presented support the hypothesis that vertical mixing is small in the thermocline of the subtropical Atlantic Ocean. A strong depth dependence of the along-isopycnal mixing coefficient is also demonstrated, supporting recent parameterizations for coarse-resolution ocean models.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 18-05-2022
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 14-09-2023
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 2008
Abstract: The conservation equations of heat, salt, and mass are combined in such a way that a simple relation is found between the known volume flux of Mediterranean Water entering the North Atlantic Ocean and the effects of lateral and vertical mixing processes. The method is a form of inverse method in which the only unknowns are the vertical and lateral diffusivities. For each isohaline contour on each neutral density surface the authors develop one equation in two unknowns, arguing that other terms that cannot be evaluated are small. By considering several such isohaline contours, the method becomes overdetermined for each density layer, and results are found for both the vertical and lateral diffusivity that vary smoothly in the vertical direction, giving some confidence in the method.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 10-2013
Abstract: Vertical transport of heat by ocean circulation is investigated using a coupled climate model and novel thermodynamic methods. Using a streamfunction in temperature–depth coordinates, cells are identified by whether they are thermally direct (flux heat upward) or indirect (flux heat downward). These cells are then projected into geographical and other thermodynamic coordinates. Three cells are identified in the model: a thermally direct cell coincident with Antarctic Bottom Water, a thermally indirect deep cell coincident with the upper limb of the meridional overturning circulation, and a thermally direct shallow cell coincident with the subtropical gyres at the surface. The mechanisms maintaining the thermally indirect deep cell are investigated. Sinking water within the deep cell is more saline than that which upwells, because of the coupling between the upper limb and the subtropical gyres in a broader thermohaline circulation. Despite the higher salinity of its sinking water, the deep cell transports buoyancy downward, requiring a source of mechanical energy. Experiments run to steady state with increasing Southern Hemisphere westerlies show an increasing thermally indirect circulation. These results suggest that heat can be pumped downward by the upper limb of the meridional overturning circulation through a combination of salinity gain in the subtropics and the mechanical forcing provided by Southern Hemisphere westerly winds.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 10-01-2018
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 11-05-2012
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00309.1
Abstract: To refine the understanding of how the Southern Ocean responds to recent intensification of the southern annular mode (SAM), a regional ocean model at two eddy-permitting resolutions was forced with two synthetic interannual forcings. The first forcing corresponds to homogeneously intensified winds, while the second concerns their poleward intensification, consistent with positive phases of the SAM. Resulting wind-driven responses differ greatly between the nearly insensitive Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) and the more sensitive meridional overturning circulation (MOC). As expected, eddies mitigate the response of the ACC and MOC to poleward-intensified winds. However, transient eddies do not necessarily play an increasing role in meridional transport with increasing resolution. As winds and resolution increase, meridional transport from standing eddies becomes more efficient at balancing wind-enhanced overturning. These results question the current paradigms on the role of eddies and present new challenges for eddy flux parameterization. Results also indicate that spatial patterns of wind anomalies are at least as important as the overall change in intensity in influencing the Southern Ocean’s dynamic response to wind events. Poleward-intensified wind anomalies from the positive trend in the SAM are far more efficient in accelerating the ACC than homogeneous wind anomalies.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 08-2019
Abstract: Hochet and Tailleux (2019), in a comment on Holmes et al. (2019), argue that under the incompressible Boussinesq approximation the “sum of the volume fluxes through any kind of control volume must integrate to zero at all times.” They hence argue that the expression in Holmes et al. (2019) for the change in the volume of seawater warmer than a given temperature is inaccurate. Here we clarify what is meant by the term “volume flux” as used in Holmes et al. (2019) and also more generally in the water-mass transformation literature. Specifically, a volume flux across a surface can occur either due to fluid moving through a fixed surface, or due to the surface moving through the fluid. Interpreted in this way, we show using several ex les that the statement from Hochet and Tailleux (2019) quoted above does not apply to the control volume considered in Holmes et al. (2019). Hochet and Tailleux (2019) then derive a series of expressions for the water-mass transformation or volume flux across an isotherm in the general, compressible case. In the incompressible Boussinesq limit these expressions reduce to a form (similar to that provided in Holmes et al. 2019) that involves the temperature derivative of the diabatic heat fluxes. Due to this derivative, can be difficult to robustly estimate from ocean model output. This emphasizes one of the advantages of the approach of Holmes et al. (2019), namely, does not appear in the internal heat content budget and is not needed to describe the flow of internal heat content into and around the ocean.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 12-2018
