Modelling with stochastic differential equations. We will develop methodology for modelling and analysis of phenomena subjected to random and uncertain influences, such as behaviour of investors in the market, evolution of economy, values of stocks and ant colonies. This methodology will enable scientists to achieve more accurate description and analysis of their models and provide better understanding of these phenomena. Creating the tools for understanding such complex systems will have far re ....Modelling with stochastic differential equations. We will develop methodology for modelling and analysis of phenomena subjected to random and uncertain influences, such as behaviour of investors in the market, evolution of economy, values of stocks and ant colonies. This methodology will enable scientists to achieve more accurate description and analysis of their models and provide better understanding of these phenomena. Creating the tools for understanding such complex systems will have far reaching benefits both nationally and internationally and will allow Australia to strengthen its position in international research. The project will also provide for postgraduate training and international scientific exchange.Read moreRead less
Stochastic systems with applications to Biology and Finance. This project is concerned with stochastic systems. These mathematical systems, which are controlled by statistical uncertainty and variability, have profound importance in the fields of biology and finance. They are recognised worldwide as being of primary scientific importance. Important questions to be examined are: 1) Branching processes in DNA Polymerase Chain Reaction, 2) long term stationarity in metastable systems, and 3) Sto ....Stochastic systems with applications to Biology and Finance. This project is concerned with stochastic systems. These mathematical systems, which are controlled by statistical uncertainty and variability, have profound importance in the fields of biology and finance. They are recognised worldwide as being of primary scientific importance. Important questions to be examined are: 1) Branching processes in DNA Polymerase Chain Reaction, 2) long term stationarity in metastable systems, and 3) Stochastic Volatility in Finance. The answers to these questions will underpin the statistical theory for potential breakthroughs in the respective areas. This project will contribute to the theory and applications of Stochastic Processes, as well as modelling in biology and finance.Read moreRead less
Multi-scale modelling of cell migration in developmental biology. Interpretative and predictive tools are needed for the comprehensive understanding of directed cell migration in the medical sciences. Mathematical models and modelling methodologies developed in this project will make a significant contribution to the investigation of cell migration and the testing and generation of hypotheses. Such models are needed to understand observed cellular patterns. This project will contribute to knowle ....Multi-scale modelling of cell migration in developmental biology. Interpretative and predictive tools are needed for the comprehensive understanding of directed cell migration in the medical sciences. Mathematical models and modelling methodologies developed in this project will make a significant contribution to the investigation of cell migration and the testing and generation of hypotheses. Such models are needed to understand observed cellular patterns. This project will contribute to knowledge of normal and abnormal developmental processes, especially in embryonic growth. Understanding these processes should lead to prediction and treatment of congenital disorders and contribute to a healthy start to life.Read moreRead less
Measure-valued analysis of stochastic populations. The project aims to develop new mathematical models and tools for the rigorous analysis of very general stochastic populations that are subject to internal competition and feedback. The proposed mathematical framework is that of measure-valued processes, a setting needed to encompass the complexity and random structure inherent in such systems. Models of this kind have real-world applications in evolutionary biology, cell kinetics and cancer res ....Measure-valued analysis of stochastic populations. The project aims to develop new mathematical models and tools for the rigorous analysis of very general stochastic populations that are subject to internal competition and feedback. The proposed mathematical framework is that of measure-valued processes, a setting needed to encompass the complexity and random structure inherent in such systems. Models of this kind have real-world applications in evolutionary biology, cell kinetics and cancer research, and are essential to our understanding of the persistence of endemic disease and of the preservation of endangered species. The results of this project are expected to provide insight into the behaviour and (in-)stabilities of complex stochastic populations, and offer guidance for their management.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE150101044
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$315,000.00
Summary
New computational approaches for branching processes in population biology. Branching processes are powerful modelling tools in population biology. They describe how individuals live and reproduce according to specific probability laws, and can be used to answer a wide range of population-related questions. This project aims to develop new algorithmic methods for a tractable class of branching processes called Markovian binary trees. Following a matrix analytic approach, it will deliver new resu ....New computational approaches for branching processes in population biology. Branching processes are powerful modelling tools in population biology. They describe how individuals live and reproduce according to specific probability laws, and can be used to answer a wide range of population-related questions. This project aims to develop new algorithmic methods for a tractable class of branching processes called Markovian binary trees. Following a matrix analytic approach, it will deliver new results on the efficient estimation of model parameters, and on the effects of random environments on population dynamics. These results will be used to study significant problems in evolutionary and conservation biology, thereby establishing the relevance of the developed techniques.Read moreRead less
