Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP160100738

Funding Activity

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Funded Activity Summary

Predicting environmental extremes in a period of climate change. This project has the potential to reduce the uncertainty in the predictions of extreme winds and waves used to design and operate coastal and offshore facilities. Predictions are typically achieved by extrapolating recorded data to predict probable extremes. The uncertainties associated with this approach are very large. This project aims to develop a new approach called ‘large ensemble aggregate’ analysis, which brings together data from alternative model predictions or alternative measurement locations to expand the effective data and avoid the necessity for statistical extrapolation. This approach may significantly reduce the uncertainty in estimating extreme values. This would reduce the cost of constructing coastal and offshore facilities and decrease the risk of catastrophic failure.

Funded Activity Details

Start Date: 03-04-2016

End Date: 30-09-2020

Funding Scheme: Discovery Projects

Funding Amount: $452,733.00

Funder: Australian Research Council