Advanced Monte Carlo Methods for Spatial Processes. The modeling and analysis of spatial data relies more and more on sophisticated Monte Carlo simulation methods. However, with the growing complexity of today's spatial data, traditional Monte Carlo methods increasingly face difficulties in terms of speed and accuracy. The aim of this project is to develop new theory and applications at the interface of Monte Carlo methods and spatial statistics, building upon exciting theoretical and computatio ....Advanced Monte Carlo Methods for Spatial Processes. The modeling and analysis of spatial data relies more and more on sophisticated Monte Carlo simulation methods. However, with the growing complexity of today's spatial data, traditional Monte Carlo methods increasingly face difficulties in terms of speed and accuracy. The aim of this project is to develop new theory and applications at the interface of Monte Carlo methods and spatial statistics, building upon exciting theoretical and computational advances in both areas in recent years. The research will stimulate the design of microscopic and macroscopic complex spatial structures with superior properties, such as composite materials, solar cells, telecommunication networks, mining operations, and road systems.Read moreRead less
Time consistency, risk-mitigation and partially observable systems. This project aims to find optimal decision rules that mitigate risk in a time consistent manner for partially observable systems. Many problems in conservation management and engineering systems are dependent on random environments and entail risk of failure. The challenge of consistently minimising such a risk while achieving satisfactory and sustainable resource consumption is considerable. This project aims to develop analyti ....Time consistency, risk-mitigation and partially observable systems. This project aims to find optimal decision rules that mitigate risk in a time consistent manner for partially observable systems. Many problems in conservation management and engineering systems are dependent on random environments and entail risk of failure. The challenge of consistently minimising such a risk while achieving satisfactory and sustainable resource consumption is considerable. This project aims to develop analytical and numerical methods for optimal control in such scenarios. These methods will have application to fishery management, communication networks, power systems and social resource allocation scenarios.Read moreRead less
Understanding the effects of individual variation on population dynamics. Recent empirical studies have shown that trait variation among individuals in a population can have a significant impact on population dynamics. Given the considerable resources devoted to managing populations in Australia, it is vital individual variation be understood. This project will use the tools of modern probability theory to investigate the effect of trait variation on population-level quantities, such as the prob ....Understanding the effects of individual variation on population dynamics. Recent empirical studies have shown that trait variation among individuals in a population can have a significant impact on population dynamics. Given the considerable resources devoted to managing populations in Australia, it is vital individual variation be understood. This project will use the tools of modern probability theory to investigate the effect of trait variation on population-level quantities, such as the probability of extinction and the long term equilibrium level. This work will lead to better strategies for managing invasive diseases and pests, thus helping to protect Australia's biodiversity. The methods developed will be applicable to areas beyond population dynamics.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE120100163
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$375,000.00
Summary
Modelling and simulation of instabilities in unsaturated soils due to wetting. Ground instabilities due to wetting are a critical issue that will be investigated through this project via the development of risk assessment tools. A rational engineering approach and calculation framework will be developed in order to predict failures and facilitate the design of new safer structures.
Development of population-level algorithms for modelling genomic variation and its impact on cellular function in animals and plants. The purpose of this project is to develop mathematical and computational tools which will enable researchers to model high-throughput biological data at the population level. These models will be used to uncover the effect that genetic variation has on the physiology of the cell and the organism.
