Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE140100089
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$371,151.00
Summary
A new understanding of Antarctic ice melting. Melting of grounded ice in the Antarctic may play a key role in future global sea level rise and Earth's climate system. Ocean-ice interactions governing the rate of melting are not well understood and limited data leads to large uncertainties in the predictions of future melting rates. This project will undertake the first direct numerical simulations examining the complex dynamics of melting of ice-shelves in the presence of convection and turbulen ....A new understanding of Antarctic ice melting. Melting of grounded ice in the Antarctic may play a key role in future global sea level rise and Earth's climate system. Ocean-ice interactions governing the rate of melting are not well understood and limited data leads to large uncertainties in the predictions of future melting rates. This project will undertake the first direct numerical simulations examining the complex dynamics of melting of ice-shelves in the presence of convection and turbulence, while translating the results to improve ocean models. By calculating the sensitivity of melting rate to surrounding ocean conditions, the project will develop the knowledge required to better predict future melting rates.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE230100315
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$450,042.00
Summary
How will Pacific climate variability impact Australia in a warming world? Temperature variability in the Pacific Ocean is characterised by El Niño and La Niña (year-to-year variations) and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (decadal variations). These phenomena are primary drivers of Australian temperature and rainfall. Leveraging new tools and methods, including Single Model Initial-Condition Large Ensembles, this project will investigate drivers of these phenomena, and their impacts on Austr ....How will Pacific climate variability impact Australia in a warming world? Temperature variability in the Pacific Ocean is characterised by El Niño and La Niña (year-to-year variations) and the Interdecadal Pacific Oscillation (decadal variations). These phenomena are primary drivers of Australian temperature and rainfall. Leveraging new tools and methods, including Single Model Initial-Condition Large Ensembles, this project will investigate drivers of these phenomena, and their impacts on Australia in a warming world. Outcomes include the quantification of how these climate phenomena modulate extreme weather events, and an understanding of how Indian and Atlantic Ocean warming affects the Pacific region. This will improve the prediction of extreme events, which is critical for preparation for their impacts.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE160100750
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$370,000.00
Summary
The Effects of Energy Subsidy Reform: The Case of Indonesia. This project plans to analyse and quantify the effects of energy subsidy reductions on environmental, transport, health, socioeconomic and industrial outcomes. Using econometric methods, the project aims to assess recent reductions in subsidies for fuel and electricity in Indonesia. Energy subsidies have been a large drain on many governments’ budgets and are often thought to bring perverse effects. The project may provide a blueprint ....The Effects of Energy Subsidy Reform: The Case of Indonesia. This project plans to analyse and quantify the effects of energy subsidy reductions on environmental, transport, health, socioeconomic and industrial outcomes. Using econometric methods, the project aims to assess recent reductions in subsidies for fuel and electricity in Indonesia. Energy subsidies have been a large drain on many governments’ budgets and are often thought to bring perverse effects. The project may provide a blueprint for the design of future reforms in Indonesia and elsewhere, with the goal of addressing serious issues such as air pollution and traffic congestion while avoiding adverse consequences for the poor. The project also aims to assist budget forecasting and guide economic models on the effects of fiscal settings for energy.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE200100435
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$365,039.00
Summary
Modern statistical methods for complex multivariate longitudinal data. The project aims to develop novel approaches for the statistical analysis of large, complex multivariate longitudinal data, and apply them to two datasets to address scientific questions related to the drivers and consequences of poor physical and mental health in Australia, and the spatio-temporal evolution of species assemblages in the Southern Ocean. The project expects to develop new knowledge in the areas of statistical ....Modern statistical methods for complex multivariate longitudinal data. The project aims to develop novel approaches for the statistical analysis of large, complex multivariate longitudinal data, and apply them to two datasets to address scientific questions related to the drivers and consequences of poor physical and mental health in Australia, and the spatio-temporal evolution of species assemblages in the Southern Ocean. The project expects to develop new knowledge in the areas of statistical model building, model selection, and inference for multivariate longitudinal data. This will lead to a suite of modern methods and insights for computationally efficient, mathematically rigorous statistical data analysis that, when applied, should provide significant benefits to public health and ecology.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE240100301
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$440,000.00
Summary
Reducing uncertainty in prediction of leaf respiration in a changing world. This project aims to advance our understanding of responses of carbon dioxide (CO2) release by leaf (leaf respiration) to sustained changes in CO2 and temperature. Leaf respiration in terrestrial forests releases yearly CO2 that is two to four times higher than CO2 emitted by human activities, but its response to climate change is not well understood. The project expects to generate new knowledge on mechanisms underlying ....Reducing uncertainty in prediction of leaf respiration in a changing world. This project aims to advance our understanding of responses of carbon dioxide (CO2) release by leaf (leaf respiration) to sustained changes in CO2 and temperature. Leaf respiration in terrestrial forests releases yearly CO2 that is two to four times higher than CO2 emitted by human activities, but its response to climate change is not well understood. The project expects to generate new knowledge on mechanisms underlying responses of leaf respiration to these climate change variables, separately and combined. Expected outcome is to deliver criteria that enable dynamic changes in leaf respiration to be predicted in climate models. Results should benefit improved forecast of feedback between Australian forests' carbon cycling and climate.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE160100092
