Self-Interacting Random Walks. This project aims to study the growth properties of a class of self-interacting processes defined on Euclidean lattices. This project expects to determine whether a shape theorem holds for once-reinforced random walks, and establish conditions for their recurrence/transience. It also expects to obtain new and very precise estimates for the local time of simple random walks. Expected outcomes of this project include solving long-standing open problems in the field o ....Self-Interacting Random Walks. This project aims to study the growth properties of a class of self-interacting processes defined on Euclidean lattices. This project expects to determine whether a shape theorem holds for once-reinforced random walks, and establish conditions for their recurrence/transience. It also expects to obtain new and very precise estimates for the local time of simple random walks. Expected outcomes of this project include solving long-standing open problems in the field of reinforced random walks, and the development of novel methods for their study. This should provide significant benefits not only to the field of mathematics, but also to the myriad of applied disciplines where self-interacting processes are utilised.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE200101467
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$419,778.00
Summary
The geometric structure of spatial noise. Spatial noise is ubiquitous in nature and science: as interference in medical imaging, in oceanography, in the modelling of telecommunication networks etc. Despite this diversity of sources, spatial noise can be studied in a unified way by considering mathematical models that capture its essential features. This project aims to study spatial noise by analysing its geometric structure, for instance by considering the number of contour lines of the noise, ....The geometric structure of spatial noise. Spatial noise is ubiquitous in nature and science: as interference in medical imaging, in oceanography, in the modelling of telecommunication networks etc. Despite this diversity of sources, spatial noise can be studied in a unified way by considering mathematical models that capture its essential features. This project aims to study spatial noise by analysing its geometric structure, for instance by considering the number of contour lines of the noise, and the way these lines connect different regions of space. The project further aims to apply this analysis to construct statistical tests that can distinguish different classes of spatial noise, with potential applications across all of the disciplines mentioned above.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE200100896
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$427,008.00
Summary
How to beat model uncertainty with more information. Experience of the 2008 financial crisis exposed a weakness in our over-reliance on mathematical models. The main aim of this project is to develop mathematical tools to investigate the role of information in reducing model uncertainty. The project will undertake pressing research in robust finance, which is now one of the most active and dynamic topics in financial mathematics. It expects to quantify the value of information under uncertainty ....How to beat model uncertainty with more information. Experience of the 2008 financial crisis exposed a weakness in our over-reliance on mathematical models. The main aim of this project is to develop mathematical tools to investigate the role of information in reducing model uncertainty. The project will undertake pressing research in robust finance, which is now one of the most active and dynamic topics in financial mathematics. It expects to quantify the value of information under uncertainty in mathematical modelling. It will generate new knowledge in probability theory and stochastic processes providing a significant mathematical contribution in its own right.Read moreRead less
Hypergraph models for complex discrete systems. This project aims to better understand the structure and properties of very large hypergraphs of various kinds. Hypergraphs are very general mathematical objects which can be used to model complex discrete systems. They arise naturally in many areas such as ecology, chemistry and computer science. Despite this, our theoretical understanding of very large, or random, hypergraphs lags far behind the intensely-studied special case of graphs. This proj ....Hypergraph models for complex discrete systems. This project aims to better understand the structure and properties of very large hypergraphs of various kinds. Hypergraphs are very general mathematical objects which can be used to model complex discrete systems. They arise naturally in many areas such as ecology, chemistry and computer science. Despite this, our theoretical understanding of very large, or random, hypergraphs lags far behind the intensely-studied special case of graphs. This project will answer many fundamental questions about large, random hypergraphs. The expected outcomes of the project also include new tools for working with hypergraphs, such as efficient algorithms for sampling hypergraphs. These outcomes will benefit researchers who use hypergraphs in their work and will enhance Australia's reputation for research in this area.Read moreRead less
New universality in stochastic systems. This project aims to uncover new analyses and effects in the complex behaviour of non-linear systems with random noise. Many systems originate near an unstable equilibrium. This project will develop a new mathematical theory that establishes a universality in the way the long term effect of noise expresses itself as random initial conditions in the dynamics. It will fill gaps in Mathematics and make refinements to existing fundamental scientific laws by in ....New universality in stochastic systems. This project aims to uncover new analyses and effects in the complex behaviour of non-linear systems with random noise. Many systems originate near an unstable equilibrium. This project will develop a new mathematical theory that establishes a universality in the way the long term effect of noise expresses itself as random initial conditions in the dynamics. It will fill gaps in Mathematics and make refinements to existing fundamental scientific laws by including random initial conditions as predicted by our theory. This will advance our understanding of complex systems subjected to noise and will provide significant benefits in the scientific discoveries in Biology, Ecology, Physics and other Sciences where such systems are frequently met.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE210101323
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$345,448.00
Summary
