Dynamic prediction models in Australian rules football using real time performance statistics. The study is a collaborative venture with Champion Data, the Australian leader in the collection and transmission of real time sporting data, and official provider of the Australian Football League (AFL) statistics. The aim is to develop a real time on line predictive model for AFL football. The model will use the statistics Champion Data collect as the match progresses as inputs to continually updat ....Dynamic prediction models in Australian rules football using real time performance statistics. The study is a collaborative venture with Champion Data, the Australian leader in the collection and transmission of real time sporting data, and official provider of the Australian Football League (AFL) statistics. The aim is to develop a real time on line predictive model for AFL football. The model will use the statistics Champion Data collect as the match progresses as inputs to continually update estimates of the probabilities of various outcomes of interest such as the winner of the match and the margin of victory. The project will assist Champion in their strategic aim to provide an on line form guide.Read moreRead less
In for the count: Maximising trust and reliability in Australian elections. This project aims to develop innovative approaches to identifying, measuring, and evaluating errors and purposeful intervention in the uniquely complex elections at the basis of Australian democracy. Such methods can underpin a world-class election auditing system, which contends with the risks that are emerging at the intersection of election digitisation, cybersecurity and foreign interference. The project’s expected o ....In for the count: Maximising trust and reliability in Australian elections. This project aims to develop innovative approaches to identifying, measuring, and evaluating errors and purposeful intervention in the uniquely complex elections at the basis of Australian democracy. Such methods can underpin a world-class election auditing system, which contends with the risks that are emerging at the intersection of election digitisation, cybersecurity and foreign interference. The project’s expected outcomes are new auditing methods, tested on real Australian election data, with their benefits quantified against global best practice. The research outputs should help reinforce the community’s trust in Australian elections, which are a foundation for our security, social cohesion, and political resilience.Read moreRead less
New nonparametric statistical methods for imperfectly observed data. Statistical science today is facing the challenge of having to answer questions about data that are more complex than ever before. Some of the major difficulties are caused by the lack of direct access to quantities of interest, and the more intricate structure of the available data. Motivated by applications in areas such as cancer and genetic studies, infectious disease, environmental pollution, and public health and nutriti ....New nonparametric statistical methods for imperfectly observed data. Statistical science today is facing the challenge of having to answer questions about data that are more complex than ever before. Some of the major difficulties are caused by the lack of direct access to quantities of interest, and the more intricate structure of the available data. Motivated by applications in areas such as cancer and genetic studies, infectious disease, environmental pollution, and public health and nutrition, this project aims to develop novel and highly effective statistical methodology for solving contemporary problems involving new types of imperfectly observed data. The expected outcomes will solve frontier problems, where information can only be accessed through sophisticated computer intensive methods.Read moreRead less
Mitigating bias in statistical analyses of data collected over time. This project aims to develop innovative nonparametric distribution and regression curve estimation techniques from data collected over time. These curves are key statistical tools for describing populations, but often, their estimators are inefficient when the data are massive, growing and change over time, or too restrictive when the data exhibit measurement errors and a fraction of them are equal to zero. The project expects ....Mitigating bias in statistical analyses of data collected over time. This project aims to develop innovative nonparametric distribution and regression curve estimation techniques from data collected over time. These curves are key statistical tools for describing populations, but often, their estimators are inefficient when the data are massive, growing and change over time, or too restrictive when the data exhibit measurement errors and a fraction of them are equal to zero. The project expects to develop novel, less restrictive and more realistic nonparametric curve estimation methods in these complex settings. Outcomes include new practical statistical methods and software to benefit experts in diverse fields from nutrition and epidemiology, to environmental science and digital platforms, amongst others.Read moreRead less
Statistical challenges involving indirect data. This project aims to develop statistical methodology for solving contemporary problems involving indirectly observed data whose complexity is exacerbated by factors such as incompleteness or episodic availability. Modern statistics find it difficult to analyse complex data which contain important information only in an indirect way, such as data measured with noise or aggregated data. This project considers both finite dimensional data and function ....Statistical challenges involving indirect data. This project aims to develop statistical methodology for solving contemporary problems involving indirectly observed data whose complexity is exacerbated by factors such as incompleteness or episodic availability. Modern statistics find it difficult to analyse complex data which contain important information only in an indirect way, such as data measured with noise or aggregated data. This project considers both finite dimensional data and functional data. The expected methodology will be able to solve frontier problems, where only sophisticated methods can access information. This is expected to benefit brain studies, economics, infectious disease, nutrition and public health.Read moreRead less
