Quantitative Analysis of Systemic Risk in Insurance. This project aims to achieve a contemporary and comprehensive quantitative analysis of systemic risk in insurance. The significance lies in narrowing the gap between the studies of systemic risk in banking and insurance. Expected outcomes include the construction of insurance/reinsurance networks to formalise systemic risk, the analysis of the role of network integration, and the development of pricing frameworks to entail a systemic risk prem ....Quantitative Analysis of Systemic Risk in Insurance. This project aims to achieve a contemporary and comprehensive quantitative analysis of systemic risk in insurance. The significance lies in narrowing the gap between the studies of systemic risk in banking and insurance. Expected outcomes include the construction of insurance/reinsurance networks to formalise systemic risk, the analysis of the role of network integration, and the development of pricing frameworks to entail a systemic risk premium. The project will benefit insurers and regulators by providing a forward-looking approach to monitoring and assessing insurance risk during a systemic crisis. These important original contributions to insurance risk management will help establish Australia’s global leadership in systemic risk.Read moreRead less
Forecasting and Financing Healthy Ageing and Aged Care in Australia. This project aims to quantify future risks of chronic illness and functional disability in retirement, proposing financing strategies aimed at enhancing healthy ageing, lifestyle quality and aged care provisions. The project devotes to devising a framework integrating government and private sector participation in funding health costs which increase significantly in older ages. The expected outcome includes sustainable retireme ....Forecasting and Financing Healthy Ageing and Aged Care in Australia. This project aims to quantify future risks of chronic illness and functional disability in retirement, proposing financing strategies aimed at enhancing healthy ageing, lifestyle quality and aged care provisions. The project devotes to devising a framework integrating government and private sector participation in funding health costs which increase significantly in older ages. The expected outcome includes sustainable retirement income scenarios for easing fiscal pressure from social initiatives such as age pension and aged care financing at the same time improving living standards for seniors. The project expects to place Australia at the forefront of research on sustainable solutions to financial challenges facing retirees.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE200101266
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$420,039.00
Summary
Demystifying Puzzles in Retirement Planning. This project aims to investigate optimal retirement planning with stochastic and ambiguous mortality/longevity risks not previously considered in a unifying framework. By using an innovative approach utilising techniques from actuarial science, financial mathematics and stochastic control, this project expects to generate new knowledge in the area of personal longevity risk management. Expected outcome of the project include new insights to several pu ....Demystifying Puzzles in Retirement Planning. This project aims to investigate optimal retirement planning with stochastic and ambiguous mortality/longevity risks not previously considered in a unifying framework. By using an innovative approach utilising techniques from actuarial science, financial mathematics and stochastic control, this project expects to generate new knowledge in the area of personal longevity risk management. Expected outcome of the project include new insights to several puzzling questions in retirement studies. This should provide significant benefits to retirement education for retirees facing the risk of outliving retirement savings, thereby mitigating the pressing challenge caused by population ageing and longevity risk to pension systems in many countries.Read moreRead less
Early Career Industry Fellowships - Grant ID: IE230100435
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$431,000.00
Summary
Customising weather index insurance for agribusiness using machine learning. This project aims to customise weather index insurance (WII) by utilising machine learning techniques. WII is used as a type of risk management tool in the agriculture sector to transfer risk due to extreme weather events. Significantly this project expects to establish an accurate correlation between insurance payouts and actual losses and thus improve the WII uptake rate. This will effectively support farmers and agri ....Customising weather index insurance for agribusiness using machine learning. This project aims to customise weather index insurance (WII) by utilising machine learning techniques. WII is used as a type of risk management tool in the agriculture sector to transfer risk due to extreme weather events. Significantly this project expects to establish an accurate correlation between insurance payouts and actual losses and thus improve the WII uptake rate. This will effectively support farmers and agribusinesses in Australia to mitigate and adapt to climate change, help reduce the impact of climate change and ensure crop production and food security.Read moreRead less
Shock model-based framework for modelling correlated large losses. This project aims to develop aggregate risk models by utilizing shock models in reliability theory. It intends to provide a new alternative approach which is more realistic and also mathematically tractable in order to estimate various types of quantities in (re)insurance and operational risk management. The expected outcome includes enhanced capacity by advanced analytical tools to assess correlated and large risks, thus assisti ....Shock model-based framework for modelling correlated large losses. This project aims to develop aggregate risk models by utilizing shock models in reliability theory. It intends to provide a new alternative approach which is more realistic and also mathematically tractable in order to estimate various types of quantities in (re)insurance and operational risk management. The expected outcome includes enhanced capacity by advanced analytical tools to assess correlated and large risks, thus assisting in the management of key risks and improving the effectiveness of risk management. This should benefit the stability of the financial and regulatory systems where large and dependent risks are concerned.Read moreRead less
ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research. This Centre intends to generate crucial knowledge to inform social and economic responses to population ageing, one of the most important issues of the 21st century. Population ageing exerts unprecedented pressures on social norms and policy institutions, both in Australia and around the world. Leading researchers from a range of disciplines will undertake multidisciplinary research to help governments, businesses, and consumers prepare for ....ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research. This Centre intends to generate crucial knowledge to inform social and economic responses to population ageing, one of the most important issues of the 21st century. Population ageing exerts unprecedented pressures on social norms and policy institutions, both in Australia and around the world. Leading researchers from a range of disciplines will undertake multidisciplinary research to help governments, businesses, and consumers prepare for and make better decisions for an ageing world, with consequent social and economic benefits for families and communities expected to flow to Australia, the Asian region and the world.Read moreRead less
Extreme Value Theory Approaches to Insurance in a Catastrophic Environment. Recent decades are marked by numerous significant natural (climate change) or man-made (financial crises) catastrophes, which have significantly altered the landscape of the insurance industry. These have potentially significant negative impacts on the availability and affordability of insurance, and hence on the capability and capacity of households and businesses to take risks and be competitive. This project endeavour ....Extreme Value Theory Approaches to Insurance in a Catastrophic Environment. Recent decades are marked by numerous significant natural (climate change) or man-made (financial crises) catastrophes, which have significantly altered the landscape of the insurance industry. These have potentially significant negative impacts on the availability and affordability of insurance, and hence on the capability and capacity of households and businesses to take risks and be competitive. This project endeavours to establish progressive approaches (using extreme value theory) to the challenges faced by insurance in such a catastrophic environment. They will enhance the financial stability and competitivity of the Australian economy, and further establish its global leadership in dealing with climate changes and catastrophes.Read moreRead less
Better communication to solve the under-saving, under-spending puzzle. This project expects to develop evidence-based communication tools that promote life-time financial security, specifically investigating the puzzling and harmful tendency of people to under-save while working and under-spend while retired. To achieve this goal, it will design and experimentally validate innovative boosts to superannuation communication including income projections and goal-setting targeted at common misconcep ....Better communication to solve the under-saving, under-spending puzzle. This project expects to develop evidence-based communication tools that promote life-time financial security, specifically investigating the puzzling and harmful tendency of people to under-save while working and under-spend while retired. To achieve this goal, it will design and experimentally validate innovative boosts to superannuation communication including income projections and goal-setting targeted at common misconceptions and biases. It will use new structural modelling techniques to measure welfare changes. The expected outcomes are rigorous explanations for the saving-spending puzzle, and robust communication strategies for superannuation funds that will benefit workers and retirees by raising financial capability and confidence.Read moreRead less
Limiting False Positives in Empirical Asset Pricing Tests. The project aims to address the issue of data mining in asset pricing tests using innovative interdisciplinary approaches that mitigate the occurrence of false positives. The expected outcomes include extended options in finance for alleviating data mining, as well as new guidelines for rigorously evaluating the explanatory power of risk factors on expected returns. The project findings are expected to significantly advance our understan ....Limiting False Positives in Empirical Asset Pricing Tests. The project aims to address the issue of data mining in asset pricing tests using innovative interdisciplinary approaches that mitigate the occurrence of false positives. The expected outcomes include extended options in finance for alleviating data mining, as well as new guidelines for rigorously evaluating the explanatory power of risk factors on expected returns. The project findings are expected to significantly advance our understanding of the pricing of risk. Additionally, the proposed tools are anticipated to have broad applications, such as corporate finance and fraud detection, and offer significant value to finance research and its stakeholders, such as the Australian asset management industry and government regulatory bodies.
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Socially Responsible Insurance in the Age of Artificial Intelligence. This project aims to discover the social costs and benefits of using Artificial Intelligence in insurance, and to design practical interventions—responsible design workshops, practical guidance, regulatory proposals, new algorithmic tools—that realise the benefits while mitigating the costs. It expects to generate new knowledge drawing on philosophy, law and sociology, working closely with practitioners at the forefront of dep ....Socially Responsible Insurance in the Age of Artificial Intelligence. This project aims to discover the social costs and benefits of using Artificial Intelligence in insurance, and to design practical interventions—responsible design workshops, practical guidance, regulatory proposals, new algorithmic tools—that realise the benefits while mitigating the costs. It expects to generate new knowledge drawing on philosophy, law and sociology, working closely with practitioners at the forefront of deploying AI in insurance. Expected outcomes include novel ethical AI-based approaches to product design, pricing and claims administration. This should benefit insurers and consumers, realising efficiency gains made possible by AI, without unacceptable costs to privacy, fairness, and the unaccountable exercise of power. Read moreRead less