DOI: 10.1175/JTECH-D-17-0198.1
Abstract: A regional thermohaline inverse method (RTHIM) is presented that estimates velocities through the section bounding an enclosed domain and transformation rates resulting from interior mixing within the domain, given inputs of surface boundary fluxes of heat and salt and interior distributions of salinity and temperature. The method works by invoking a volumetric balance in thermohaline coordinates between the transformation resulting from mixing, surface fluxes, and advection, and constraining the mixing to be down tracer gradients. The method is validated using a 20-yr mean of outputs from the NEMO model in an Arctic and subpolar North Atlantic domain, bound to the south by a section with a mean latitude of 66°N. RTHIM solutions agree well with the NEMO model “truth” and are robust to a range of parameters the meridional overturning circulation (MOC), heat, and freshwater transports calculated from an ensemble of RTHIM solutions are within 12%, 10%, and 19%, respectively, of the NEMO values. There is also bulk agreement between RTHIM solution transformation rates resulting from mixing and those diagnosed from NEMO. Localized differences in diagnosed mixing may be used to guide the development of mixing parameterizations in models such as NEMO, whose downgradient diffusive closures with prescribed diffusivity may be considered oversimplified and too restrictive.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 09-11-2020
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 12-06-2022
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 11-2009
Abstract: The strength and structure of the Southern Hemisphere meridional overturning circulation (SMOC) is related to the along-isopycnal and vertical mixing coefficients by analyzing tracer and density fields from a hydrographic climatology. The meridional transport of Upper Circumpolar Deep Water (UCDW) across the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) is expressed in terms of the along-isopycnal (K) and diapycnal (D) tracer diffusivities and in terms of the along-isopycnal potential vorticity mixing coefficient (KPV). Uniform along-isopycnal (& m2 s−1) and low vertical mixing (10−5 m2 s−1) can maintain a southward transport of less than 60 Sv (Sv = 106 m2 s−1) of UCDW across the ACC, which is distributed largely across the South Pacific and east Indian Ocean basins. For vertical mixing rates of O(10−4 m2 s−1) or greater, the inferred transport is significantly enhanced. The transports inferred from both tracer and density distributions suggest a ratio K to D of O(2 × 106) particularly on deeper layers of UCDW. Given the range of observed southward transports of UCDW, it is found that K = 300 ± 150 m2 s−1 and D = 10−4 ± 0.5 × 10−4 m2 s−1 in the Southern Ocean interior. A view of the SMOC is revealed where dense waters are converted to lighter waters not only at the ocean surface, but also on depths below that of the mixed layer with vertical mixing playing an important role.
Publisher: Wiley
Date: 19-05-2022
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 13-04-2021
Abstract: The global water cycle is dominated by an atmospheric branch which transfers fresh water away from subtropical regions and an oceanic branch which returns that fresh water from subpolar and tropical regions. Salt content is commonly used to understand the oceanic branch because surface freshwater fluxes leave an imprint on ocean salinity. However, freshwater fluxes do not actually change the amount of salt in the ocean and – in the mean – no salt is transported meridionally by ocean circulation. To study the processes which determine ocean salinity we introduce a new variable: “internal salt” and its counterpart “internal fresh water”. Precise budgets for internal salt in salinity coordinates relate meridional and diahaline transport to surface freshwater forcing, ocean circulation and mixing, and reveal the pathway of fresh water in the ocean. We apply this framework to a 1° global ocean model. We find that in order for fresh water to be exported from the ocean’s tropical and subpolar regions to the subtropics, salt must be mixed across the salinity surfaces that bound those regions. In the tropics, this mixing is achieved by parameterized vertical mixing, along-isopycnal mixing, and numerical mixing associated with truncation errors in the model’s advection scheme, while along-isopycnal mixing dominates at high latitudes. We analyze the internal freshwater budgets of the Indo-Pacific and Atlantic Ocean basins and identify the transport pathways between them which redistribute fresh water added through precipitation, balancing asymmetries in freshwater forcing between the basins.