Random tensors and random matrices: interactions and applications. This project aims at improving knowledge on probabilistic objects having applications in, for instance, mathematical-physics, statistical physics, quantum gravity and data science. In doing so, we expect to produce new mathematical results by building upon both classical approaches and innovative ones. In particular, on one hand, the extension of classical graphical methods will be developed and, on another hand, generalized prob ....Random tensors and random matrices: interactions and applications. This project aims at improving knowledge on probabilistic objects having applications in, for instance, mathematical-physics, statistical physics, quantum gravity and data science. In doing so, we expect to produce new mathematical results by building upon both classical approaches and innovative ones. In particular, on one hand, the extension of classical graphical methods will be developed and, on another hand, generalized probability theories will be used to provide new insights. The expected outcomes include a better understanding of the generic properties of quantum states. This should significantly benefit to mathematicians and physicists whose models use those objects and may impact the broader community of engineers and technicians.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE210101352
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$330,000.00
Summary
Inverting the Signature Transform for Rough Paths and Random Processes. The signature transform provides an effective summary of the essential information encoded in multidimensional paths that are highly oscillatory and involve complicated randomness. The main goal of this project is to develop new algorithmic methods to reconstruct rough paths and random processes from the signature transform at various quantitative levels. This project expects to make theoretical breakthrough on the significa ....Inverting the Signature Transform for Rough Paths and Random Processes. The signature transform provides an effective summary of the essential information encoded in multidimensional paths that are highly oscillatory and involve complicated randomness. The main goal of this project is to develop new algorithmic methods to reconstruct rough paths and random processes from the signature transform at various quantitative levels. This project expects to make theoretical breakthrough on the significant open problem of signature inversion, thereby advancing knowledge in the areas of rough path theory and stochastic analysis. The newly developed methods will be utilised in combination with the emerging signature-based approach to study important problems in financial data analysis and visual speech recognition.
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Epidemics in large populations: long-term and near-critical behaviour. The project aims to prove qualitative and quantitative results concerning aspects of the long-term behaviour of near-critical epidemics, including the probability and duration of a large outbreak, and the total number of people infected. This project is a theoretical study of stochastic models of epidemics in large populations. The project will focus on emerging epidemics, where the average number of contacts, infection and r ....Epidemics in large populations: long-term and near-critical behaviour. The project aims to prove qualitative and quantitative results concerning aspects of the long-term behaviour of near-critical epidemics, including the probability and duration of a large outbreak, and the total number of people infected. This project is a theoretical study of stochastic models of epidemics in large populations. The project will focus on emerging epidemics, where the average number of contacts, infection and recovery rates are such that the basic reproduction number of the disease is near the critical value 1. The project will plan to both analyse particular epidemic models and develop new methodologies applicable in broader contexts. The mathematical predictions will be tested through simulations and comparison to real-world data. The significant outcome of the project should be the advancement in mathematical understanding of infectious disease spread, eventually leading to improved epidemic surveillance and control, and resulting in more effective protection of public health, improved quality of life, and obvious economic benefits.Read moreRead less
Broadening Choice and Increasing Diversity in Public Schools. Currently, most families are limited to the public school in their catchment area, meaning the area in which they can afford to live. This leads to socio-economically and ethnically homogenous schools and entrenches disadvantage, as well as denying students the crucial life lessons that flow from being part of a diverse student body. This project aims to investigate a model for allocating public school places that integrates catchment ....Broadening Choice and Increasing Diversity in Public Schools. Currently, most families are limited to the public school in their catchment area, meaning the area in which they can afford to live. This leads to socio-economically and ethnically homogenous schools and entrenches disadvantage, as well as denying students the crucial life lessons that flow from being part of a diverse student body. This project aims to investigate a model for allocating public school places that integrates catchment areas. The expected outcome would be a system that gives families a wider choice, enabling them to enrol in out-of-area schools, while ensuring that allocations remain fair, equitable and balanced, and also delivering benefits such as achieving a desired level of diversity in student populations within schoolsRead moreRead less
Social Network Analysis: Social Media, Peer Effects and the Environment. The aims of this proposal are to better understand the role of networks in different activities such as social media, education, crime and environment-friendly behaviour. The project expects to help inform the design and practice of policies for education and environmental authorities, police and media markets. Social networks are pervasive in Australia. The project tackles issues of criminal gangs in Australian cities, the ....Social Network Analysis: Social Media, Peer Effects and the Environment. The aims of this proposal are to better understand the role of networks in different activities such as social media, education, crime and environment-friendly behaviour. The project expects to help inform the design and practice of policies for education and environmental authorities, police and media markets. Social networks are pervasive in Australia. The project tackles issues of criminal gangs in Australian cities, the political system and environment-friendly behaviours. This project is at the frontier of work in the economics of networks, with expected outcomes to include new models and methods to better understand the impact of social networks. Benefits include clear policy recommendations to improve welfare in Australian society.Read moreRead less