How do company announcements affect trading frequency in stocks? This project addresses the question of how financial markets respond to news by investigating how company announcements affect trading patterns in Australian banking stocks. Analysis will be based on new extensions to autoregressive conditional hazard (ACH) models, with research focussing on how to incorporate announcement variables into an ACH framework and how to modify standard ACH analysis to account for simultaneous transactio ....How do company announcements affect trading frequency in stocks? This project addresses the question of how financial markets respond to news by investigating how company announcements affect trading patterns in Australian banking stocks. Analysis will be based on new extensions to autoregressive conditional hazard (ACH) models, with research focussing on how to incorporate announcement variables into an ACH framework and how to modify standard ACH analysis to account for simultaneous transactions, market frictions and spillover effects. The results of this research will assist government and companies in choosing announcement times, aid traders in portfolio adjustment and will lead to a better understanding of the microstructure of Australian stock markets.Read moreRead less
A New Paradigm of Financial Market Behaviour. The project contributes to the development of a newly emerging paradigm for describing financial market behaviour. It will model financial markets as adaptively evolving systems that are the outcome of the interaction of boundedly rational economic agents with heterogeneous beliefs. The new paradigm will seek to explain aspects of financial market behaviour not well explained by the standard finance paradigm. The project outcomes will be of benefit ....A New Paradigm of Financial Market Behaviour. The project contributes to the development of a newly emerging paradigm for describing financial market behaviour. It will model financial markets as adaptively evolving systems that are the outcome of the interaction of boundedly rational economic agents with heterogeneous beliefs. The new paradigm will seek to explain aspects of financial market behaviour not well explained by the standard finance paradigm. The project outcomes will be of benefit to financial market researchers and regulators by providing a better framework for understanding and managing financial market volatility.Read moreRead less
A New Approach to Information-Based Securities Trading. This project develops and tests a new approach to information-based securities trading, which can effectively describe trading dynamics and accurately measure the effects of information impounded in price and trading activities. It aims to provide a novel and practical framework for studying information asymmetry, belief heterogeneity and asset pricing, and apply the new approach to address a series of financial issues. The project will mak ....A New Approach to Information-Based Securities Trading. This project develops and tests a new approach to information-based securities trading, which can effectively describe trading dynamics and accurately measure the effects of information impounded in price and trading activities. It aims to provide a novel and practical framework for studying information asymmetry, belief heterogeneity and asset pricing, and apply the new approach to address a series of financial issues. The project will make significant contributions to finance research by shedding new insights on market dynamics and creating a new stream of models and modelling techniques. Academics, practitioners and regulators can use the new approach to better analyse the Australian financial market and improve its efficiency.Read moreRead less
An econometric investigation of technical analysis as a portfolio selection strategy in Australia. This project will provide an in-depth analysis of the returns of portfolios of Australian equities formed by using technical trading rules. The research will determine whether or not any abnormal returns earned by these means are attributable to firm-specific or market-wide factors. This project represents the first attempt to interpret technical analysis in a portfolio framework and will provide v ....An econometric investigation of technical analysis as a portfolio selection strategy in Australia. This project will provide an in-depth analysis of the returns of portfolios of Australian equities formed by using technical trading rules. The research will determine whether or not any abnormal returns earned by these means are attributable to firm-specific or market-wide factors. This project represents the first attempt to interpret technical analysis in a portfolio framework and will provide valuable information on the informational efficiency of Australian capital markets. As there is currently no single definitive study of technical analysis in Australia, this project will fill a significant void in the current academic literature and provide evidence of great practical relevance to Australian investment practitioners.Read moreRead less
Chief executive officer pay, incentives, talent and risk-taking: Excessive pay, regulation and the global financial crisis. The Prime Minister has requested the regulators, APRA and Treasury, to come up with rules that would prevent a repeat of the trillion dollar bailouts and guarantees to the financial sector and banks at risk of failure. Excessive pay and risk-taking by bank executives shoulder made the blame for the global crisis that has already cost Australian investors and taxpayers a siz ....Chief executive officer pay, incentives, talent and risk-taking: Excessive pay, regulation and the global financial crisis. The Prime Minister has requested the regulators, APRA and Treasury, to come up with rules that would prevent a repeat of the trillion dollar bailouts and guarantees to the financial sector and banks at risk of failure. Excessive pay and risk-taking by bank executives shoulder made the blame for the global crisis that has already cost Australian investors and taxpayers a sizeable portion of the nation's wealth. The project will greatly assist the regulators in this task. It will also identify compensation practices that reward good long-term performance without excessive pay. This could dramatically raise the performance of Australian companies and ameliorate the problem of dissatisfied investors and taxpayers.Read moreRead less
Cycles and Size: Long Term Valuation and Investment Performance. This project will significantly enhance our understanding of the cyclical variation in the returns and volatility of size-related equity classes. A better understanding of these cyclical phenomena may also lead to improvements in the asset allocation process, in particular the investment in medium- and
small-sized enterprise shares. The current neglect by analysts and reluctance of institutional investors to research and invest in ....Cycles and Size: Long Term Valuation and Investment Performance. This project will significantly enhance our understanding of the cyclical variation in the returns and volatility of size-related equity classes. A better understanding of these cyclical phenomena may also lead to improvements in the asset allocation process, in particular the investment in medium- and
small-sized enterprise shares. The current neglect by analysts and reluctance of institutional investors to research and invest in this sizable market segment offers significant opportunities for linkage research. This project will focus on the valuation, (il)liquidity, and macroeconomic sources of momentum profits as they related to the economic cycle, across the size spectrum.
