Developing mathematical models and statistical methods to understand the dynamics of infectious diseases: stochasticity, structure and inference. Infectious diseases remain a major contributor to mortality and illness worldwide. The potential for future severe pandemics also continues to present a substantial threat to our health and well-being. Mathematics and statistics are increasingly becoming part of the arsenal used by governments to combat the invasion and spread of infectious diseases. I ....Developing mathematical models and statistical methods to understand the dynamics of infectious diseases: stochasticity, structure and inference. Infectious diseases remain a major contributor to mortality and illness worldwide. The potential for future severe pandemics also continues to present a substantial threat to our health and well-being. Mathematics and statistics are increasingly becoming part of the arsenal used by governments to combat the invasion and spread of infectious diseases. In such work, three themes have emerged as having the potential to revolutionise the modelling of infectious diseases: stochasticity, structure (both age and spatial), and inference. This project will develop state-of-the-art techniques, at the interface of these themes, of critical importance to understanding the dynamics of infectious diseases.Read moreRead less
Development of population-level algorithms for modelling genomic variation and its impact on cellular function in animals and plants. The purpose of this project is to develop mathematical and computational tools which will enable researchers to model high-throughput biological data at the population level. These models will be used to uncover the effect that genetic variation has on the physiology of the cell and the organism.
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE190101326
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$391,546.00
Summary
Statistical methods for modelling the pathways between cause and effect. This project aims to develop new biostatistical methods for addressing complex analytic questions that arise in studies of the causes of health, social, educational and other outcomes in the course of human life. These questions concern the pathways that explain how intermediate factors contribute to a statistical relationship between a probable cause of a later outcome. Mathematical and statistical innovation is needed to ....Statistical methods for modelling the pathways between cause and effect. This project aims to develop new biostatistical methods for addressing complex analytic questions that arise in studies of the causes of health, social, educational and other outcomes in the course of human life. These questions concern the pathways that explain how intermediate factors contribute to a statistical relationship between a probable cause of a later outcome. Mathematical and statistical innovation is needed to address them. The expected outcomes include a suite of novel methods designed to evaluate the impact of intervening to modify causal pathways, while also accommodating common complexities of data such as incompleteness. This project should provide major benefits to studies in public health, social sciences and economics.Read moreRead less
High Predictive Performance Models via Semi-Parametric Survival Regression. This project will develop novel statistical models for high prediction performance. When applied to help doctor to treat patients, these models allow the users to include gene or other biomarkers for predicting effectiveness of a treatment. When applied to risk management in finance, these models are capable to include an organization's or individual's ongoing finance status to predict, for example, the probability of or ....High Predictive Performance Models via Semi-Parametric Survival Regression. This project will develop novel statistical models for high prediction performance. When applied to help doctor to treat patients, these models allow the users to include gene or other biomarkers for predicting effectiveness of a treatment. When applied to risk management in finance, these models are capable to include an organization's or individual's ongoing finance status to predict, for example, the probability of or time to loan default. Innovative computational methods will be developed for fitting these models. Compared to traditional prediction method, this approach allows greater flexibility while being superior in terms of statistical accuracy and bias. Extensive analyses of healthcare data from diverse fields will be undertaken.Read moreRead less