Predicting The Individual Risk Of Prostate Cancer In Australian Men
Funder
National Health and Medical Research Council
Funding Amount
$348,656.00
Summary
Prostate cancer is a major cause of disability and death in Australian men. A number of factors, particularly age and family history, influence the risk of prostate cancer but, in contrast to breast cancer, we don't know what is the risk of developing prostate cancer over a period of time for a man with a specific set of risk factors. In fact, while a number of statistical models have been developed that use a woman's risk factor profile to estimate her risk of breast cancer, none is currently a ....Prostate cancer is a major cause of disability and death in Australian men. A number of factors, particularly age and family history, influence the risk of prostate cancer but, in contrast to breast cancer, we don't know what is the risk of developing prostate cancer over a period of time for a man with a specific set of risk factors. In fact, while a number of statistical models have been developed that use a woman's risk factor profile to estimate her risk of breast cancer, none is currently available for prostate cancer. We will apply standard statistical methods to existing data from the Australian Risk Factors for Prostate Cancer study and from the Australian Institute of Health and Welfare to develop a prostate cancer risk prediction model. We will test how factor like age, detailed family history, diet, baldness status and possibly previous PSA tests and prostate biopsies predict the risk. After developing the model, we will test the accuracy of the predictions in three ways. First, using existing data from the Australian Prostate Cancer Family Study, we will see whether the number of cases in a group of men is close to the number predicted by the model (calibration). Second, to test whether the model discriminate well men who develop prostate cancer from those who do not, we will collect family trees in a sample from the Melbourne Collaborative Cohort Study. We will use these data also to estimate the optimal cut point: men above this level of risk will be considered at high risk. Third, we will apply the model to existing data from the Dutch Prostate Cancer Family Study (DPCFS) to test whether the optimal cut point identify high-risk men and to validate the model in a non-Australian population. Finally, we will prepare a computer package that health professionals will use as decision-making tool in different scenarios including individual cancer risk assessment, design of prevention trials and targeting prevention programs to high-risk men.Read moreRead less
Allergies And Chronic Respiratory Diseases: Causes, Biological Pathways And Interventions
Funder
National Health and Medical Research Council
Funding Amount
$420,872.00
Summary
Allergies and chronic respiratory diseases are major causes of illness and death in Australia. Worryingly there are still many gaps in knowledge on how best to prevent and manage these diseases. The proposed program will investigate these questions and provide evidence to guide health policy and clinical management. As this program is built on state-of the-art methods and technology, these original Australian findings will be of great importance internationally.
Genetic Epidemiology Of Endometrial Cancer: Towards Understanding Aetiology And Improving Risk Prediction.
Funder
National Health and Medical Research Council
Funding Amount
$353,573.00
Summary
Studies investigating thousands of genetic markers have revolutionised our understanding of genes involved in cancer, and shown that a single gene can be associated with multiple cancers. We will conduct the largest ever study to find new genes for endometrial cancer, the most common gynaecological cancer. Our unique approach will examine >11million markers across the genome, some specifically in regions known to be important for other cancers. Findings will be used for risk prediction models ....Studies investigating thousands of genetic markers have revolutionised our understanding of genes involved in cancer, and shown that a single gene can be associated with multiple cancers. We will conduct the largest ever study to find new genes for endometrial cancer, the most common gynaecological cancer. Our unique approach will examine >11million markers across the genome, some specifically in regions known to be important for other cancers. Findings will be used for risk prediction models.Read moreRead less
Clinical, Environmental And Genetic Factors And The Risk Of Oesophageal Cancer
Funder
National Health and Medical Research Council
Funding Amount
$145,685.00
Summary
Oesophageal cancer is a rapidly fatal disease which is becoming more common in Australia, the United States and other industrialised nations. This study will examine the mechanisms leading to the development of oesophageal cancer and aims to measure the effects of genes and environment on the burden of cancer. Ultimately, this research will help target persons at highest risk so that screening, prevention and surveillance efforts can be directed more effectively.
Risk Factors For Compliance With Command Hallucinations In Psychotic Disorders
Funder
National Health and Medical Research Council
Funding Amount
$180,290.00
Summary
There is widespread public concern about the danger individuals with schizophrenia or related disorders pose to themselves and to the community. Whilst a number of violence risk factors such as being male, exhibiting hostility, and having a prior history of violence are well established, they are of limited use to clinicians in making management decisions. Our study will investigate a different approach to identify individuals and occasions when a sufferer might require more intensive care or ob ....There is widespread public concern about the danger individuals with schizophrenia or related disorders pose to themselves and to the community. Whilst a number of violence risk factors such as being male, exhibiting hostility, and having a prior history of violence are well established, they are of limited use to clinicians in making management decisions. Our study will investigate a different approach to identify individuals and occasions when a sufferer might require more intensive care or observation. Most individuals with schizophrenia experience auditory hallucinations. Amongst these hallucinations, voices that command the individual to undertake a particular action are common; many of these involve significant potential harm to the hallucinator or to other persons. We will attempt to identify those factors that are associated with an individual obeying command hallucinations. Variables to be examined include the characteristics of the hallucinated voices, and the beliefs of the subject about the power of the voices. Subjects will be interviewed to find out whether they have delusions that are consistent with their hallucinations, whether they suffer from Antisocial Personality Disorder, or are dependent on alcohol or drugs. We will also determine whether subjects who report being raised by authoritarian parents, who are dependent on the approval of others, or who see external factors as determining the occurrence of major events in their lives, are more likely to act on their hallucinations. Two groups of 100 patients will be studied. One group will be representative of people living in the community with schizophrenia. The other group will be people with schizophrenia who have been treated by the State Forensic Psychiatric Services. Statistical models will be developed in order to determine the accuracy with which compliance with command hallucinations can be predicted. These models with also reveal which risk factors are the most important.Read moreRead less
Impact Of Social Adversity On The Developmental Trajectory To Mental Illness: A Study Of A Whole-population Cohort Of Children At Familial High-risk For Psychotic Disorders
Funder
National Health and Medical Research Council
Funding Amount
$822,385.00
Summary
The objective of this study is to use the rich multi-generational data collection that we have assembled on the life course of a large whole-population birth cohort and their parents to address specific research questions on the contribution of social adversity to the pathogenesis of mental illness, taking into account the interplay of social adversity with genetic risk and the range of other contributing factors on the developmental trajectory to mental illness.
Modelling Of Clinic And Ambulatory Blood Pressure On Cardiovascular Risk And Outcomes
Funder
National Health and Medical Research Council
Funding Amount
$133,957.00
Summary
Whilst ambulatory blood pressure monitoring data has been shown to be a good predictor of cardiovascular events, there remains controversy as to its utility in clinical practice. This project will use data from existing population and clinical cohort studies to examine the role of ambulatory blood pressure in risk assessment and hypertension management in Australia and around the globe. The findings are likely to have a major impact on clinical guidelines for hypertension management.