ORCID Profile
0000-0003-4992-2420
Current Organisation
Wageningen University & Research
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Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 07-2009
DOI: 10.1029/2009GL039076
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 12-2015
DOI: 10.1002/2015JG002988
Publisher: Springer Science and Business Media LLC
Date: 27-08-2018
Publisher: American Geophysical Union (AGU)
Date: 27-06-2012
DOI: 10.1029/2011JD017106
Publisher: American Meteorological Society
Date: 05-2012
DOI: 10.1175/JCLI-D-11-00338.1
Abstract: The project Land-Use and Climate, Identification of Robust Impacts (LUCID) was conceived to address the robustness of biogeophysical impacts of historical land use–land cover change (LULCC). LUCID used seven atmosphere–land models with a common experimental design to explore those impacts of LULCC that are robust and consistent across the climate models. The biogeophysical impacts of LULCC were also compared to the impact of elevated greenhouse gases and resulting changes in sea surface temperatures and sea ice extent (CO2SST). Focusing the analysis on Eurasia and North America, this study shows that for a number of variables LULCC has an impact of similar magnitude but of an opposite sign, to increased greenhouse gases and warmer oceans. However, the variability among the in idual models’ response to LULCC is larger than that found from the increase in CO2SST. The results of the study show that although the dispersion among the models’ response to LULCC is large, there are a number of robust common features shared by all models: the amount of available energy used for turbulent fluxes is consistent between the models and the changes in response to LULCC depend almost linearly on the amount of trees removed. However, less encouraging is the conclusion that there is no consistency among the various models regarding how LULCC affects the partitioning of available energy between latent and sensible heat fluxes at a specific time. The results therefore highlight the urgent need to evaluate land surface models more thoroughly, particularly how they respond to a perturbation in addition to how they simulate an observed average state.
No related grants have been discovered for Michiel van der Molen.