Increasing the efficiency and interpretability of stepped wedge trials. Stepped wedge cluster randomised trials are increasingly being used to test interventions, across many disciplines. This project aims to develop highly efficient trial designs and new methods for the estimation of causally interpretable effects when adherence to interventions is not perfect. This project expects to generate new design types that reduce resources required to test interventions, and methods to understand how t ....Increasing the efficiency and interpretability of stepped wedge trials. Stepped wedge cluster randomised trials are increasingly being used to test interventions, across many disciplines. This project aims to develop highly efficient trial designs and new methods for the estimation of causally interpretable effects when adherence to interventions is not perfect. This project expects to generate new design types that reduce resources required to test interventions, and methods to understand how these interventions work. Expected outcomes include tools to help researchers develop cheaper and more appealing trials, tools to estimate causal effects, the methodology underpinning these tools, and new collaborations. This should provide significant benefits by allowing more interventions to be tested and understood.Read moreRead less
Guiding principles and guardrails for genetic association studies. This project aims to investigate deep connections between genetic structure (population genetic processes, linkage disequilibrium and population structure) and the ability to statistically detect genetic variants responsible for variation in traits. The project expects to generate new knowledge in the areas of statistics, mathematics and biology through an innovative, multidisciplinary approach that synthesises and extends founda ....Guiding principles and guardrails for genetic association studies. This project aims to investigate deep connections between genetic structure (population genetic processes, linkage disequilibrium and population structure) and the ability to statistically detect genetic variants responsible for variation in traits. The project expects to generate new knowledge in the areas of statistics, mathematics and biology through an innovative, multidisciplinary approach that synthesises and extends foundational disciplinary results. Expected outcomes of this project include principles and methodology that underpin future genetic association studies by supplying a framework for interpreting results. This should provide significant benefits by reducing false conclusions and their associated costs.Read moreRead less
Mathematical and statistical methods for modelling invivo pathogen dynamics. This project aims to develop mathematical models and Bayesian statistical methods that better capture how natural defence responses and drugs help control infection. When viruses (e.g. influenza) or parasites (e.g. malaria) invade the human body, they begin to replicate. To date, only simple mathematical models have been developed to capture these processes, and these models are not well formulated. This project will im ....Mathematical and statistical methods for modelling invivo pathogen dynamics. This project aims to develop mathematical models and Bayesian statistical methods that better capture how natural defence responses and drugs help control infection. When viruses (e.g. influenza) or parasites (e.g. malaria) invade the human body, they begin to replicate. To date, only simple mathematical models have been developed to capture these processes, and these models are not well formulated. This project will improve biomathematics and biostatistical algorithms for pathogen dynamics and is ultimately expected to benefit public health and clinical research aimed at alleviating the effect of infectious diseases on human health.Read moreRead less
Statistical methods for the analysis of critical care data, with application to the Australian and New Zealand Intensive Care Database. The recent inquiry into Queensland's Bundaberg Base Hospital highlights the need to monitor hospital performance. This project develops new statistical methods to account for uncertainty in the assessment of provider performance and its outcomes will provide government with institutional comparisons for policy and planning.
Mathematical models of diseases with complex transmission routes. This project aims to model diseases that spread via a mixture of routes including food, water, the environment, and direct spread between individuals. Key diseases include: avian influenza, which causes massive disruption to the poultry industry; gastroenteritis, which costs Australia $1,250 million each year; and leptospirosis, which causes one million severe illnesses each year globally. This project will develop mathematical a ....Mathematical models of diseases with complex transmission routes. This project aims to model diseases that spread via a mixture of routes including food, water, the environment, and direct spread between individuals. Key diseases include: avian influenza, which causes massive disruption to the poultry industry; gastroenteritis, which costs Australia $1,250 million each year; and leptospirosis, which causes one million severe illnesses each year globally. This project will develop mathematical and statistical tools to better estimate risk, analyse outbreak data, and provide guidance for disease control. This research will improve policy and enhance our ability to respond to disease outbreaks.Read moreRead less
Binary regression with additive predictors: new statistical theory with healthcare applications. This project will develop new statistical analysis techniques for predicting whether someone is at risk of adverse health outcomes. The project will then apply the new techniques to a large database on heart attacks, leading to new insights into how patient characteristics and treatments affect the chance of dying from a heart attack.
A likelihood-based approach to combined surveys inference. This project focuses on the development of statistical theory for efficient integration of information across multiple complex sample surveys. It will develop theory and methodology that will answer complex questions about relationships between important social, economic and health related variables that are presently measured in separate surveys.
Novel techniques for statistical and mathematical analyses of sequence data. Algorithms will be developed for analysing and comparing the sequences of DNA letters and amino acids constantly being generated in massive quantities by biological research. The novel approach taken is based on the statistical frequency of occurrence of short words and is designed specifically for situations where current methods fail.
Fitting non-Gaussian diffusion models to evolutionary data: towards a generalized framework for phylogenetic comparative analyses. This project aims to develop cutting-edge statistical methods for evolutionary biology in order to answer big questions using data derived from multiple species. Such methods are needed because of the variety of multi-species data that are becoming available, which cannot be dealt with correctly using current methods. The research is significant because it will provi ....Fitting non-Gaussian diffusion models to evolutionary data: towards a generalized framework for phylogenetic comparative analyses. This project aims to develop cutting-edge statistical methods for evolutionary biology in order to answer big questions using data derived from multiple species. Such methods are needed because of the variety of multi-species data that are becoming available, which cannot be dealt with correctly using current methods. The research is significant because it will provide a new way of fitting a wide class of statistical models to evolutionary data, in a very general setting. Further, this project will unite current methodology in a broader framework so that the proposed new methods are a generalisation of currently accepted theory. The outcomes will include a freely-available software package that implements the methods in a user-friendly form.Read moreRead less
High Predictive Performance Models via Semi-Parametric Survival Regression. This project will develop novel statistical models for high prediction performance. When applied to help doctor to treat patients, these models allow the users to include gene or other biomarkers for predicting effectiveness of a treatment. When applied to risk management in finance, these models are capable to include an organization's or individual's ongoing finance status to predict, for example, the probability of or ....High Predictive Performance Models via Semi-Parametric Survival Regression. This project will develop novel statistical models for high prediction performance. When applied to help doctor to treat patients, these models allow the users to include gene or other biomarkers for predicting effectiveness of a treatment. When applied to risk management in finance, these models are capable to include an organization's or individual's ongoing finance status to predict, for example, the probability of or time to loan default. Innovative computational methods will be developed for fitting these models. Compared to traditional prediction method, this approach allows greater flexibility while being superior in terms of statistical accuracy and bias. Extensive analyses of healthcare data from diverse fields will be undertaken.Read moreRead less