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Directing China's Top 100 Companies: corporate governance, accountability and corporate law in the top 100 companies in China. Governance, transparency and accountability in listed companies are worldwide concerns; this is especially so for PRC companies listed in China and abroad. Using a mixture of fieldwork, financial data-base analysis and library research in China and Australia, the project will map the impact of corporate disclosure requirements on governance practices of the Fortune magaz ....Directing China's Top 100 Companies: corporate governance, accountability and corporate law in the top 100 companies in China. Governance, transparency and accountability in listed companies are worldwide concerns; this is especially so for PRC companies listed in China and abroad. Using a mixture of fieldwork, financial data-base analysis and library research in China and Australia, the project will map the impact of corporate disclosure requirements on governance practices of the Fortune magazine top 100 PRC companies. PRC companies are internationally active and engaged with Australian companies and capital markets. Post-WTO entry PRC reforms of Chinese corporate governance and accountability practices will be assessed. A new theorization of governance, law and accountability in Chinese companies will be developed.Read moreRead less
Impacts of International Financial Reporting Standards adoption on cost of equity capital, financial statement value-relevance, and firms' financing and investment strategies. The project's insights will assist policy makers to assess, progress and promote approaches to global economic and governance policy reforms. AIFRS adoption disturbs the financial markets equilibria previously struck under Australian accounting standards. Understanding this impact helps underpin micro- and macro- economi ....Impacts of International Financial Reporting Standards adoption on cost of equity capital, financial statement value-relevance, and firms' financing and investment strategies. The project's insights will assist policy makers to assess, progress and promote approaches to global economic and governance policy reforms. AIFRS adoption disturbs the financial markets equilibria previously struck under Australian accounting standards. Understanding this impact helps underpin micro- and macro- economic strategies and policy developments relying upon the role of financial reporting. It also assists capital markets to adapt to the new reporting environment, thus increasing capital allocation effectiveness and efficiency.
Australia's position as an early IFRS adopting nation enables the project to facilitate Australia's international leadership in global economic policy development. Read moreRead less
Cycles and Size: Long Term Valuation and Investment Performance. This project will significantly enhance our understanding of the cyclical variation in the returns and volatility of size-related equity classes. A better understanding of these cyclical phenomena may also lead to improvements in the asset allocation process, in particular the investment in medium- and
small-sized enterprise shares. The current neglect by analysts and reluctance of institutional investors to research and invest in ....Cycles and Size: Long Term Valuation and Investment Performance. This project will significantly enhance our understanding of the cyclical variation in the returns and volatility of size-related equity classes. A better understanding of these cyclical phenomena may also lead to improvements in the asset allocation process, in particular the investment in medium- and
small-sized enterprise shares. The current neglect by analysts and reluctance of institutional investors to research and invest in this sizable market segment offers significant opportunities for linkage research. This project will focus on the valuation, (il)liquidity, and macroeconomic sources of momentum profits as they related to the economic cycle, across the size spectrum.
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Three Decades of Financial Distress and Corporate Restructuring in Australia. Corporate financial distress is costly and disruptive to Australia's economy. While shareholders are the first to lose, the flow-on effects include bankruptcies, unemployment, and a negative impact on economic growth. By analysing three decades of Australian experience we aim to gain a deeper understanding of the dynamics underlying financial distress and corporate restructuring. The potential benefits include improvem ....Three Decades of Financial Distress and Corporate Restructuring in Australia. Corporate financial distress is costly and disruptive to Australia's economy. While shareholders are the first to lose, the flow-on effects include bankruptcies, unemployment, and a negative impact on economic growth. By analysing three decades of Australian experience we aim to gain a deeper understanding of the dynamics underlying financial distress and corporate restructuring. The potential benefits include improvements to corporate practice in responding to financial distress, improvements to ASX governance (regarding listing rules and transparency in particular for small-capitalization firms), and ultimately to economic policy by elucidating the corporate sector's dynamic response across the business cycle. Read moreRead less
When Markets Fail: A Comparative Assessment of Costs and Benefits of Trade Interruption. Stock exchanges worldwide provide the opportunity to instantaneously and continuously trade securities. The introduction of automated trading systems has considerably enhanced this opportunity. Surprisingly, exchanges still have (and use) the discretion to occasionally suspend trading in certain stocks. These trading halts are used to prevent a disorderly or uninformed response to pertinent company informati ....When Markets Fail: A Comparative Assessment of Costs and Benefits of Trade Interruption. Stock exchanges worldwide provide the opportunity to instantaneously and continuously trade securities. The introduction of automated trading systems has considerably enhanced this opportunity. Surprisingly, exchanges still have (and use) the discretion to occasionally suspend trading in certain stocks. These trading halts are used to prevent a disorderly or uninformed response to pertinent company information releases. Practitioners and academics tend to believe that trading halts do not serve this role well. We propose a new methodology to more accurately measure the costs and benefits of trade suspensions. We compare their impact on different trading systems, and evaluate their intertemporal performance.Read moreRead less
