Models for Australian Electricity Derivatives. Electricity derivatives, such as electricity futures and options are used to manage the risk associated with volatility in prices of electricity. This project aims to develop models for pricing electricity derivatives specifically suited for Australia. Because of the non-storable nature of electricity the standard option pricing principle of "no-arbitrage" does not apply to electricity options, such as caps and floors, but applies to options on elec ....Models for Australian Electricity Derivatives. Electricity derivatives, such as electricity futures and options are used to manage the risk associated with volatility in prices of electricity. This project aims to develop models for pricing electricity derivatives specifically suited for Australia. Because of the non-storable nature of electricity the standard option pricing principle of "no-arbitrage" does not apply to electricity options, such as caps and floors, but applies to options on electricity futures. Therefore a specific model is needed that takes into account the pricing principle of "no-arbitrage" and combines it with other factors that drive electricity prices. The novel element in this proposal is incorporation of the weather forecasts into the models for electricity options. As a result of this study appropriate models for electricity derivatives for various geographical regions in Australia will be developed.Read moreRead less
Modelling patient flows through hospitals: optimizing effective use of resources. Hospitals are complex, dynamic systems confronted by increased demand in the face of shrinking real capacity. Managing such systems is currently undertaken with sub-optimal analytical support, particularly when demand and capacity are changing and resources must be manipulated to respond to such changes. In this project, the investigators will apply a mathematical modelling approach to the analysis of hospital pati ....Modelling patient flows through hospitals: optimizing effective use of resources. Hospitals are complex, dynamic systems confronted by increased demand in the face of shrinking real capacity. Managing such systems is currently undertaken with sub-optimal analytical support, particularly when demand and capacity are changing and resources must be manipulated to respond to such changes. In this project, the investigators will apply a mathematical modelling approach to the analysis of hospital patient flows. Furthermore, they will employ statistical process control methodologies to the problem of recognising and responding to changes in the flows, so that performance objectives are met. In doing this, they will give health service managers and clinicians a significant advantage in deciding how best to manage a constrained resource to maximize access, throughput and patient outcomes.Read moreRead less
Centre for Mathematical and Statistical Modelling of Complex Systems. This Centre, formed by a group of high-profile researchers, brings expertise from linked but hitherto disparate areas together. It will place Australia at the forefront of research into complex systems.
The mission of the Centre is to stimulate research in mathematical and statistical modelling of complex systems and to encourage cross-fertilisation of ideas and techniques. The specific objectives are
- to formulate and ana ....Centre for Mathematical and Statistical Modelling of Complex Systems. This Centre, formed by a group of high-profile researchers, brings expertise from linked but hitherto disparate areas together. It will place Australia at the forefront of research into complex systems.
The mission of the Centre is to stimulate research in mathematical and statistical modelling of complex systems and to encourage cross-fertilisation of ideas and techniques. The specific objectives are
- to formulate and analyse mathematical and statistical models for natural and artificial complex systems,
- to use these models to develop an understanding of the behaviour of these systems
- to incorporate this understanding into strategies for management and control.Read moreRead less
Control of Markov jumping processes with constraints. The project outcomes will constitute the set of tools for modelling and optimisation of complex stochastic systems and will lead to new and more precise characterisations of optimal behaviour of complex controllable systems arising in Resource Management, Engineering and Telecommunications. Therefore, the project fits to the research priority areas Breakthrough Science and Frontier Technologies in the topic of mathematical modelling and optim ....Control of Markov jumping processes with constraints. The project outcomes will constitute the set of tools for modelling and optimisation of complex stochastic systems and will lead to new and more precise characterisations of optimal behaviour of complex controllable systems arising in Resource Management, Engineering and Telecommunications. Therefore, the project fits to the research priority areas Breakthrough Science and Frontier Technologies in the topic of mathematical modelling and optimisation of Complex Systems.Read moreRead less
The Time-Varying Eigenvalue Problem with Application to Signal Processing and Control. Linear models are ubiquitous in representing physical processes. Decomposing a linear model into its fundamental components is known as the eigenvalue problem. In applications as wide ranging as astronomy, aircraft control systems, Internet search engines and communication systems, it is necessary to perform this decomposition of a pertinent time varying linear model on the fly. This project aims to develop si ....The Time-Varying Eigenvalue Problem with Application to Signal Processing and Control. Linear models are ubiquitous in representing physical processes. Decomposing a linear model into its fundamental components is known as the eigenvalue problem. In applications as wide ranging as astronomy, aircraft control systems, Internet search engines and communication systems, it is necessary to perform this decomposition of a pertinent time varying linear model on the fly. This project aims to develop significantly faster and more accurate algorithms for this time varying eigenvalue problem than currently exist. Very modern techniques will be employed to achieve this aim, and the potential benefits to Australian hi-tech industries are great.