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Investment Opportunities and the Impact of Interaction Between Global Integration, International Capital Flows and Price Movements in Emerging Stock Markets. Emerging stock markets now represent an integral component of international investment portfolios comprising billions of dollars. But stocks in these markets are perceived as excessively volatile and frequently inconsistent with economic fundamentals. This project investigates the linkage between emerging stock prices and both local and glo ....Investment Opportunities and the Impact of Interaction Between Global Integration, International Capital Flows and Price Movements in Emerging Stock Markets. Emerging stock markets now represent an integral component of international investment portfolios comprising billions of dollars. But stocks in these markets are perceived as excessively volatile and frequently inconsistent with economic fundamentals. This project investigates the linkage between emerging stock prices and both local and global economic influences; develops quantifiable time-varying measures of capital market integration based on fundamentals allowing ranking across markets; and explores how integration levels are affected by capital flows. The project will benefit the investment community and governments in understanding, and modelling, the impact of policy and trade flows on market integration and the consequent effect on stock markets.Read moreRead less
MANAGING AND MODELLING RISK AND COMPLEXITY IN THE INVESTMENT AND HEDGE FUNDS INDUSTRY. The project will develop an evolutionary learning algorithm for modeling non-linear financial asset price movements and conduct simulations to gain a better understanding of price formation in securities markets with a focus on the equity market. We will focus on extreme market conditions to calibrate the benefits and efficiency of risk management techniques. The models will be applied to benchmarking and eval ....MANAGING AND MODELLING RISK AND COMPLEXITY IN THE INVESTMENT AND HEDGE FUNDS INDUSTRY. The project will develop an evolutionary learning algorithm for modeling non-linear financial asset price movements and conduct simulations to gain a better understanding of price formation in securities markets with a focus on the equity market. We will focus on extreme market conditions to calibrate the benefits and efficiency of risk management techniques. The models will be applied to benchmarking and evaluating portfolio decisions of hedge funds; investment risk management and dynamic portfolio selection strategies. The research will result in new theoretical approaches and empirical methods to study price movements and evaluate fund performance.Read moreRead less
Three Decades of Financial Distress and Corporate Restructuring in Australia. Corporate financial distress is costly and disruptive to Australia's economy. While shareholders are the first to lose, the flow-on effects include bankruptcies, unemployment, and a negative impact on economic growth. By analysing three decades of Australian experience we aim to gain a deeper understanding of the dynamics underlying financial distress and corporate restructuring. The potential benefits include improvem ....Three Decades of Financial Distress and Corporate Restructuring in Australia. Corporate financial distress is costly and disruptive to Australia's economy. While shareholders are the first to lose, the flow-on effects include bankruptcies, unemployment, and a negative impact on economic growth. By analysing three decades of Australian experience we aim to gain a deeper understanding of the dynamics underlying financial distress and corporate restructuring. The potential benefits include improvements to corporate practice in responding to financial distress, improvements to ASX governance (regarding listing rules and transparency in particular for small-capitalization firms), and ultimately to economic policy by elucidating the corporate sector's dynamic response across the business cycle. Read moreRead less
Investment Evaluation and Price Formation in Markets for Oil and Mineral Resources. The project will examine and quantify price movements and the associated risk of mineral and oil prices leading to the development of better risk management models. The findings will help Australian exporters and importers understand and manage price risks more effectively. The investment community also benefits from the quantification of these risks, in particular, managers of large pension and mutual funds. The ....Investment Evaluation and Price Formation in Markets for Oil and Mineral Resources. The project will examine and quantify price movements and the associated risk of mineral and oil prices leading to the development of better risk management models. The findings will help Australian exporters and importers understand and manage price risks more effectively. The investment community also benefits from the quantification of these risks, in particular, managers of large pension and mutual funds. The aim of the proposed models is better forecasting of global mineral and oil price movements leading to improved management of economic policy in this important sector. Read moreRead less