Nobody knows anything? Applying pari-mutuel prediction markets to the motion picture industry. This project will explore the predictability of unreleased motion pictures' theatrical box office revenues using incentive rich pari-mutuel prediction markets. The mechanism will promote price discovery and associated probability estimates that will benefit those already investing in the industry as well as encouraging new investment.
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE140101014
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$349,785.00
Summary
Extending economic design to non-market settings: An experimental study of mechanism design with intention-based preferences. Mechanism design is the engineering side of economic theory, which starts with assumptions regarding human nature and builds economic systems to best maximise efficiency according to these assumptions. This project studies mechanism design in experimental settings where individuals exhibit a desire to be kind to those who have been kind to them and unkind to those who ha ....Extending economic design to non-market settings: An experimental study of mechanism design with intention-based preferences. Mechanism design is the engineering side of economic theory, which starts with assumptions regarding human nature and builds economic systems to best maximise efficiency according to these assumptions. This project studies mechanism design in experimental settings where individuals exhibit a desire to be kind to those who have been kind to them and unkind to those who have not. Such preferences are common in many non-market settings and can have dramatic effects on the efficiency of potential mechanisms. The ultimate goal of this project is to develop applied mechanisms that are robust to heterogeneity in such intention-based preferences and which can be used in bilateral exchange, contract design and many other non-market settings.Read moreRead less
Scientist career path: An explorative analysis. This project aims to uncover important insights into scientists, their interactions, and their career dynamics, seeking to understand scientific success and scientific innovations by understanding scientists themselves. The project will generate the largest data set on scientists ever collected and analysed, resulting in new knowledge into the mechanisms underlying scientific progress and innovation; scientists’ resilience and adaptation to positiv ....Scientist career path: An explorative analysis. This project aims to uncover important insights into scientists, their interactions, and their career dynamics, seeking to understand scientific success and scientific innovations by understanding scientists themselves. The project will generate the largest data set on scientists ever collected and analysed, resulting in new knowledge into the mechanisms underlying scientific progress and innovation; scientists’ resilience and adaptation to positive and negative life shocks or environmental changes; their pattern of collaboration and cooperation; and their creative development. The project will provide significant benefits to universities and policy makers in fulfilling their role of creating and disseminating new knowledge.Read moreRead less
Behavioural Econ & Field Experiments to Improve Plasma & Bone Marrow Supply. Plasma and bone marrow save and improve the quality of many lives. Yet Australia's domestic volunteer supply fails to meet Australia's needs even when supplemented by costly imports. This project involves a series of field experiments, based on behavioural economic theories, designed to understand charitable behaviour and how to motivate and increase plasma and bone marrow supply. The project aims to test the value of m ....Behavioural Econ & Field Experiments to Improve Plasma & Bone Marrow Supply. Plasma and bone marrow save and improve the quality of many lives. Yet Australia's domestic volunteer supply fails to meet Australia's needs even when supplemented by costly imports. This project involves a series of field experiments, based on behavioural economic theories, designed to understand charitable behaviour and how to motivate and increase plasma and bone marrow supply. The project aims to test the value of motivational factors, including commitment devices, reciprocity and altruism, to increasing donations. The project aims to advance scientific knowledge of people's motivation to perform substantial altruistic actions (in terms of both time and pain), to provide effective methods to increase donations that save lives and to improve national health.Read moreRead less