Read moreRead less
Modelling, Identification and Control of Complex Networks. Australia has been well known for its leading research in systems and control and many real-world applications in, for instance, telecommunications, defence, power grids and life sciences. This project will further promote Australia's leading position in the emerging new research field - complex networks by theoretical breakthrough in modelling, identification and control of complex networks, and cutting-edge platform technology that can ....Modelling, Identification and Control of Complex Networks. Australia has been well known for its leading research in systems and control and many real-world applications in, for instance, telecommunications, defence, power grids and life sciences. This project will further promote Australia's leading position in the emerging new research field - complex networks by theoretical breakthrough in modelling, identification and control of complex networks, and cutting-edge platform technology that can help Australian energy industry to reduce greenhouse emissions. It will also result in education of the next generation research leaders in this emerging field.Read moreRead less
The estimation of genotype-phenotype relationships from family data and of animal abundance from capture-recapture data with frequent capture occasions: A semiparametric approach. Semiparametric statistical methods allow researchers to only model those features of their data that are of interest, but still allow standard statistical inferences to be made about these features. The aim here is to develop non standard applications of semiparametric statistical methods in the estimation of genotype ....The estimation of genotype-phenotype relationships from family data and of animal abundance from capture-recapture data with frequent capture occasions: A semiparametric approach. Semiparametric statistical methods allow researchers to only model those features of their data that are of interest, but still allow standard statistical inferences to be made about these features. The aim here is to develop non standard applications of semiparametric statistical methods in the estimation of genotype-phenotype relationships from family data and the estimation of animal abundance from capture-recapture data. The methods will be applied to real data and their theoretical properties developed. The practical significance of the project is the flexible new statistical methods that will become available to researchers. The theoretical significance will be the insights into semiparametric methods gained by developing these nonstandard applications. The expected outcomes are the new statistical procedures and the resulting theoretical insights into semiparametric statistics.Read moreRead less
Special Research Initiatives - Grant ID: SR0354466
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$20,000.00
Summary
Mathematics in Contemporary Science. The Mathematics in Contemporary Science Research Network brings contemporary methods of non-linear analysis and differential equations, geometric reasoning and relevant algebraic and topological ideas to enrich six application areas in modern science: Complex Systems, Computer Vision, Optimal Transportation, Nanotechnology, Physics and Shortest Networks. MiCS will develop both the mathematics and the application areas in parallel. It will focus on postgradu ....Mathematics in Contemporary Science. The Mathematics in Contemporary Science Research Network brings contemporary methods of non-linear analysis and differential equations, geometric reasoning and relevant algebraic and topological ideas to enrich six application areas in modern science: Complex Systems, Computer Vision, Optimal Transportation, Nanotechnology, Physics and Shortest Networks. MiCS will develop both the mathematics and the application areas in parallel. It will focus on postgraduate training through workshops, summer schools and web based resources and build long-term international collaborations with EU networks and NSERC, NSF and EPSRC institutes as well as bringing together academic and industry leaders.Read moreRead less
Stein's method for probability approximation. Data of counts in time, such as incoming calls in telecommunications and the clusters of palindromes in a family of herpes-virus genomes, arise in an extraordinarily diverse range of fields from science to business. These problems can be modelled by sums of random variables taking values 0 and 1 in probability theory, thus permitting approximate calculations which are often good enough in practice. This project will obtain such approximate solutions ....Stein's method for probability approximation. Data of counts in time, such as incoming calls in telecommunications and the clusters of palindromes in a family of herpes-virus genomes, arise in an extraordinarily diverse range of fields from science to business. These problems can be modelled by sums of random variables taking values 0 and 1 in probability theory, thus permitting approximate calculations which are often good enough in practice. This project will obtain such approximate solutions and estimate the errors involved. Applications include analysis of data in insurance, finance, flood prediction in hydrology.Read moreRead less
The role of magnetic fields in star formation. Recently we have performed the world's first calculations of star cluster formation that incorporate the effects of magnetic fields and radiation. This research has recently been brought back to Australia and the goal of this proposal is to extend our competitive edge in this area.
Whilst calculations of the formation of stars gives us fundamental understanding about a very basic physical process in the universe (namely, the conversion of gas into s ....The role of magnetic fields in star formation. Recently we have performed the world's first calculations of star cluster formation that incorporate the effects of magnetic fields and radiation. This research has recently been brought back to Australia and the goal of this proposal is to extend our competitive edge in this area.
Whilst calculations of the formation of stars gives us fundamental understanding about a very basic physical process in the universe (namely, the conversion of gas into stars), the equations we solve and the methods used to solve them, are the same as those used to describe many gases and fluids on earth. Solving these equations in difficult astrophysical regimes develops new methodology which translates readily to earth-bound problems.Read moreRead less