Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE150100708
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$352,000.00
Summary
Understanding the Linkage of Public and Private Risk in the Global Economy. This project aims to develop a richly detailed model of the global financial system including both public and private institutions. By treating the system as a network of interconnected entities, this project aims to introduce new techniques to map and to trace the evolution of risk in the financial system, to forecast the spillover of risk between entities in the system, and to conduct counterfactual analysis of potenti ....Understanding the Linkage of Public and Private Risk in the Global Economy. This project aims to develop a richly detailed model of the global financial system including both public and private institutions. By treating the system as a network of interconnected entities, this project aims to introduce new techniques to map and to trace the evolution of risk in the financial system, to forecast the spillover of risk between entities in the system, and to conduct counterfactual analysis of potential policy measures. This project will investigate the link between spillover intensity and the existing research on extreme events in financial data. By studying how the recent crisis spread through the global financial system, this project aims to enhance our ability to foresee future crises and to mitigate their impact and costs.Read moreRead less
Growing inequality in incomes and wealth and the taxation of capital income: an economic and legal analysis. The research combines the expertise of leading scholars in economics and law to produce proposals for reform of Australia's system of taxing capital and labour incomes. This issue is of central importance to Australia's future, in the light of the challenges posed by increasing inequality of incomes and wealth, globalisation and population ageing.
Government, Institutions and Economic Activity: A Long Term Analysis. Using national and regional data for 30 to 50 countries over multiple centuries, this project will examine the effects of itemised government expenditure and revenue on productivity, investment, saving, labour force participation and research and development. The results are expected to shed light on the macroeconomic effects of different revenue and spending categories (education, transfers, and so on). In addition, the proje ....Government, Institutions and Economic Activity: A Long Term Analysis. Using national and regional data for 30 to 50 countries over multiple centuries, this project will examine the effects of itemised government expenditure and revenue on productivity, investment, saving, labour force participation and research and development. The results are expected to shed light on the macroeconomic effects of different revenue and spending categories (education, transfers, and so on). In addition, the project aims to determine which factors have been responsible for the increase of government size over the past two centuries. The results aim to further reveal which government revenue and expenditure items are most conducive to economic welfare and growth.Read moreRead less
Optimal policy in the global liquidity trap. The recent global financial crisis has led most central banks in developed economies to reduce their policy interest rates to unprecedentedly low levels. As a result, the liquidity trap has now become a serious concern internationally. This project will derive the optimal monetary and fiscal policy in the global liquidity trap. It will also show how a shock in one country affects other countries and propose tools for improving the empirical fit of the ....Optimal policy in the global liquidity trap. The recent global financial crisis has led most central banks in developed economies to reduce their policy interest rates to unprecedentedly low levels. As a result, the liquidity trap has now become a serious concern internationally. This project will derive the optimal monetary and fiscal policy in the global liquidity trap. It will also show how a shock in one country affects other countries and propose tools for improving the empirical fit of the models in a liquidity trap. This project will become the foundation for the discussion of policy options in the global liquidity trap.Read moreRead less
Estimating the impact of fiscal stimulus on household expenditure. This project aims to measure the impact on household expenditure of unexpected government bonus payments. Precise measures of this parameter can help improve fiscal policy in Australia and overseas, whilst giving researchers a more precise understanding of how households react to unexpected increases in disposable income. This research will also make a methodological contribution, since we will be using a research methodology not ....Estimating the impact of fiscal stimulus on household expenditure. This project aims to measure the impact on household expenditure of unexpected government bonus payments. Precise measures of this parameter can help improve fiscal policy in Australia and overseas, whilst giving researchers a more precise understanding of how households react to unexpected increases in disposable income. This research will also make a methodological contribution, since we will be using a research methodology not previously implemented in Australia, which is to exploit the random timing of payments across households, combined with a unique household-level panel dataset on weekly expenditure. The project will compare results using this approach with results from other strategies, such as surveys and time series analysis.Read moreRead less
Estimating the impact of fiscal stimulus on household expenditure. The tax bonus payments of the $42 billion Nation Building and Jobs Plan were among the largest fiscal policy packages in the developed world. This project applies a new methodology to estimate the short-term impact of this cash handout on consumer spending, allowing better modelling of the Australian economy.
Estimation of the continuous piecewise linear model and macroeconomic applications. Relationships between economic variables are often characterised by non-linearities. This project develops a method to analyse a type of non-linearity that is frequently encountered in economics and uses this method to study four specific applications concerning the dynamics of inflation, growth, and the exchange rate.
Time-consistent macroeconomic policy in nonlinear models. Efforts to use fiscal policy for macro-stabilisation have led to elevated debt levels and possible default in many countries. This project examines the appropriate design of fiscal policy and its implications for debt over the business cycle.
Monetary and Fiscal Policy under Imperfect Knowledge. This project lays out an agenda exploring the consequences of imperfect knowledge for macroeconomic dynamics and stabilisation policy. Learning dynamics are central to understanding aggregate fluctuations in periods during which agents have limited information about their environment, as has been the case during and after the Global Financial Crisis. The agenda comprises two lines of inquiry. The first develops theoretical issues relating to ....Monetary and Fiscal Policy under Imperfect Knowledge. This project lays out an agenda exploring the consequences of imperfect knowledge for macroeconomic dynamics and stabilisation policy. Learning dynamics are central to understanding aggregate fluctuations in periods during which agents have limited information about their environment, as has been the case during and after the Global Financial Crisis. The agenda comprises two lines of inquiry. The first develops theoretical issues relating to the design and implementation of monetary and fiscal policy under imperfect knowledge. The second adduces empirical evidence on the classes of possible beliefs that any macroeconomic model should account for.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE130100806
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$347,620.00
Summary
Human capital risk: implications for policy. The project examines how human capital investment decisions are affected by risk and policy actions that are taken to partially alleviate these risks. The quantitative analysis provides important insights which will enhance the debate on the merits of education subsidies and unemployment benefits program in the United States and Australia.