Models for Australian Electricity Derivatives. Electricity derivatives, such as electricity futures and options are used to manage the risk associated with volatility in prices of electricity. This project aims to develop models for pricing electricity derivatives specifically suited for Australia. Because of the non-storable nature of electricity the standard option pricing principle of "no-arbitrage" does not apply to electricity options, such as caps and floors, but applies to options on elec ....Models for Australian Electricity Derivatives. Electricity derivatives, such as electricity futures and options are used to manage the risk associated with volatility in prices of electricity. This project aims to develop models for pricing electricity derivatives specifically suited for Australia. Because of the non-storable nature of electricity the standard option pricing principle of "no-arbitrage" does not apply to electricity options, such as caps and floors, but applies to options on electricity futures. Therefore a specific model is needed that takes into account the pricing principle of "no-arbitrage" and combines it with other factors that drive electricity prices. The novel element in this proposal is incorporation of the weather forecasts into the models for electricity options. As a result of this study appropriate models for electricity derivatives for various geographical regions in Australia will be developed.Read moreRead less
Special Research Initiatives - Grant ID: SR0354895
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$40,000.00
Summary
Financial Integrity Research Network (FIRN). FIRN will be directed towards innovation in the integrity and efficiency of Australia's financial system. To address pressing problems and threats associated with this key component of Australia's infrastructure, FIRN will bring together a multi-disciplinary network featuring internationally renowned academics in a unique collaborative research effort which will cross conventional disciplinary boundaries including financial economics, applied statist ....Financial Integrity Research Network (FIRN). FIRN will be directed towards innovation in the integrity and efficiency of Australia's financial system. To address pressing problems and threats associated with this key component of Australia's infrastructure, FIRN will bring together a multi-disciplinary network featuring internationally renowned academics in a unique collaborative research effort which will cross conventional disciplinary boundaries including financial economics, applied statistics, actuarial science, financial mathematics, market micro-structure, accounting and information systems. FIRN will be supported by SIRCA's world-class financial research infrastructure and industry network. It will deliver a range of innovative research, educational, professional development and applied outcomes.Read moreRead less
ARC Financial Integrity Research Network. The integrity of the financial system is constantly under stress because of the development of ever more complex financial instruments, structures and strategies, and the associated research technologies that continues to accelerate worldwide. FIRN's vision is to harness the considerable strengths of Australia's internationally renowned finance, accounting and economics researchers into a research agenda to address issues concerning the integrity of the ....ARC Financial Integrity Research Network. The integrity of the financial system is constantly under stress because of the development of ever more complex financial instruments, structures and strategies, and the associated research technologies that continues to accelerate worldwide. FIRN's vision is to harness the considerable strengths of Australia's internationally renowned finance, accounting and economics researchers into a research agenda to address issues concerning the integrity of the financial system. It will enable Australian research in this area to match the scale and impact of similar research in other major international financial centres, and play an essential role in placing Australia among the world's leaders in financial markets related research.Read moreRead less
The mathematics and language of engineering uncertainty, preference and utility. Australian engineering firms are principals in many high-profile projects. To defend their position, they must demonstrate both sound engineering and quality processes, which by international standards includes the traceability of decisions. Yet, there are few tools to vet the multitude of decisions that go into large-scale engineering works. This project aims to form mathematical models of decision-making based on ....The mathematics and language of engineering uncertainty, preference and utility. Australian engineering firms are principals in many high-profile projects. To defend their position, they must demonstrate both sound engineering and quality processes, which by international standards includes the traceability of decisions. Yet, there are few tools to vet the multitude of decisions that go into large-scale engineering works. This project aims to form mathematical models of decision-making based on the language modelling of what is written in engineering documentation about the bases of decisions. The new methods will help decision makers to pinpoint irrationalities in decisions and notify them of possible errors. The research can therefore be applied to important problems in the engineering sector such as risk management.Read moreRead less
Modelling, forecasting, and control for econometrics based on generalized dynamic factor models: a system theoretic approach. The project will provide a tool that will assist organizations wishing to understand the dynamics of a national economy to model it, and to forecast future econometric time series values. Such ability will provide another tool to econometric managers, including the Reserve Bank , Treasury and fund managers, that should benefit the Australian nation.
