Boundary Crossing Analysis for Random Processes with Applications to Risk Management. Effective management of environmental, financial and superannuation investment risks is vitally important for Australia. Results of the project will add to the theoretical foundations of risk management and provide new computational tools for specialists working in the areas of financial engineering, insurance, superannuation funds. These tools will assist in improving risk profile evaluation and developing new ....Boundary Crossing Analysis for Random Processes with Applications to Risk Management. Effective management of environmental, financial and superannuation investment risks is vitally important for Australia. Results of the project will add to the theoretical foundations of risk management and provide new computational tools for specialists working in the areas of financial engineering, insurance, superannuation funds. These tools will assist in improving risk profile evaluation and developing new statistical control charts for security monitoring of epidemics, networks intrusions and other potentially dangerous changes. The research will also give Australia a competitive advantage in the area of education related to stochastic processes, mathematical finance, control theory and their applications.Read moreRead less
Development of a Multi Threat Risk Assessment Model for Critical Infrastructure Using Scripted Agent Computer Technology. Current risk assessment paradigms are not suited to the control of catastrophic events such as terrorism. An advanced approach to risk assessment will be developed in this project for rare high impact events such as bomb blasts, where critical infrastructure is threatened. A new software platform based on scripted agent modelling will be constructed that will allow for state ....Development of a Multi Threat Risk Assessment Model for Critical Infrastructure Using Scripted Agent Computer Technology. Current risk assessment paradigms are not suited to the control of catastrophic events such as terrorism. An advanced approach to risk assessment will be developed in this project for rare high impact events such as bomb blasts, where critical infrastructure is threatened. A new software platform based on scripted agent modelling will be constructed that will allow for state of the art models to be used as agents providing a dynamic risk evaluation and necessary information for actions to infrastructure owners and emergency responders as a threat develops. Both the developed scripted agent and the risk assessment technologies can be applied to other technologies and complex risks, such as waste disposal and biotechnology.Read moreRead less
Development of a Multi Threat Risk Assessment Model for Critical Infrastructure Using Scripted Agent Computer Technology. The project will develop a distributed risk network capable of real time assessment of multiple threats to critical infrastructure, which will guide decision making on the appropriate response as the nature of the threat changes. This will assist all stakeholders and allow an integrated response across industry and government agencies. The developed technology will find read ....Development of a Multi Threat Risk Assessment Model for Critical Infrastructure Using Scripted Agent Computer Technology. The project will develop a distributed risk network capable of real time assessment of multiple threats to critical infrastructure, which will guide decision making on the appropriate response as the nature of the threat changes. This will assist all stakeholders and allow an integrated response across industry and government agencies. The developed technology will find ready application in other areas where integration of science and technology is required to solve complex problems. For example, risk network technology has application to natural hazards, waste disposal and financial markets while the scripted agent has application to communication technologies and sensor networks.Read moreRead less
New valuation and parallel simulation methods for finance and insurance. Many Australians have superannuation savings and hold life insurance contracts. Hence, the price and risk of these investments is of particular importance to the welfare of Australia. The proposed research will improve the financial security of Australians by demonstrating that many long term insurance and superannuation products require far less capital than currently suggested. This project will provide path breaking fron ....New valuation and parallel simulation methods for finance and insurance. Many Australians have superannuation savings and hold life insurance contracts. Hence, the price and risk of these investments is of particular importance to the welfare of Australia. The proposed research will improve the financial security of Australians by demonstrating that many long term insurance and superannuation products require far less capital than currently suggested. This project will provide path breaking frontier technology for enhancing the performance of superannuation funds, insurance companies and banks, giving these Australian institutions a competitive advantage. An additional outcome will be global growth for sectors of Australia's IT industry, developing related software and tailored hardware.
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Pricing and Hedging Extreme Maturity Contracts. Most Australians belong to superannuation schemes. Hence, the long term performance and risk of these investments is of particular importance to the welfare of Australia. This research will improve the life-long financial security of Australians by clearly demonstrating that many superannuation targets can be achieved with less capital than currently suggested. This project will provide new technology for enhancing the long term performance of sup ....Pricing and Hedging Extreme Maturity Contracts. Most Australians belong to superannuation schemes. Hence, the long term performance and risk of these investments is of particular importance to the welfare of Australia. This research will improve the life-long financial security of Australians by clearly demonstrating that many superannuation targets can be achieved with less capital than currently suggested. This project will provide new technology for enhancing the long term performance of superannuation funds, managed funds, investment banks and insurance companies, giving these Australian institutions a competitive advantage and permitting them to offer innovative financial products to mitigate extreme maturity financial risk in retirement.Read moreRead less
Risk Measurement for Large Portfolios under the Benchmark Approach. The measurement of risk for large portfolios, consisting of basic assets and derivatives, will play a key role in future risk management systems. Based on a new characterization of asymptotic portfolios this project proposes the development, implementation and testing of highly efficient new risk measurement methodologies suitable for portfolios with hundreds or thousands of instruments. Comparisons with standard and new simulat ....Risk Measurement for Large Portfolios under the Benchmark Approach. The measurement of risk for large portfolios, consisting of basic assets and derivatives, will play a key role in future risk management systems. Based on a new characterization of asymptotic portfolios this project proposes the development, implementation and testing of highly efficient new risk measurement methodologies suitable for portfolios with hundreds or thousands of instruments. Comparisons with standard and new simulation methods will demonstrate their superiority. The outcomes of this project will give the Australian industry and the industry partner a competitive advantage in the measurement and management of risk for large portfolios as superannuation funds or portfolios of banks.Read moreRead less
Large-Scale Simulation Methods for Measuring Financial Performance under the Benchmark Approach. All working Australians are now required to belong to superannuation schemes. Hence, the measurement of financial performance safely, efficiently, and over long time horizons is of particular importance to Australia. One outcome alone of this research will be the provision of a technology to optimize the long term performance of superannuation funds. More generally, the results will allow better dec ....Large-Scale Simulation Methods for Measuring Financial Performance under the Benchmark Approach. All working Australians are now required to belong to superannuation schemes. Hence, the measurement of financial performance safely, efficiently, and over long time horizons is of particular importance to Australia. One outcome alone of this research will be the provision of a technology to optimize the long term performance of superannuation funds. More generally, the results will allow better decision-making and integrated, strategic planning for financial institutions and insurance companies. An additional outcome will be global growth for the sectors of Australia's IT industry developing innovative simulation based hardware and software, since the new simulation methods have wide applicability.Read moreRead less
A New Integrated Approach to Managing Risk in Financial Markets. Managing financial risks more safely, efficiently, and over longer time horizons is of particular importance in Australia, where - through superannuation - nearly everyone is exposed to the ups and downs of the financial markets. To name a specific example, the project will provide the technology to manage the risk of long-term return guarantees for superannuation funds. More generally, results of the project will allow regulatory ....A New Integrated Approach to Managing Risk in Financial Markets. Managing financial risks more safely, efficiently, and over longer time horizons is of particular importance in Australia, where - through superannuation - nearly everyone is exposed to the ups and downs of the financial markets. To name a specific example, the project will provide the technology to manage the risk of long-term return guarantees for superannuation funds. More generally, results of the project will allow regulatory authorities to accurately judge the risk profile of financial institutions, insurance companies and funds. The new generation of quantitative financial methods will benefit both Australian financial institutions and sectors of Australia's IT industry developing innovative risk management software.Read moreRead less