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 18-10-2022
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 11-2011
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00077.1
Abstract: This paper evaluates in a realistic context the local contributions of direct atmospheric forcing and intrinsic oceanic processes on interannual sea level anomalies (SLAs). A ¼° global ocean–sea ice general circulation model, driven over 47 yr by the full range of atmospheric time scales, is quantitatively assessed against altimetry and shown to reproduce most observed features of the interannual SLA variability from 1993 to 2004. Comparing this simulation with a second driven only by the climatological annual cycle reveals that the intrinsic part of the total interannual SLA variance exceeds 40% over half of the open-ocean area and exceeds 80% over one-fifth of it. This intrinsic contribution is particularly strong in eddy-active regions (more than 70%–80% in the Southern Ocean and western boundary current extensions) as predicted by idealized studies, as well as within the 20°–35° latitude bands. The atmosphere directly forces most of the interannual SLA variance at low latitudes and in most midlatitude eastern basins, in particular north of about 40°N in the Pacific. The interannual SLA variance is almost entirely due to intrinsic processes south of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current in the Indian Ocean sector, while half of this variance is forced by the atmosphere north of it. The same simulations were performed and analyzed at 2° resolution as well: switching to this laminar regime yields a comparable forced variability (large-scale distribution and magnitude) but almost suppresses the intrinsic variability. This likely explains why laminar ocean models largely underestimate the interannual SLA variance.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 2019
Abstract: The rate at which the ocean moves heat from the tropics toward the poles, and from the surface into the interior, depends on diabatic surface forcing and diffusive mixing. These diabatic processes can be isolated by analyzing heat transport in a temperature coordinate (the diathermal heat transport). This framework is applied to a global ocean sea ice model at two horizontal resolutions (1/4° and 1/10°) to evaluate the partioning of the diathermal heat transport between different mixing processes and their spatial and seasonal structure. The diathermal heat transport peaks around 22°C at 1.6 PW, similar to the peak meridional heat transport. Diffusive mixing transfers this heat from waters above 22°C, where surface forcing warms the tropical ocean, to temperatures below 22°C where midlatitude waters are cooled. In the control 1/4° simulation, half of the parameterized vertical mixing is achieved by background diffusion, to which sensitivity is explored. The remainder is associated with parameterizations for surface boundary layer, shear instability, and tidal mixing. Nearly half of the seasonal cycle in the peak vertical mixing heat flux is associated with shear instability in the tropical Pacific cold tongue, highlighting this region’s global importance. The framework presented also allows for quantification of numerical mixing associated with the model’s advection scheme. Numerical mixing has a substantial seasonal cycle and increases to compensate for reduced explicit vertical mixing. Finally, applied to Argo observations the diathermal framework reveals a heat content seasonal cycle consistent with the simulations. These results highlight the utility of the diathermal framework for understanding the role of diabatic processes in ocean circulation and climate.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 2016
Abstract: The relative roles of isoneutral stirring by mesoscale eddies and dianeutral stirring by small-scale turbulence in setting the large-scale temperature–salinity relation of the Southern Ocean against the action of the overturning circulation are assessed by analyzing a set of shear and temperature microstructure measurements across Drake Passage in a “triple decomposition” framework. It is shown that a picture of mixing and overturning across a region of the Antarctic Circumpolar Current (ACC) may be constructed from a relatively modest number of microstructure profiles. The rates of isoneutral and dianeutral stirring are found to exhibit distinct, characteristic, and abrupt variations: most notably, a one to two orders of magnitude suppression of isoneutral stirring in the upper kilometer of the ACC frontal jets and an order of magnitude intensification of dianeutral stirring in the subpycnocline and deepest layers of the ACC. These variations balance an overturning circulation with meridional flows of O (1) mm s −1 across the ACC’s mean thermohaline structure. Isoneutral and dianeutral stirring play complementary roles in balancing the overturning, with isoneutral processes dominating in intermediate waters and the Upper Circumpolar Deep Water and dianeutral processes prevailing in lighter and denser layers.