Industrial Transformation Research Hubs - Grant ID: IH200100009
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$5,000,000.00
Summary
ARC Research Hub for Transforming Energy Infrastructure Through Digital Engineering. This Research Hub will harness the strengths of data-based and physics-based sciences to transform the operation of Australia’s offshore energy infrastructure. This essential research will create, use and embed observations of past and ongoing activity to engineer tools and approaches necessary to enhance our understanding of the offshore environment, optimise critical operations for existing facilities (includi ....ARC Research Hub for Transforming Energy Infrastructure Through Digital Engineering. This Research Hub will harness the strengths of data-based and physics-based sciences to transform the operation of Australia’s offshore energy infrastructure. This essential research will create, use and embed observations of past and ongoing activity to engineer tools and approaches necessary to enhance our understanding of the offshore environment, optimise critical operations for existing facilities (including installation and maintenance), and efficiently design future infrastructure. The integrated multidisciplinary approach will not only help Operators achieve high productivity through low downtime and optimised maintenance, but also demonstrate, in research and industry, the transformative potential of digital engineering.Read moreRead less
New Methods in Theory and Cosmic Applications of Spherical Random Fields. This project aims to investigate and model spherical random fields which are described as solutions of stochastic differential equations on a sphere or a ball. The project plans to study properties and develop spectral analysis of these solutions. It then plans to use the obtained theoretical results to construct new methods for numerical approximation and statistical estimation of these random fields. In particular, it pl ....New Methods in Theory and Cosmic Applications of Spherical Random Fields. This project aims to investigate and model spherical random fields which are described as solutions of stochastic differential equations on a sphere or a ball. The project plans to study properties and develop spectral analysis of these solutions. It then plans to use the obtained theoretical results to construct new methods for numerical approximation and statistical estimation of these random fields. In particular, it plans to develop novel asymptotic and statistical methodology for tensor random fields. The project will apply the results to model and analyse cosmic microwave background data. Expected outcomes will improve the accuracy in determining cosmological parameters and provide novel tools for better understanding of the universe during its early stages.Read moreRead less
Large Markov decision processes and combinatorial optimisation. Markov decision processes continue to gain in popularity for modelling a wide range of applications ranging from analysis of supply chains and queueing networks to cognitive science and control of autonomous vehicles. Nonetheless, they tend to become numerically intractable as the size of the model grows fast. Recent works use machine learning techniques to overcome this crucial issue, but with no convergence guarantee. This project ....Large Markov decision processes and combinatorial optimisation. Markov decision processes continue to gain in popularity for modelling a wide range of applications ranging from analysis of supply chains and queueing networks to cognitive science and control of autonomous vehicles. Nonetheless, they tend to become numerically intractable as the size of the model grows fast. Recent works use machine learning techniques to overcome this crucial issue, but with no convergence guarantee. This project aims to provide theoretically sound frameworks for solving large Markov decision processes, and exploit them to solve important combinatorial optimisation problems. This timely project can promote Australia's position in the development of such novel frameworks for many scientific and industrial applications.Read moreRead less
The fundamental equations for inversion of operator pencils. This project seeks to deepen understanding of how complex systems may be significantly changed by incremental changes to ambient conditions. Mathematical models of complex systems (climate change processes, optimal driving strategies, efficient distribution policies, effective search routines) often depend on key parameters. If small perturbations to the parameters cause large changes to the solution, then the perturbations are said to ....The fundamental equations for inversion of operator pencils. This project seeks to deepen understanding of how complex systems may be significantly changed by incremental changes to ambient conditions. Mathematical models of complex systems (climate change processes, optimal driving strategies, efficient distribution policies, effective search routines) often depend on key parameters. If small perturbations to the parameters cause large changes to the solution, then the perturbations are said to be singular. This project aims to reveal the underlying mathematical structures and develop new computational algorithms to analyse a general class of perturbed systems both locally near an isolated singularity and globally. It plans to use these algorithms to solve systems of equations, calculate generalised inverse operators, examine perturbed Markov processes, and estimate exit times from meta-stable states in stochastic population dynamics.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE130100819
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$281,600.00
Summary
Measuring the improbable: optimal Monte Carlo methods for rare event simulation of maxima of dependent random variables. Some events occurring with low frequency can have dramatic consequences: natural catastrophes, economic crises, system malfunctions. Estimating their probabilities is a very difficult problem. This project will develop new simulation methods capable of delivering the most precise and efficient estimators for the probabilities of such events.