Uncertainty quantification using type-2 fuzzy systems. This project will develop new interval type-2 fuzzy logic system-based tools for quantifying uncertainties present in complex systems. The outcome of this project will greatly help all Australian industries and organisations that directly or indirectly use model-based estimation for prediction and forecasting purposes.
Quantification, optimisation, and application of deep uncertainty. This project aims to develop a framework for deep uncertainty quantification. There is currently a fundamental gap between deep learning research and the methods required to quantify and manage uncertainties. The research will propose a novel distribution-free methodology to generate deep predictive uncertainty estimates to avoid the assumptions of existing methods. The quality of estimates will be enhanced by applying an interva ....Quantification, optimisation, and application of deep uncertainty. This project aims to develop a framework for deep uncertainty quantification. There is currently a fundamental gap between deep learning research and the methods required to quantify and manage uncertainties. The research will propose a novel distribution-free methodology to generate deep predictive uncertainty estimates to avoid the assumptions of existing methods. The quality of estimates will be enhanced by applying an interval-based adversarial training step. The project is expected to help data-driven Australian organisations and industries to better quantify and manage forecasting uncertainties. This project will provide them with significant cost savings through better decision making and more robust planning.Read moreRead less