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 10-07-2023
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-2023-1220
Abstract: Abstract. The geography of changes in the fluxes of heat, carbon, fresh water and other tracers at the sea surface are highly uncertain and are critical to our understanding of climate change and its impacts. We present a state estimation framework wherein the relative roles of ocean circulation, boundary fluxes and mixing, which describe the evolving state of water masses, can be balanced. In this framework, we define a discrete set of ocean water masses distinguished by their geographical and thermodynamic/chemical properties for specific time periods. Ocean circulation then moves these water masses in geographic space. In phase space, geographically adjacent water masses are able to mix together, representing a convergence, and air-sea property fluxes move the water masses over time. We define an optimisation problem whose solution is constrained by the physically permissible bounds of changes in ocean circulation, air-sea fluxes and mixing. As a proof of concept implementation, we use data from a historical numerical climate model simulation with a closed heat and salinity budget. An inverse model solution is found for the evolution of temperature and salinity consistent with `true' air-sea heat and fresh water fluxes which are introduced as model priors. When a constant bias is introduced to the prior fluxes, the inverse model finds a solution closer to the true fluxes. This framework, which we call the Optimal Transformation Method, represents a modular, relatively computationally cost effective, open source and transparent state estimation tool that complements existing approaches.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 05-2021
Abstract: Over 90% of the buildup of additional heat in the Earth system over recent decades is contained in the ocean. Since 2006, new observational programs have revealed heterogeneous patterns of ocean heat content change. It is unclear how much of this heterogeneity is due to heat being added to and mixed within the ocean leading to material changes in water mass properties or is due to changes in circulation that redistribute existing water masses. Here we present a novel diagnosis of the “material” and “redistributed” contributions to regional heat content change between 2006 and 2017 that is based on a new “minimum transformation method” informed by both water mass transformation and optimal transportation theory. We show that material warming has large spatial coherence. The material change tends to be smaller than the redistributed change at any geographical location however, it sums globally to the net warming of the ocean, whereas the redistributed component sums, by design, to zero. Material warming is robust over the time period of this analysis, whereas the redistributed signal only emerges from the variability in a few regions. In the North Atlantic Ocean, water mass changes indicate substantial material warming while redistribution cools the subpolar region as a result of a slowdown in the meridional overturning circulation. Warming in the Southern Ocean is explained by material warming and by anomalous southward heat transport of 118 ± 50 TW through redistribution. Our results suggest that near-term projections of ocean heat content change and therefore sea level change will hinge on understanding and predicting changes in ocean redistribution.
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 08-2022
Abstract: Warming of the climate system accumulates mostly in the ocean and discrepancies in how this is modeled contribute to uncertainties in predicting sea level rise. In this study, regional temperature changes in an atmosphere–ocean general circulation model (HadCM3) are partitioned between excess (due to perturbed surface heat fluxes) and redistributed (arising from changing circulation and perturbations to mixing) components. In simulations with historical forcing, we first compare this excess–redistribution partitioning with the spice and heave decomposition, in which temperature anomalies enter the ocean interior either along isopycnals (spice) or across isopycnals (heave, without affecting the temperature–salinity curve). Second, heat and salinity budgets projected into thermohaline space naturally reveal the mechanisms behind temperature change by spice and heave linked with water mass generation or destruction. Excess warming enters the ocean as warming by heave in subtropical gyres whereas it mainly projects onto warming by spice in the Southern Ocean and the tropical Atlantic. In subtropical gyres, Ekman pumping generates excess warming as confirmed by Eulerian heat budgets. In contrast, isopycnal mixing partly drives warming and salinification by spice, as confirmed by budgets in thermohaline space, underlying the key role of salinity changes for the ocean warming signature. Our study suggests a method to detect excess warming using spice and heave calculated from observed repeat profiles of temperature and salinity.
