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Limiting False Positives in Empirical Asset Pricing Tests. The project aims to address the issue of data mining in asset pricing tests using innovative interdisciplinary approaches that mitigate the occurrence of false positives. The expected outcomes include extended options in finance for alleviating data mining, as well as new guidelines for rigorously evaluating the explanatory power of risk factors on expected returns. The project findings are expected to significantly advance our understan ....Limiting False Positives in Empirical Asset Pricing Tests. The project aims to address the issue of data mining in asset pricing tests using innovative interdisciplinary approaches that mitigate the occurrence of false positives. The expected outcomes include extended options in finance for alleviating data mining, as well as new guidelines for rigorously evaluating the explanatory power of risk factors on expected returns. The project findings are expected to significantly advance our understanding of the pricing of risk. Additionally, the proposed tools are anticipated to have broad applications, such as corporate finance and fraud detection, and offer significant value to finance research and its stakeholders, such as the Australian asset management industry and government regulatory bodies.
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The impact of payout policy changes on firm value and short selling activities across different taxation regimes. Brealey et al (2011) assert that we don't know enough yet about how payout policy varies across firms. This project examines the information content of dividend changes and repurchase programs and the long-term market impact of these announcements, controlling for the substitution effect of repurchases/dividends in different institutional/tax regimes. This project also examines wheth ....The impact of payout policy changes on firm value and short selling activities across different taxation regimes. Brealey et al (2011) assert that we don't know enough yet about how payout policy varies across firms. This project examines the information content of dividend changes and repurchase programs and the long-term market impact of these announcements, controlling for the substitution effect of repurchases/dividends in different institutional/tax regimes. This project also examines whether short sellers manifest abnormal behaviour around the announcement of dividend changes and repurchase programs, and whether earnings are manipulated upwards to maintain the dividend or downwards prior to the announcement of repurchase programs. The findings will be of major interest to academics, managers, investors and regulators.Read moreRead less
Financial tunnelling: shareholder protection and wealth changes during two decades of capital management activities in Australia. Companies raise capital and distribute capital and profits through various mechanisms, often structured to benefit important shareholders such as institutions. This study examines the extent to which minority shareholders have had wealth destroyed through company capital management activities, and offers corporate governance solutions.
Do wealth creating mergers and acquisitions really hurt acquirer shareholders? The purpose of this project is to investigate the benefit to the community of acquisitions, especially when the stock price of the acquirer falls on the announcement. This project is likely to show that acquiring shareholders still gain substantially in these circumstances. The outcome will be fewer failed bids with better regulatory outcomes.
Ownership linkages and the functioning of inter-firm capital markets during the Global Financial Crisis. A firm's dependence on outside funding can lead to catastrophic consequences in the face of a crisis that severely curtails the functioning of external capital markets. This project investigates how ownership linkages between firms improve their fundraising and investment capabilities even when facing substantial shocks to the financial system.
An international study of seasoned equity offerings: long term returns, earnings management, liquidity, ownership structure, and financial crisis. This study will provide critical insights into the impact of alternative mechanisms for seasoned equity offerings on liquidity and firm value. Considering the lack of confidence in financial markets during the financial crisis, this study will have significant implications regarding the current use and regulation of seasoned equity offerings.
Novel econometric techniques for dealing with point processes in high frequency financial data with applications to financial risk management. The recent global financial crisis highlighted the inherent risk involved in investing in financial assets. This project aims to develop novel statistical methods for forecasting the onset of instability in asset prices. The outcomes of this research will lead to improvements in the management of financial risk.
Understanding the Impact of Sovereign Wealth Funds on the Financial Markets. This project aims not only to reveal the impact of sovereign wealth fund (SWFs) on Australian international stock markets, but also to assess their investment behaviour. An SWF is an investment fund managed by a government or other organisation on behalf of a sovereign state. The impact of SWFs on international financial markets and their behaviour are of great importance to market participants as well as policy-makers. ....Understanding the Impact of Sovereign Wealth Funds on the Financial Markets. This project aims not only to reveal the impact of sovereign wealth fund (SWFs) on Australian international stock markets, but also to assess their investment behaviour. An SWF is an investment fund managed by a government or other organisation on behalf of a sovereign state. The impact of SWFs on international financial markets and their behaviour are of great importance to market participants as well as policy-makers. The project aims to measure the systemic risk contribution of SWFs and to analyse the anti-takeover provisions of SWFs’ target firms. In addition, the project aims to understand the relation between anti-takeover provisions and target firm value and will examine the role of SWFs as a socially responsible investor. The expected outcomes will improve our understanding of the impact of SWFs on the Australian financial markets in terms of social and economic wellbeing.Read moreRead less
Venture capitalist networks and the financing of innovation. This project aims to understand why some venture capitalists (VCs) are more successful than others at financing start-ups. It studies the role of network connections between individual VCs, which are an important channel through which VCs accumulate specialised skills, exchange information and establish reputation. This project will analyse how these networks evolve, whether they explain an individual VC’s performance, and how network- ....Venture capitalist networks and the financing of innovation. This project aims to understand why some venture capitalists (VCs) are more successful than others at financing start-ups. It studies the role of network connections between individual VCs, which are an important channel through which VCs accumulate specialised skills, exchange information and establish reputation. This project will analyse how these networks evolve, whether they explain an individual VC’s performance, and how network-related human capital shapes the boundaries of a VC partnership. The expected outcomes will contribute insights into low capital allocation to venture capital funds the constrained formation of new venture capital partnerships by Australian institutional investors.Read moreRead less
Change Detection in Causal Relationships and Measurement of Systemic Risk. Empirical measures of interconnectedness between financial institutions based on tests of Granger causality are currently used in detecting systemic risk. However, researchers need to define periods of calm and stress exogenously in order to implement these tests appropriately. This project aims to develop a new procedure to identify changes in causal relationships and the timing of these changes. The new approach has the ....Change Detection in Causal Relationships and Measurement of Systemic Risk. Empirical measures of interconnectedness between financial institutions based on tests of Granger causality are currently used in detecting systemic risk. However, researchers need to define periods of calm and stress exogenously in order to implement these tests appropriately. This project aims to develop a new procedure to identify changes in causal relationships and the timing of these changes. The new approach has the potential to be a significant improvement in the real-time identification of emerging turmoil in financial markets and provide an improved method for the detection of systemic risk. The new test procedure will be implemented using data for financial and non-financial institutions across Europe, the US and Australia.Read moreRead less