Modelling claim dependencies for the general insurance industry with economic capital in view: an innovative approach with stochastic processes. This project will develop and enhance multi-dimensional models used to describe and assess the risks borne by general insurers. These innovative methods, which will be directly applicable by the industry, will strengthen the efficiency and the safety of the Australian economy.
Quantitative Analysis of Systemic Risk in Insurance. This project aims to achieve a contemporary and comprehensive quantitative analysis of systemic risk in insurance. The significance lies in narrowing the gap between the studies of systemic risk in banking and insurance. Expected outcomes include the construction of insurance/reinsurance networks to formalise systemic risk, the analysis of the role of network integration, and the development of pricing frameworks to entail a systemic risk prem ....Quantitative Analysis of Systemic Risk in Insurance. This project aims to achieve a contemporary and comprehensive quantitative analysis of systemic risk in insurance. The significance lies in narrowing the gap between the studies of systemic risk in banking and insurance. Expected outcomes include the construction of insurance/reinsurance networks to formalise systemic risk, the analysis of the role of network integration, and the development of pricing frameworks to entail a systemic risk premium. The project will benefit insurers and regulators by providing a forward-looking approach to monitoring and assessing insurance risk during a systemic crisis. These important original contributions to insurance risk management will help establish Australia’s global leadership in systemic risk.Read moreRead less
Forecasting and Financing Healthy Ageing and Aged Care in Australia. This project aims to quantify future risks of chronic illness and functional disability in retirement, proposing financing strategies aimed at enhancing healthy ageing, lifestyle quality and aged care provisions. The project devotes to devising a framework integrating government and private sector participation in funding health costs which increase significantly in older ages. The expected outcome includes sustainable retireme ....Forecasting and Financing Healthy Ageing and Aged Care in Australia. This project aims to quantify future risks of chronic illness and functional disability in retirement, proposing financing strategies aimed at enhancing healthy ageing, lifestyle quality and aged care provisions. The project devotes to devising a framework integrating government and private sector participation in funding health costs which increase significantly in older ages. The expected outcome includes sustainable retirement income scenarios for easing fiscal pressure from social initiatives such as age pension and aged care financing at the same time improving living standards for seniors. The project expects to place Australia at the forefront of research on sustainable solutions to financial challenges facing retirees.Read moreRead less
Risk and Prudential Regulation and Supervision of Australian Financial Institutions. The project seeks to enhance the effectiveness of prudential regulation and supervision of financial institutions (FIs) by examining the risk of FIs, as reflected in default risk premiums on FI international debt issues and variability of revenue/profitability measures, and the effect of broadening FI activities and the shift towards fee/commission income on FI risk. This forms the basis for the development and ....Risk and Prudential Regulation and Supervision of Australian Financial Institutions. The project seeks to enhance the effectiveness of prudential regulation and supervision of financial institutions (FIs) by examining the risk of FIs, as reflected in default risk premiums on FI international debt issues and variability of revenue/profitability measures, and the effect of broadening FI activities and the shift towards fee/commission income on FI risk. This forms the basis for the development and testing of statistical early warning systems of impending financial problems in Australian FIs. The models are compared with examiner rating systems currently used in prudential supervision.Read moreRead less
ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research. This Centre intends to generate crucial knowledge to inform social and economic responses to population ageing, one of the most important issues of the 21st century. Population ageing exerts unprecedented pressures on social norms and policy institutions, both in Australia and around the world. Leading researchers from a range of disciplines will undertake multidisciplinary research to help governments, businesses, and consumers prepare for ....ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research. This Centre intends to generate crucial knowledge to inform social and economic responses to population ageing, one of the most important issues of the 21st century. Population ageing exerts unprecedented pressures on social norms and policy institutions, both in Australia and around the world. Leading researchers from a range of disciplines will undertake multidisciplinary research to help governments, businesses, and consumers prepare for and make better decisions for an ageing world, with consequent social and economic benefits for families and communities expected to flow to Australia, the Asian region and the world.Read moreRead less
ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research. The Centre aims to execute world class basic and applied research to transform our capacity to respond to the economic and social challenges of demographic change, and to changes in individual longevity and cognitive and motor capacity. It will combine in-house expertise with leading researchers globally in initiatives to generate new outcome-oriented approaches to studying the population ageing process and its implications. It s research w ....ARC Centre of Excellence in Population Ageing Research. The Centre aims to execute world class basic and applied research to transform our capacity to respond to the economic and social challenges of demographic change, and to changes in individual longevity and cognitive and motor capacity. It will combine in-house expertise with leading researchers globally in initiatives to generate new outcome-oriented approaches to studying the population ageing process and its implications. It s research will inform innovative policy formulation and product and market development, and train a new generation of researchers into population ageing with an enriched appreciation of the cross-disciplinary dimensions of population ageing research.Read moreRead less
Extreme Value Theory Approaches to Insurance in a Catastrophic Environment. Recent decades are marked by numerous significant natural (climate change) or man-made (financial crises) catastrophes, which have significantly altered the landscape of the insurance industry. These have potentially significant negative impacts on the availability and affordability of insurance, and hence on the capability and capacity of households and businesses to take risks and be competitive. This project endeavour ....Extreme Value Theory Approaches to Insurance in a Catastrophic Environment. Recent decades are marked by numerous significant natural (climate change) or man-made (financial crises) catastrophes, which have significantly altered the landscape of the insurance industry. These have potentially significant negative impacts on the availability and affordability of insurance, and hence on the capability and capacity of households and businesses to take risks and be competitive. This project endeavours to establish progressive approaches (using extreme value theory) to the challenges faced by insurance in such a catastrophic environment. They will enhance the financial stability and competitivity of the Australian economy, and further establish its global leadership in dealing with climate changes and catastrophes.Read moreRead less
Stein's method for probability approximation. Data of counts in time, such as incoming calls in telecommunications and the clusters of palindromes in a family of herpes-virus genomes, arise in an extraordinarily diverse range of fields from science to business. These problems can be modelled by sums of random variables taking values 0 and 1 in probability theory, thus permitting approximate calculations which are often good enough in practice. This project will obtain such approximate solutions ....Stein's method for probability approximation. Data of counts in time, such as incoming calls in telecommunications and the clusters of palindromes in a family of herpes-virus genomes, arise in an extraordinarily diverse range of fields from science to business. These problems can be modelled by sums of random variables taking values 0 and 1 in probability theory, thus permitting approximate calculations which are often good enough in practice. This project will obtain such approximate solutions and estimate the errors involved. Applications include analysis of data in insurance, finance, flood prediction in hydrology.Read moreRead less
Super Financial Security: Improving Flexibility, Trust and Communication. This project aims to address the significant worldwide challenge of how to safeguard financial wellbeing at older ages. In doing so it aims to investigate three important and interconnected influences on retirement preparation: flexible choice architecture, trust formation and effective communication. The project aims to use a combination of innovative modelling, experimental and field-based approaches. The principal expec ....Super Financial Security: Improving Flexibility, Trust and Communication. This project aims to address the significant worldwide challenge of how to safeguard financial wellbeing at older ages. In doing so it aims to investigate three important and interconnected influences on retirement preparation: flexible choice architecture, trust formation and effective communication. The project aims to use a combination of innovative modelling, experimental and field-based approaches. The principal expected outcomes are insights into the factors that guide superannuation choice, build trust with superannuation providers, and ensure clear and effective communication with members.Read moreRead less
Boundary Crossing Analysis for Random Processes with Applications to Risk Management. Effective management of environmental, financial and superannuation investment risks is vitally important for Australia. Results of the project will add to the theoretical foundations of risk management and provide new computational tools for specialists working in the areas of financial engineering, insurance, superannuation funds. These tools will assist in improving risk profile evaluation and developing new ....Boundary Crossing Analysis for Random Processes with Applications to Risk Management. Effective management of environmental, financial and superannuation investment risks is vitally important for Australia. Results of the project will add to the theoretical foundations of risk management and provide new computational tools for specialists working in the areas of financial engineering, insurance, superannuation funds. These tools will assist in improving risk profile evaluation and developing new statistical control charts for security monitoring of epidemics, networks intrusions and other potentially dangerous changes. The research will also give Australia a competitive advantage in the area of education related to stochastic processes, mathematical finance, control theory and their applications.Read moreRead less