Advanced matrix-analytic methods with applications. Over the last twenty-five years, matrix-analytic methods have proved to be very successful in formulating and analysing certain classes of stochastic models. Motivated by applications, this project will investigate more advanced matrix-analytic methods than have hitherto been studied.
Advanced Monte Carlo Methods for Spatial Processes. The modeling and analysis of spatial data relies more and more on sophisticated Monte Carlo simulation methods. However, with the growing complexity of today's spatial data, traditional Monte Carlo methods increasingly face difficulties in terms of speed and accuracy. The aim of this project is to develop new theory and applications at the interface of Monte Carlo methods and spatial statistics, building upon exciting theoretical and computatio ....Advanced Monte Carlo Methods for Spatial Processes. The modeling and analysis of spatial data relies more and more on sophisticated Monte Carlo simulation methods. However, with the growing complexity of today's spatial data, traditional Monte Carlo methods increasingly face difficulties in terms of speed and accuracy. The aim of this project is to develop new theory and applications at the interface of Monte Carlo methods and spatial statistics, building upon exciting theoretical and computational advances in both areas in recent years. The research will stimulate the design of microscopic and macroscopic complex spatial structures with superior properties, such as composite materials, solar cells, telecommunication networks, mining operations, and road systems.Read moreRead less
Random walks with long memory. This project aims to study novel random walk models with long memory, including systems of multiple random walkers that interact through their environment. This would provide a mathematical understanding of phenomena such as aggregation in colonies of bacteria, and ant colony optimisation algorithms. The project aims to produce highly cited publications, and to train future researchers.
Overseeing the internet: new paradigms of network measurement. Like the electricity network, the internet is a core infrastructure, and so must be reliable and efficient. A gap in bandwidth supply is like a blackout in terms of lost business and productivity. This project will provide the measurement breakthroughs to ensure that network behaviour can be accurately and comprehensively monitored.
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE140100993
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$293,520.00
Summary
Mathematics of importance: The optimal importance sampling algorithm for estimating the probability of a black swan event. Rare event simulation and modelling is critical to our understanding of high-cost hard-to-predict events such as nuclear accidents, natural disasters, and financial crises. Quantitative analysis of such high-impact events demands the accurate estimation of the probability of occurrence of such rare events. In realistic models this probability is very difficult to estimate, ....Mathematics of importance: The optimal importance sampling algorithm for estimating the probability of a black swan event. Rare event simulation and modelling is critical to our understanding of high-cost hard-to-predict events such as nuclear accidents, natural disasters, and financial crises. Quantitative analysis of such high-impact events demands the accurate estimation of the probability of occurrence of such rare events. In realistic models this probability is very difficult to estimate, because exact simple analytical formulas are not available and the existing estimation methods fail spectacularly. There is an urgent need for new efficient methodology. This project develops a new Monte Carlo method that will be able to estimate reliably and accurately rare-event probabilities. Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE160101147
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$294,336.00
Summary
Predicting extremes when events occur in bursts. This project seeks to advance knowledge in extreme value theory. Extreme value theory is essential to quantify risks in complex systems, such as the risk of network failures. Current statistical models for the occurrence of extremes assume that events happen regularly. This assumption, however, is at odds with human actions and many biological and physical events, which occur in bursts. There is a strong need to understand the effect of such ‘burs ....Predicting extremes when events occur in bursts. This project seeks to advance knowledge in extreme value theory. Extreme value theory is essential to quantify risks in complex systems, such as the risk of network failures. Current statistical models for the occurrence of extremes assume that events happen regularly. This assumption, however, is at odds with human actions and many biological and physical events, which occur in bursts. There is a strong need to understand the effect of such ‘bursty dynamics’ on the frequency and magnitude of extreme events. This project aims to develop extreme value theory for bursty events and thus lay the mathematical groundwork for the estimation and prediction of extremes in a variety of scientific contexts.Read moreRead less
Statistical analyses for spatial organisation in T cell signalling networks. This project aims to reveal how nanoscale spatial organisation encodes plasticity in the T cell signalling network, and how T cells exploit this plasticity to regulate sensitivity to antigens. In adoptive immunity, T cells respond appropriately to any given antigen, but how they make decisions is unclear. This project will define how nanoscale spatial organisation of signalling molecules shapes signalling strength and p ....Statistical analyses for spatial organisation in T cell signalling networks. This project aims to reveal how nanoscale spatial organisation encodes plasticity in the T cell signalling network, and how T cells exploit this plasticity to regulate sensitivity to antigens. In adoptive immunity, T cells respond appropriately to any given antigen, but how they make decisions is unclear. This project will define how nanoscale spatial organisation of signalling molecules shapes signalling strength and plasticity in the T cell antigen receptor (TCR) network; and infer rules linking spatial organisation and signalling activities in intact T cells. Contextualising the TCR signalling network is expected to reveal the origin and use of network plasticity for T cell decision-making. Such information could be invaluable for the design of vaccines and immune-modulating drugs.Read moreRead less
Australian Laureate Fellowships - Grant ID: FL130100039
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$2,750,000.00
Summary
New stochastic models for Science, Economics, Social Science and Engineering. Stochastic, or random, phenomena abound in society. This project will combine advancement of the theory of stochastic models at a deep level with application to problems arising in science, economics, social science and engineering, and outreach to educate members of the public about random processes of significance in their lives.
Multi-person stochastic games with idiosyncratic information flows. The project will develop rigorous mathematical techniques aiming to quantify the impact of different information flows on solutions to decision making problems under uncertainty that are frequently encountered in Financial Economics, Mathematical Finance and Social Sciences.
Implementation of cognitive radar techniques in resource limited radar systems. Cognitive radar technology enables a multiple functional radar system to be built on a single chip, to be of high efficiency and low cost. Waveform design and scheduling play a key role in such a system. This project will investigate and design waveforms and scheduling methods for building a real cognitive radar system in the extremely high frequency band.