Discovery Projects - Grant ID: DP140103220

Funding Activity

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Funded Activity Summary

Macroeconomic forecasting in a 'Big Data' world. This project will develop methods for forecasting important macroeconomic variables where a large set of predictors is available. As well as raw variables and composite indices such as principal components. This project will also include various lags and nonlinear functions of potential predictors. The project will adapt Bayesian statistical methods for selecting these predictors so that they can be applied to time series data, thus developing innovative forecasting methods that can be used on a range of important problems involving 'Big Data'. The project will compare forecasts from different methods using simulated and empirical data from the US and Australia. For the latter an outcome will be an online handbook of available Australian economic data for public use.

Funded Activity Details

Start Date: 08-2014

End Date: 07-2019

Funding Scheme: Discovery Projects

Funding Amount: $335,000.00

Funder: Australian Research Council