New approach to turbulent combustion modelling based on Multiple Mapping Conditioning. The project ensures that Australia remains at the front line of international development of new tools and approaches designed to model turbulent combustion. Improvements in modelling techniques will have a direct effect on optimisation of the industrial energy production from conventional sources and will assist in resolving the associated ecological issues. The project will also train several researches to b ....New approach to turbulent combustion modelling based on Multiple Mapping Conditioning. The project ensures that Australia remains at the front line of international development of new tools and approaches designed to model turbulent combustion. Improvements in modelling techniques will have a direct effect on optimisation of the industrial energy production from conventional sources and will assist in resolving the associated ecological issues. The project will also train several researches to be qualified to work at the frontiers of modern combustion modelling in gaseous flows.Read moreRead less
Joint System Identification for Point Processes and Time-series. In various application areas such as neurophysiology, earthquake modeling, price spikes in electricity markets, the data of interest are point processes (aka sequences of events) or combinations of point processes and analog signals. To understand the underlying subject of interest we need to be able to extract the maximum information from these observation sequences. The current tools for doing this are very limited. This resear ....Joint System Identification for Point Processes and Time-series. In various application areas such as neurophysiology, earthquake modeling, price spikes in electricity markets, the data of interest are point processes (aka sequences of events) or combinations of point processes and analog signals. To understand the underlying subject of interest we need to be able to extract the maximum information from these observation sequences. The current tools for doing this are very limited. This research program will develop the complex signal processing and system methodology needed to create a suitable tool set.Read moreRead less
Efficient Algorithms for Multiple Object Filtering using Stochastic Geometry. The outcomes of this project will enhance our ability to harness advances in sensing and computing technologies and develop automated systems which facilitate rapid and reliable detection and monitoring of potential threats in our air, sea, and land space. Such systems assist our defence personnel in the event of a threat to implement measured and effective responses, and ultimately enhance Australia's operational adva ....Efficient Algorithms for Multiple Object Filtering using Stochastic Geometry. The outcomes of this project will enhance our ability to harness advances in sensing and computing technologies and develop automated systems which facilitate rapid and reliable detection and monitoring of potential threats in our air, sea, and land space. Such systems assist our defence personnel in the event of a threat to implement measured and effective responses, and ultimately enhance Australia's operational advantage, in line with the national research priority of 'Safeguarding Australia' and its associated priority goals. The developed technologies also have significant commercial potential which benefit Australian industries in areas such as robotics, automotive safety and biomedical engineering.Read moreRead less
Performance evaluation and characterisation for filtering in multi-object system. The project falls within the National Research Priority of 'Safeguarding Australia' and associated research priority goal of 'Transforming Defence Technology'. The project outcomes will provide cutting edge technology in surveillance, and monitoring of potential threat in our air, sea, and land space. Fast, reliable information enable our personnel to make timely, intelligent judgements, and appropriate responses i ....Performance evaluation and characterisation for filtering in multi-object system. The project falls within the National Research Priority of 'Safeguarding Australia' and associated research priority goal of 'Transforming Defence Technology'. The project outcomes will provide cutting edge technology in surveillance, and monitoring of potential threat in our air, sea, and land space. Fast, reliable information enable our personnel to make timely, intelligent judgements, and appropriate responses in the event of a threat, thereby maintaining Australia's operational advantage. Other application areas that benefits from our research include radar, sonar, guidance, navigation, air traffic control, image processing, oceanography, autonomous vehicles and robotics, remote sensing, and biomedical research.
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Modelling patient flows through hospitals: optimizing effective use of resources. Hospitals are complex, dynamic systems confronted by increased demand in the face of shrinking real capacity. Managing such systems is currently undertaken with sub-optimal analytical support, particularly when demand and capacity are changing and resources must be manipulated to respond to such changes. In this project, the investigators will apply a mathematical modelling approach to the analysis of hospital pati ....Modelling patient flows through hospitals: optimizing effective use of resources. Hospitals are complex, dynamic systems confronted by increased demand in the face of shrinking real capacity. Managing such systems is currently undertaken with sub-optimal analytical support, particularly when demand and capacity are changing and resources must be manipulated to respond to such changes. In this project, the investigators will apply a mathematical modelling approach to the analysis of hospital patient flows. Furthermore, they will employ statistical process control methodologies to the problem of recognising and responding to changes in the flows, so that performance objectives are met. In doing this, they will give health service managers and clinicians a significant advantage in deciding how best to manage a constrained resource to maximize access, throughput and patient outcomes.Read moreRead less