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Limiting False Positives in Empirical Asset Pricing Tests. The project aims to address the issue of data mining in asset pricing tests using innovative interdisciplinary approaches that mitigate the occurrence of false positives. The expected outcomes include extended options in finance for alleviating data mining, as well as new guidelines for rigorously evaluating the explanatory power of risk factors on expected returns. The project findings are expected to significantly advance our understan ....Limiting False Positives in Empirical Asset Pricing Tests. The project aims to address the issue of data mining in asset pricing tests using innovative interdisciplinary approaches that mitigate the occurrence of false positives. The expected outcomes include extended options in finance for alleviating data mining, as well as new guidelines for rigorously evaluating the explanatory power of risk factors on expected returns. The project findings are expected to significantly advance our understanding of the pricing of risk. Additionally, the proposed tools are anticipated to have broad applications, such as corporate finance and fraud detection, and offer significant value to finance research and its stakeholders, such as the Australian asset management industry and government regulatory bodies.
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Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE180100649
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$363,996.00
Summary
Slow diffusion of information in asset pricing and risk management. This project aims to develop a unified investment and asset pricing theory for the slow diffusion of information in financial markets, such as momentum, reversal and post-earnings announcement drift. Expected outcomes of this project include the development of optimal methods to explore historical information, a systematic understanding of the impact of investor sentiment and heterogeneity on the speed of asset price response to ....Slow diffusion of information in asset pricing and risk management. This project aims to develop a unified investment and asset pricing theory for the slow diffusion of information in financial markets, such as momentum, reversal and post-earnings announcement drift. Expected outcomes of this project include the development of optimal methods to explore historical information, a systematic understanding of the impact of investor sentiment and heterogeneity on the speed of asset price response to news, and novel empirical hypotheses and tests that improve return predictability and reduce crash risks. The project will provide a potential competitive advantage and guidance to Australian investors, including superannuation fund managers, in competitive globalised financial markets.Read moreRead less
The impact of payout policy changes on firm value and short selling activities across different taxation regimes. Brealey et al (2011) assert that we don't know enough yet about how payout policy varies across firms. This project examines the information content of dividend changes and repurchase programs and the long-term market impact of these announcements, controlling for the substitution effect of repurchases/dividends in different institutional/tax regimes. This project also examines wheth ....The impact of payout policy changes on firm value and short selling activities across different taxation regimes. Brealey et al (2011) assert that we don't know enough yet about how payout policy varies across firms. This project examines the information content of dividend changes and repurchase programs and the long-term market impact of these announcements, controlling for the substitution effect of repurchases/dividends in different institutional/tax regimes. This project also examines whether short sellers manifest abnormal behaviour around the announcement of dividend changes and repurchase programs, and whether earnings are manipulated upwards to maintain the dividend or downwards prior to the announcement of repurchase programs. The findings will be of major interest to academics, managers, investors and regulators.Read moreRead less
Financial tunnelling: shareholder protection and wealth changes during two decades of capital management activities in Australia. Companies raise capital and distribute capital and profits through various mechanisms, often structured to benefit important shareholders such as institutions. This study examines the extent to which minority shareholders have had wealth destroyed through company capital management activities, and offers corporate governance solutions.
Governance and the investment performance of not-for-profit endowments. Governance and the investment performance of not-for-profit endowments. This project aims to examine the relation between performance and governance for Australian not for profit (NFP) endowments. The not-for-profit sector now accounts for over 4 per cent of the gross domestic product (GDP) (almost $43 billion) and employs volunteers who contribute an additional $14.6 billion in unpaid work. Little research has been done on ....Governance and the investment performance of not-for-profit endowments. Governance and the investment performance of not-for-profit endowments. This project aims to examine the relation between performance and governance for Australian not for profit (NFP) endowments. The not-for-profit sector now accounts for over 4 per cent of the gross domestic product (GDP) (almost $43 billion) and employs volunteers who contribute an additional $14.6 billion in unpaid work. Little research has been done on the investment performance of the endowments held by NFPs, even though this is an important contributor to their revenues. Expected outcomes include a publicised set of principles and periodically updated index of endowment governance quality, and attendant improvement in NFP investment management.Read moreRead less
Do wealth creating mergers and acquisitions really hurt acquirer shareholders? The purpose of this project is to investigate the benefit to the community of acquisitions, especially when the stock price of the acquirer falls on the announcement. This project is likely to show that acquiring shareholders still gain substantially in these circumstances. The outcome will be fewer failed bids with better regulatory outcomes.
Ownership linkages and the functioning of inter-firm capital markets during the Global Financial Crisis. A firm's dependence on outside funding can lead to catastrophic consequences in the face of a crisis that severely curtails the functioning of external capital markets. This project investigates how ownership linkages between firms improve their fundraising and investment capabilities even when facing substantial shocks to the financial system.
An international study of seasoned equity offerings: long term returns, earnings management, liquidity, ownership structure, and financial crisis. This study will provide critical insights into the impact of alternative mechanisms for seasoned equity offerings on liquidity and firm value. Considering the lack of confidence in financial markets during the financial crisis, this study will have significant implications regarding the current use and regulation of seasoned equity offerings.
Novel econometric techniques for dealing with point processes in high frequency financial data with applications to financial risk management. The recent global financial crisis highlighted the inherent risk involved in investing in financial assets. This project aims to develop novel statistical methods for forecasting the onset of instability in asset prices. The outcomes of this research will lead to improvements in the management of financial risk.
Understanding the Impact of Sovereign Wealth Funds on the Financial Markets. This project aims not only to reveal the impact of sovereign wealth fund (SWFs) on Australian international stock markets, but also to assess their investment behaviour. An SWF is an investment fund managed by a government or other organisation on behalf of a sovereign state. The impact of SWFs on international financial markets and their behaviour are of great importance to market participants as well as policy-makers. ....Understanding the Impact of Sovereign Wealth Funds on the Financial Markets. This project aims not only to reveal the impact of sovereign wealth fund (SWFs) on Australian international stock markets, but also to assess their investment behaviour. An SWF is an investment fund managed by a government or other organisation on behalf of a sovereign state. The impact of SWFs on international financial markets and their behaviour are of great importance to market participants as well as policy-makers. The project aims to measure the systemic risk contribution of SWFs and to analyse the anti-takeover provisions of SWFs’ target firms. In addition, the project aims to understand the relation between anti-takeover provisions and target firm value and will examine the role of SWFs as a socially responsible investor. The expected outcomes will improve our understanding of the impact of SWFs on the Australian financial markets in terms of social and economic wellbeing.Read moreRead less