Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP0210327

Funding Activity

Website
http://dataportal.arc.gov.au/NCGP/Web/Grant/Grant/DP0210327

Funding Status
Closed

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Funded Activity Summary

Modelling long-term hydrological persistence using hidden state Markov models. Long-term climatic persistence has a pronounced effect on engineering risk assessment of drought and flood severity. Accurate risk assessment is essential for economic design of water resource and flood defence infrastructure. A new, physically realistic, framework for stochastic modelling of persistence is developed, in which the probability distributions of hydrological variables depend on underlying climatic states. These states are not directly observable, and occasionally change in a random manner. The research program, involving three PhD projects, will develop: estimation techniques and software using climate indices and multi-site data; a new approach to flood risk regionalisation; and seasonal rainfall forecasting methods.

Funded Activity Details

Start Date: 01-01-2002

End Date: 31-12-2006

Funding Scheme: Discovery Projects

Funding Amount: $261,000.00

Funder: Australian Research Council

Research Topics

ANZSRC Field of Research (FoR)

Civil Engineering | Water And Sanitary Engineering

ANZSRC Socio-Economic Objective (SEO)

Climate variability |

Other Keywords

Civil Engineering | Climate variability | Water And Sanitary Engineering

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