Multi-Group Stochastic Modelling of Population Balance for Gas-Liquid Flows. Multiphase flow systems are encountered in many process industries such as chemical, petroleum, mining, nuclear, energy, food and pharmaceutical, which are fundamental to the Australian economy. Commercially available computer codes for simulating such systems are currently widely used in many Australian industrial sectors. This research project will address the prevalent deficiency in many of these computer codes and ....Multi-Group Stochastic Modelling of Population Balance for Gas-Liquid Flows. Multiphase flow systems are encountered in many process industries such as chemical, petroleum, mining, nuclear, energy, food and pharmaceutical, which are fundamental to the Australian economy. Commercially available computer codes for simulating such systems are currently widely used in many Australian industrial sectors. This research project will address the prevalent deficiency in many of these computer codes and develop new models capable of predicting a wide range of industrial bubbly flow problems. The resultant improved computer codes will provide industries with significant benefits and, in particular, reduce times and costs in their design and production. Read moreRead less
Overseeing the internet: new paradigms of network measurement. Like the electricity network, the internet is a core infrastructure, and so must be reliable and efficient. A gap in bandwidth supply is like a blackout in terms of lost business and productivity. This project will provide the measurement breakthroughs to ensure that network behaviour can be accurately and comprehensively monitored.
Nonparametric data analysis in statistical science. Changes in technology have enabled new types of data to be collected, often more complex and in much larger quantities than ever before, and altered fundamentally the types of questions that need to be asked of those data. The research program will develop new statistical methods for analysing new types of data, for example functional data and data with many dimensions, and will also introduce greatly improved solutions to problems that involve ....Nonparametric data analysis in statistical science. Changes in technology have enabled new types of data to be collected, often more complex and in much larger quantities than ever before, and altered fundamentally the types of questions that need to be asked of those data. The research program will develop new statistical methods for analysing new types of data, for example functional data and data with many dimensions, and will also introduce greatly improved solutions to problems that involve more conventional data types. These techniques will have critical applications to diverse fields. The program will contribute substantially to capacity building in a strategically important area, statistical science, of great value to Australia but where chronic skills shortages exist.Read moreRead less
Statistical Modelling in the Era of Data Science: Theory and Practice. This project aims to develop innovative statistical methodology that is interpretable, theoretically justified, and scalable to today's growing complex data. With the influx of data being collected in both the public and private sectors, making sense of this data is a fundamental task. Through a rigorous modelling framework, this project intends to facilitate the discovery of knowledge by developing powerful new tools to extr ....Statistical Modelling in the Era of Data Science: Theory and Practice. This project aims to develop innovative statistical methodology that is interpretable, theoretically justified, and scalable to today's growing complex data. With the influx of data being collected in both the public and private sectors, making sense of this data is a fundamental task. Through a rigorous modelling framework, this project intends to facilitate the discovery of knowledge by developing powerful new tools to extract insight from these complex datasets. The outcomes of this project will benefit society by providing techniques to enable research advances and inform decision-making for a broad base of disciplines, including applications to network security, energy forecasting, environmental monitoring, and public health. Read moreRead less
Computational methods for precise reconstruction of white-matter fibre tracts in the human brain using diffusion tensor imaging. One in five Australians will experience a mental illness. This project will facilitate a new method for: (1) brain researchers to advance the fundamental understanding of mental illnesses and brain disorders; (2) medical clinicians to diagnose and assess the growing incidence of mental illness confronting Australia's ageing population, thereby addressing the ageing wel ....Computational methods for precise reconstruction of white-matter fibre tracts in the human brain using diffusion tensor imaging. One in five Australians will experience a mental illness. This project will facilitate a new method for: (1) brain researchers to advance the fundamental understanding of mental illnesses and brain disorders; (2) medical clinicians to diagnose and assess the growing incidence of mental illness confronting Australia's ageing population, thereby addressing the ageing well and ageing productively national research priority; and, (3) neurosurgeons to guide surgery via localisation of major neural tracts. In addition to contributing to the understanding, diagnosis and treatment of Australia's endemic mental health burden, this project will advance Australia's skill-base and international standing in basic scientific research.Read moreRead less