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$389,742.00
Summary
What is extreme? Advancing insights into Australia’s variable rainfall. This project aims to address fundamental questions about the causes of Australia’s rainfall variability, providing crucial information about how changing climates affect the water cycle. Bringing together earth system data from ground-based and satellite observations, palaeoclimate reconstructions and climate model simulations, it plans to analyse the processes that cause change in Australia’s rainfall. The project aims to i ....What is extreme? Advancing insights into Australia’s variable rainfall. This project aims to address fundamental questions about the causes of Australia’s rainfall variability, providing crucial information about how changing climates affect the water cycle. Bringing together earth system data from ground-based and satellite observations, palaeoclimate reconstructions and climate model simulations, it plans to analyse the processes that cause change in Australia’s rainfall. The project aims to integrate these datasets using the novel analysis of water isotopes, an important diagnostic of the water cycle. This approach is expected to help evaluate how Australia’s rainfall responds to natural and anthropogenic drivers and identify the processes behind recently observed rainfall extremes.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE170100184
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$360,000.00
Summary
Understanding Antarctic dense water formation. This project aims to use a high-resolution global modelling approach to understand how Antarctic dense water formation changed in past climates and how to predict future changes. The Southern Ocean is critical in the uptake of heat and carbon from the atmosphere into the deep ocean. The sinking of cold and saline dense water around the coast of Antarctica transports heat and carbon into the deep ocean. Climate models fail to simulate this process an ....Understanding Antarctic dense water formation. This project aims to use a high-resolution global modelling approach to understand how Antarctic dense water formation changed in past climates and how to predict future changes. The Southern Ocean is critical in the uptake of heat and carbon from the atmosphere into the deep ocean. The sinking of cold and saline dense water around the coast of Antarctica transports heat and carbon into the deep ocean. Climate models fail to simulate this process and little is known about how dense water formation responds to changes in climate. Identification of critical vulnerabilities associated with Antarctic ice shelf melting and sea level rise will guide Southern Ocean observation systems and Australian climate adaptation programs.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE140101611
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$379,040.00
Summary
Snow, shrub and climate feedbacks: impacts of shrub expansion in the Australian alpine zone. This project aims to understand the mechanisms promoting shrub expansion in alpine areas and the consequences of a shrub-dominated landscape in terms of shrubs as hydrological mediators and as biodiversity and ecosystem modifiers. Some shrub species trap wind-blown snow, thereby facilitating seedling survival through soil insulation and increases to meltwater. However, if adaptive and plastic responses t ....Snow, shrub and climate feedbacks: impacts of shrub expansion in the Australian alpine zone. This project aims to understand the mechanisms promoting shrub expansion in alpine areas and the consequences of a shrub-dominated landscape in terms of shrubs as hydrological mediators and as biodiversity and ecosystem modifiers. Some shrub species trap wind-blown snow, thereby facilitating seedling survival through soil insulation and increases to meltwater. However, if adaptive and plastic responses to climate change allows, shrub expansion will have significant negative impacts on alpine biodiversity and ecosystem function. This project will tease apart the interacting effects of snow, recruitment and adaptation to provide models of shrub increase and determine how shrubs modify alpine ecosystem processes and upper catchment hydrology.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE150101773
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$369,536.00
Summary
Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Biogeography. Species Distribution Models (SDMs) are crucial tools for conservation and planning, but they assume that environmental variables (e.g. temperature) are the only controls on distributions, when historical factors, like dispersal limitation and phylogenetic niche conservatism, are also important. A Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM) will be constructed to jointly estimate dispersal history, niche evolution, and present-day SDMs for each species in a cla ....Bayesian Hierarchical Model for Biogeography. Species Distribution Models (SDMs) are crucial tools for conservation and planning, but they assume that environmental variables (e.g. temperature) are the only controls on distributions, when historical factors, like dispersal limitation and phylogenetic niche conservatism, are also important. A Bayesian Hierarchical Model (BHM) will be constructed to jointly estimate dispersal history, niche evolution, and present-day SDMs for each species in a clade. BHMs will be tested against traditional SDMs using Australian clades (e.g. frogs) and simulations. BHMs will advance scientific understanding of how species and biogeography coevolve and provide practical improvements in predictions for species that are rare, data-poor, or in changed climates.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE210100549
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$417,328.00
Summary
Adaptive evolution and its demographic consequences today. This project aims to provide the first test of whether the rate of adaptative genetic evolution has changed in the recent decades, to quantify how much recent genetic evolution helps animal populations survive, and to increase the ability to study on-going genetic evolution in Australian wildlife. The project is of major significance as many species are currently threatened, or invading, due to rapid environmental changes, in particular ....Adaptive evolution and its demographic consequences today. This project aims to provide the first test of whether the rate of adaptative genetic evolution has changed in the recent decades, to quantify how much recent genetic evolution helps animal populations survive, and to increase the ability to study on-going genetic evolution in Australian wildlife. The project is of major significance as many species are currently threatened, or invading, due to rapid environmental changes, in particular climate change. The anticipated outcome of the project is to deliver new methods, establish a network of international and national collaborators and improve the ability to measure and to forecast how Australian animals adapt to rapidly changing environments.Read moreRead less