Modelling factors affecting the long-term demand for and supply of professional accounting and allied services in rural and regional Australia. Rural and regional areas accommodate more than a third of Australia's population and generate two-thirds of its net export income. This project will enable the accounting profession to establish effective strategies and policies for the education, training, and recruitment of professional staff in regional communities. Maintaining the quality and viabi ....Modelling factors affecting the long-term demand for and supply of professional accounting and allied services in rural and regional Australia. Rural and regional areas accommodate more than a third of Australia's population and generate two-thirds of its net export income. This project will enable the accounting profession to establish effective strategies and policies for the education, training, and recruitment of professional staff in regional communities. Maintaining the quality and viability of professional services is critical to the economic development of these communities and crucial to maintaining equity between city and country. This project will ensure that professional accounting and allied services can meet future regional demands with the potential for this modelling to be applied to other regional services.Read moreRead less
New Statistical Procedures for Analysing Dependence in Non-Gaussian Time Series Data. In the economic, finance and business spheres, statistical data is often discrete, binary, strictly positive, or characterized by an uneven distribution of values above and below the average. Prominent examples are the high frequency financial data that have become accessible with the computerization of financial markets, including the number of trades in successive time intervals, the direction of price change ....New Statistical Procedures for Analysing Dependence in Non-Gaussian Time Series Data. In the economic, finance and business spheres, statistical data is often discrete, binary, strictly positive, or characterized by an uneven distribution of values above and below the average. Prominent examples are the high frequency financial data that have become accessible with the computerization of financial markets, including the number of trades in successive time intervals, the direction of price changes, the time between trades and the return on a financial asset over short periods. This project develops a range of new statistical tools that will enable both researchers and practitioners to analyze the dynamic behaviour in such data and thereby validate and implement a range of financial models.Read moreRead less
A Bayesian State Space Methodology for Forecasting Stock Market Volatility and Associated Time-varying Risk Premia. Accurate prediction of stock market volatility is critical for effective financial risk management. Along with information on volatility embedded in historical stock market returns, the prices of options written on the underlying stocks also reflect the option market's assessment of future volatility. This project will exploit this dual data source in a completely new way, using it ....A Bayesian State Space Methodology for Forecasting Stock Market Volatility and Associated Time-varying Risk Premia. Accurate prediction of stock market volatility is critical for effective financial risk management. Along with information on volatility embedded in historical stock market returns, the prices of options written on the underlying stocks also reflect the option market's assessment of future volatility. This project will exploit this dual data source in a completely new way, using it to produce forecasts of both volatility itself and the premia factored into asset prices as a result of traders' perceptions of volatility risk. State-of-the-art statistical methods will be used to produce up-dates of the probability of extreme volatility and/or extreme risk aversion, as new market data becomes available each trading day.Read moreRead less
Non-parametric estimation of forecast distributions in non-Gaussian state space models. The production of accurate forecasts is arguably one of the most challenging tasks in economics, business and finance, where data often assume strictly positive, integer or binary values, or are characterized by many extreme values far from the average. This project will produce new, state-of-the-art statistical methods for generating accurate estimates of the probabilities attached to different possible futu ....Non-parametric estimation of forecast distributions in non-Gaussian state space models. The production of accurate forecasts is arguably one of the most challenging tasks in economics, business and finance, where data often assume strictly positive, integer or binary values, or are characterized by many extreme values far from the average. This project will produce new, state-of-the-art statistical methods for generating accurate estimates of the probabilities attached to different possible future values of such variables. Although far-ranging in scope, the techniques advocated will have particular impact in the financial sphere, where the concept of future risk is inextricably linked to the probability of occurrence of extreme values and, hence, to the future probability distribution of the financial variable. Read moreRead less
New estimation and testing issues in nonlinear time series econometrics. The outcomes of this project will not only complement but also enhance the existing strengths of Australian researchers in the field of econometrics. The outcomes are also expected to help stabilise the national financial market for more accurate forecasts. It is also expected that the outcomes will provide novel models to respond to climate change and variability and to provide accurate warming estimates for improving the ....New estimation and testing issues in nonlinear time series econometrics. The outcomes of this project will not only complement but also enhance the existing strengths of Australian researchers in the field of econometrics. The outcomes are also expected to help stabilise the national financial market for more accurate forecasts. It is also expected that the outcomes will provide novel models to respond to climate change and variability and to provide accurate warming estimates for improving the policy making process.Read moreRead less