Publisher: Copernicus GmbH
Date: 04-03-2021
DOI: 10.5194/EGUSPHERE-EGU21-9319
Abstract: & & Numerical mixing, the physically spurious diffusion of tracers due to the numerical discretization of advection, is known to contribute to biases in ocean circulation models. However, quantifying numerical mixing is non-trivial, with most studies utilizing specifically targeted experiments in idealized settings. Here, we present a precise method based on water-mass transformation for quantifying numerical mixing, including its spatial structure, that can be applied to any conserved variable in global general circulation ocean models. The method is applied to a suite of global MOM5 ocean-sea ice model simulations with differing grid spacings and sub-grid scale parameterizations. In all configurations numerical mixing drives across-isotherm heat transport of comparable magnitude to that associated with explicitly-parameterized mixing. Numerical mixing is prominent at warm temperatures in the tropical thermocline, where it is sensitive to the vertical diffusivity and resolution. At colder temperatures, numerical mixing is sensitive to the presence of explicit neutral diffusion, suggesting that much of the numerical mixing in these regions acts as a proxy for neutral diffusion when it is explicitly absent. Comparison of equivalent (with respect to vertical resolution and explicit mixing parameters) 1/4-degree and 1/10-degree horizontal resolution configurations shows only a modest enhancement in numerical mixing at the eddy-permitting 1/4-degree resolution. Our results provide a detailed view of numerical mixing in ocean models and pave the way for future improvements in numerical methods.& &
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 06-2020
Abstract: The strength of the meridional overturning circulation (MOC) in the North Atlantic is dependent upon the formation of dense waters that occurs at high northern latitudes. Wintertime deep convection in the Labrador and Irminger Seas forms the intermediate water mass known as Labrador Sea Water (LSW). Changes in the rate of formation and subsequent export of LSW are thought to play a role in MOC variability, but formation rates are uncertain and the link between formation and export is complex. We present the first observation-based application of a recently developed regional thermohaline inverse method (RTHIM) to a region encompassing the Arctic and part of the North Atlantic subpolar gyre for the years 2013, 2014, and 2015. RTHIM is a novel method that can diagnose the formation and export rates of water masses such as the LSW identified by their temperature and salinity, apportioning the formation rates into contributions from surface fluxes and interior mixing. We find LSW formation rates of up to 12 Sv (1 Sv ≡ 10 6 m 3 s −1 ) during 2014–15, a period of strong wintertime convection, and around half that value during 2013 when convection was weak. We also show that the newly convected water is not exported directly, but instead is mixed isopycnally with warm, salty waters that have been advected into the region, before the products are then exported. RTHIM solutions for 2015 volume, heat, and freshwater transports are compared with observations from a mooring array deployed for the Overturning in the Subpolar North Atlantic Program (OSNAP) and show good agreement, lending validity to our results.
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Location: France
Location: United Kingdom of Great Britain and Northern Ireland
Start Date: 2014
End Date: 2017
Funder: Natural Environment Research Council
View Funded ActivityStart Date: 2016
End Date: 2021
Funder: Australian Research Council
View Funded ActivityStart Date: 2020
End Date: 2021
Funder: Australian Research Council
View Funded ActivityStart Date: 2019
End Date: 2022
Funder: Australian Research Council
View Funded ActivityStart Date: 2021
End Date: 2024
Funder: Australian Research Council
View Funded ActivityStart Date: 04-2020
End Date: 07-2021
Amount: $580,000.00
Funder: Australian Research Council
View Funded ActivityStart Date: 06-2016
End Date: 11-2021
Amount: $290,000.00
Funder: Australian Research Council
View Funded ActivityStart Date: 08-2021
End Date: 12-2027
Amount: $20,000,000.00
Funder: Australian Research Council
View Funded ActivityStart Date: 06-2019
End Date: 12-2024
Amount: $419,000.00
Funder: Australian Research Council
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