New Approaches to Modelling and Analysing Long-Memory Random Processes. The project aims to develop new approaches using infinite-dimensional Markov processes to solving important long-standing problems from the theory of long memory random processes and their applications. It aims to: construct a class of new representations of random processes; derive inequalities for the key numerical characteristics; and, devise and investigate numerical methods for computing the characteristics and for perf ....New Approaches to Modelling and Analysing Long-Memory Random Processes. The project aims to develop new approaches using infinite-dimensional Markov processes to solving important long-standing problems from the theory of long memory random processes and their applications. It aims to: construct a class of new representations of random processes; derive inequalities for the key numerical characteristics; and, devise and investigate numerical methods for computing the characteristics and for performing statistical inference on the long memory models. The accuracy of numerical approximations will be analysed using simulations on supercomputers. Expected outcomes include models and results of practical importance with applications such as intrusion detection problems, cell motility for biological data and telecommunication.Read moreRead less
Computational methods for population-size-dependent branching processes. Branching processes are the primary mathematical tool used to model populations that evolve randomly in time. Most key results in the theory are derived under the simplifying assumption that individuals reproduce and die independently of each other. However, this assumption fails in most real-life situations, in particular when the environment has limited resources or when the habitat has a restricted capacity. This project ....Computational methods for population-size-dependent branching processes. Branching processes are the primary mathematical tool used to model populations that evolve randomly in time. Most key results in the theory are derived under the simplifying assumption that individuals reproduce and die independently of each other. However, this assumption fails in most real-life situations, in particular when the environment has limited resources or when the habitat has a restricted capacity. This project aims to develop novel and effective algorithmic techniques and statistical methods for a class of branching processes with dependences. We will use these results to study significant problems in the conservation of endangered island bird populations in Oceania, and to help inform their conservation management.Read moreRead less
Multiscale stochastic modelling of tumour robustness. This project will develop cutting-edge modelling methodologies of systems biology and innovative experimental techniques to investigate the principles of tumour initiation and progression, which lay at the heart of the national research priority Frontier Technologies for Building and Transforming Australian Industries. The primary outcome will be fundamental new paradigms explaining tumour initiation, cancer disease progression and the evolut ....Multiscale stochastic modelling of tumour robustness. This project will develop cutting-edge modelling methodologies of systems biology and innovative experimental techniques to investigate the principles of tumour initiation and progression, which lay at the heart of the national research priority Frontier Technologies for Building and Transforming Australian Industries. The primary outcome will be fundamental new paradigms explaining tumour initiation, cancer disease progression and the evolution of therapy resistance. The deep insights gained in this research have the potential for the optimal treatment strategies of cancer diseases, which is strongly relevant to promoting and maintaining good health for Australians.Read moreRead less
New universality in stochastic systems. This project aims to uncover new analyses and effects in the complex behaviour of non-linear systems with random noise. Many systems originate near an unstable equilibrium. This project will develop a new mathematical theory that establishes a universality in the way the long term effect of noise expresses itself as random initial conditions in the dynamics. It will fill gaps in Mathematics and make refinements to existing fundamental scientific laws by in ....New universality in stochastic systems. This project aims to uncover new analyses and effects in the complex behaviour of non-linear systems with random noise. Many systems originate near an unstable equilibrium. This project will develop a new mathematical theory that establishes a universality in the way the long term effect of noise expresses itself as random initial conditions in the dynamics. It will fill gaps in Mathematics and make refinements to existing fundamental scientific laws by including random initial conditions as predicted by our theory. This will advance our understanding of complex systems subjected to noise and will provide significant benefits in the scientific discoveries in Biology, Ecology, Physics and other Sciences where such systems are frequently met.Read moreRead less
Multiscale models in immuno-epidemiology. The spread of a pathogen (for example, a virus or bacteria) through a population is a multi-scale phenomena, influenced by factors acting at both the population and within-host scales. At the population scale, transmission is influenced by how infectious an infected host is. Infectiousness in turn depends on the balance between pathogen replication within the host and immune/drug control mechanisms. This project aims to develop new mathematical framework ....Multiscale models in immuno-epidemiology. The spread of a pathogen (for example, a virus or bacteria) through a population is a multi-scale phenomena, influenced by factors acting at both the population and within-host scales. At the population scale, transmission is influenced by how infectious an infected host is. Infectiousness in turn depends on the balance between pathogen replication within the host and immune/drug control mechanisms. This project aims to develop new mathematical frameworks for simultaneously modelling these two scales. This will provide a platform for the rigorous study of complex biological interactions - such as the emergence and combat of drug-resistance - that shape society's ability to control infectious diseases in human, animal and plant systems.Read moreRead less