Financial tunnelling: shareholder protection and wealth changes during two decades of capital management activities in Australia. Companies raise capital and distribute capital and profits through various mechanisms, often structured to benefit important shareholders such as institutions. This study examines the extent to which minority shareholders have had wealth destroyed through company capital management activities, and offers corporate governance solutions.
Do wealth creating mergers and acquisitions really hurt acquirer shareholders? The purpose of this project is to investigate the benefit to the community of acquisitions, especially when the stock price of the acquirer falls on the announcement. This project is likely to show that acquiring shareholders still gain substantially in these circumstances. The outcome will be fewer failed bids with better regulatory outcomes.
Quantitative Analysis of Systemic Risk in Insurance. This project aims to achieve a contemporary and comprehensive quantitative analysis of systemic risk in insurance. The significance lies in narrowing the gap between the studies of systemic risk in banking and insurance. Expected outcomes include the construction of insurance/reinsurance networks to formalise systemic risk, the analysis of the role of network integration, and the development of pricing frameworks to entail a systemic risk prem ....Quantitative Analysis of Systemic Risk in Insurance. This project aims to achieve a contemporary and comprehensive quantitative analysis of systemic risk in insurance. The significance lies in narrowing the gap between the studies of systemic risk in banking and insurance. Expected outcomes include the construction of insurance/reinsurance networks to formalise systemic risk, the analysis of the role of network integration, and the development of pricing frameworks to entail a systemic risk premium. The project will benefit insurers and regulators by providing a forward-looking approach to monitoring and assessing insurance risk during a systemic crisis. These important original contributions to insurance risk management will help establish Australia’s global leadership in systemic risk.Read moreRead less
The effect of bans on short selling: a comprehensive study. Although the 2008 financial crisis has greatly impeded the global economy, it has provided a rare opportunity for researchers to verify the truthfulness of some assumptions made on financial markets that are running without liquidity problems. This project will develop a new option pricing theory suitable for financial markets under some short-selling restrictions. Through exploring, from both empirical and theoretical points of view, h ....The effect of bans on short selling: a comprehensive study. Although the 2008 financial crisis has greatly impeded the global economy, it has provided a rare opportunity for researchers to verify the truthfulness of some assumptions made on financial markets that are running without liquidity problems. This project will develop a new option pricing theory suitable for financial markets under some short-selling restrictions. Through exploring, from both empirical and theoretical points of view, how short-selling bans will affect some important assumptions made in conventional option pricing theory, the newly developed option pricing framework should not only assist in trading options, but also assist market regulators to effectively use bans on short selling to stabilise financial markets.Read moreRead less
Liquidity in financial markets. This project aims to develop a theory which models the effect of liquidity on option prices under different market conditions. Economic or financial crises are inevitable and affect economics. During or after a major financial crisis, market liquidity usually becomes risky and needs to be studied. Through both empirical and theoretical explorations, this project will quantify and measure liquidity risk and its effect on the options markets. It will develop a frame ....Liquidity in financial markets. This project aims to develop a theory which models the effect of liquidity on option prices under different market conditions. Economic or financial crises are inevitable and affect economics. During or after a major financial crisis, market liquidity usually becomes risky and needs to be studied. Through both empirical and theoretical explorations, this project will quantify and measure liquidity risk and its effect on the options markets. It will develop a framework to help market regulators manage illiquidity, enhance the efficiency of option trading in illiquid markets and help in the detection of market manipulation.Read moreRead less
Forecasting and Financing Healthy Ageing and Aged Care in Australia. This project aims to quantify future risks of chronic illness and functional disability in retirement, proposing financing strategies aimed at enhancing healthy ageing, lifestyle quality and aged care provisions. The project devotes to devising a framework integrating government and private sector participation in funding health costs which increase significantly in older ages. The expected outcome includes sustainable retireme ....Forecasting and Financing Healthy Ageing and Aged Care in Australia. This project aims to quantify future risks of chronic illness and functional disability in retirement, proposing financing strategies aimed at enhancing healthy ageing, lifestyle quality and aged care provisions. The project devotes to devising a framework integrating government and private sector participation in funding health costs which increase significantly in older ages. The expected outcome includes sustainable retirement income scenarios for easing fiscal pressure from social initiatives such as age pension and aged care financing at the same time improving living standards for seniors. The project expects to place Australia at the forefront of research on sustainable solutions to financial challenges facing retirees.Read moreRead less
Retirement income product innovation. This project aims to develop and assess comprehensive retirement income products to support sustainable retirement income streams for the Australian superannuation system. It will provide a framework to develop flexible structured retirement income products, taking into account the fair and effective allocation of costs and risks. Actuarial and financial analysis will highlight savings in Age Pension and aged care costs arising from more effective design of ....Retirement income product innovation. This project aims to develop and assess comprehensive retirement income products to support sustainable retirement income streams for the Australian superannuation system. It will provide a framework to develop flexible structured retirement income products, taking into account the fair and effective allocation of costs and risks. Actuarial and financial analysis will highlight savings in Age Pension and aged care costs arising from more effective design of retirement income products incorporating investment and longevity risk. It intends to develop risk sharing retirement products, risk management strategies, and longevity index-based hedging contracts to share and mitigate financial and longevity risk.Read moreRead less
Systemic risk, hedge funds and modelling asymmetric dependence using a Copula approach. This project will assess whether hedge funds pose a significant systemic risk for Australia and the impact of asymmetric dependence on portfolio choice involving hedge funds. The project is timely and important as it is aimed at protecting Australia's financial system.
Shock model-based framework for modelling correlated large losses. This project aims to develop aggregate risk models by utilizing shock models in reliability theory. It intends to provide a new alternative approach which is more realistic and also mathematically tractable in order to estimate various types of quantities in (re)insurance and operational risk management. The expected outcome includes enhanced capacity by advanced analytical tools to assess correlated and large risks, thus assisti ....Shock model-based framework for modelling correlated large losses. This project aims to develop aggregate risk models by utilizing shock models in reliability theory. It intends to provide a new alternative approach which is more realistic and also mathematically tractable in order to estimate various types of quantities in (re)insurance and operational risk management. The expected outcome includes enhanced capacity by advanced analytical tools to assess correlated and large risks, thus assisting in the management of key risks and improving the effectiveness of risk management. This should benefit the stability of the financial and regulatory systems where large and dependent risks are concerned.Read moreRead less
The impact of payout policy changes on firm value and short selling activities across different taxation regimes. Brealey et al (2011) assert that we don't know enough yet about how payout policy varies across firms. This project examines the information content of dividend changes and repurchase programs and the long-term market impact of these announcements, controlling for the substitution effect of repurchases/dividends in different institutional/tax regimes. This project also examines wheth ....The impact of payout policy changes on firm value and short selling activities across different taxation regimes. Brealey et al (2011) assert that we don't know enough yet about how payout policy varies across firms. This project examines the information content of dividend changes and repurchase programs and the long-term market impact of these announcements, controlling for the substitution effect of repurchases/dividends in different institutional/tax regimes. This project also examines whether short sellers manifest abnormal behaviour around the announcement of dividend changes and repurchase programs, and whether earnings are manipulated upwards to maintain the dividend or downwards prior to the announcement of repurchase programs. The findings will be of major interest to academics, managers, investors and regulators.Read moreRead less