Efficient pooling of cross-section and time series data using Bayesian machine learning with two econometric applications. In this project, we adapt a Bayesian modelling strategy, namely the minimum message length principle, to the problem of efficient partitioning of economic units, such as firms or countries, into groups whose behavioural patterns are similar within each group but distinct across groups. This methodology can incorporate the requirements of economic theory. The resulting softwa ....Efficient pooling of cross-section and time series data using Bayesian machine learning with two econometric applications. In this project, we adapt a Bayesian modelling strategy, namely the minimum message length principle, to the problem of efficient partitioning of economic units, such as firms or countries, into groups whose behavioural patterns are similar within each group but distinct across groups. This methodology can incorporate the requirements of economic theory. The resulting software will be developed for the Web. We consider two specific applications, namely modelling gasoline demand in OECD countries, and finding the foreign factor with the most predictive power for the growth rate of the Australian economy. The second application is of considerable national interest.Read moreRead less
Job retention and advancement of disadvantaged job-seekers. This project will use empirical methods to help determine what is necessary for job retainment and career advancement of disadvantaged jobseekers. Job retainment and advancement are essential to prolonged workforce participation and the development of human capital of disadvantaged jobseekers re-entering the workforce. Understanding and supporting the drivers of workforce participation is identified as a National Research Priority. Ther ....Job retention and advancement of disadvantaged job-seekers. This project will use empirical methods to help determine what is necessary for job retainment and career advancement of disadvantaged jobseekers. Job retainment and advancement are essential to prolonged workforce participation and the development of human capital of disadvantaged jobseekers re-entering the workforce. Understanding and supporting the drivers of workforce participation is identified as a National Research Priority. Therefore, the project findings will be of considerable importance to employment policy development in Australia to help ensure that future policy developments improve the human capital of disadvantaged entrants to the labour market and alleviate longer-term poverty and social exclusion. Read moreRead less
Understanding the Labour Market for Professional Nurses: An Economic Analysis of Skill Shortages, Nurse Retention and Turnover. There is currently a worldwide shortage of nurses. This shortage is particularly acute in a number of publicly dominated health care systems including the Australian, British and Canadian systems. Given that nurses are a key input in the production of health care and therefore health, the need to address this issue by increasing the number of school-leavers entering the ....Understanding the Labour Market for Professional Nurses: An Economic Analysis of Skill Shortages, Nurse Retention and Turnover. There is currently a worldwide shortage of nurses. This shortage is particularly acute in a number of publicly dominated health care systems including the Australian, British and Canadian systems. Given that nurses are a key input in the production of health care and therefore health, the need to address this issue by increasing the number of school-leavers entering the profession and/or improving the retention of training nurses is of paramount importance. This project will use high quality cross-sectional and longitudinal data on nurses to provide a detailed investigation of the retention and turnover behaviour of nurses and inform the policy debate.Read moreRead less
An econometric analysis of the impact of education on health in developing countries. This project will provide empirical knowledge on whether education affects health over the life course in developing countries. This research will aid the design of more cost effective strategies aiming to reduce poverty and promote economic development, which will ultimately lead to a more prosperous and safe region and world.
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE130100255
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$362,895.00
Summary
How costly is an unhealthy start in life? An econometric analysis of childhood health and adult prosperity. Knowledge on the consequences of poor health is crucial for effective allocation of public health funds. The project will investigate the long term costs of poor childhood health by quantifying the impacts of childhood illness on future economic prosperity. The analysis will employ advanced statistical techniques and high quality Australian data.
Economic Reform and Australian Electoral Decision Making. Australia has undergone dramatic economic, demographic and social change in the past twenty years. This project will investigate how these changes have impacted upon elector behaviour. With compulsory voting, comprehensive census data and the Australian Election Study an uniquely detailed dataset can be constructed. This dataset and the application of ?cutting edge? statistical techniques from the fields of cohort analysis and discrete ch ....Economic Reform and Australian Electoral Decision Making. Australia has undergone dramatic economic, demographic and social change in the past twenty years. This project will investigate how these changes have impacted upon elector behaviour. With compulsory voting, comprehensive census data and the Australian Election Study an uniquely detailed dataset can be constructed. This dataset and the application of ?cutting edge? statistical techniques from the fields of cohort analysis and discrete choice modelling will allow for the untangling of various influences on voter behaviour. With compulsory voting many biases due to voter turnout issues will be avoided making this project an unbiased test, with international interest and significance, of voter behaviour.Read moreRead less
Econometric model building and estimation. This project aims to tackle issues in econometric model building and estimation under cross sectional dependence, heterogeneity and nonlinearity. This project will seek to establish flexible econometric models associated with estimation methods and user-friendly computational techniques to try to solve real world problems. The research outcomes are expected to be useful to empirical researchers in evaluating and improving model building and forecasting ....Econometric model building and estimation. This project aims to tackle issues in econometric model building and estimation under cross sectional dependence, heterogeneity and nonlinearity. This project will seek to establish flexible econometric models associated with estimation methods and user-friendly computational techniques to try to solve real world problems. The research outcomes are expected to be useful to empirical researchers in evaluating and improving model building and forecasting from better models in climatology, demography, economics, environment, finance, machine learning and neural networks.Read moreRead less
Insecure Work and the Mental Health of Workers and their Families. This project aims to explore the relationship between insecure work and mental health by applying advanced econometric methods to large survey and administrative datasets, and newly collected survey data. This project expects to provide causal policy-relevant estimates of how insecure work is affecting the wellbeing of workers and their families, and for whom the effects are most harmful. It also expects to inform on how poor men ....Insecure Work and the Mental Health of Workers and their Families. This project aims to explore the relationship between insecure work and mental health by applying advanced econometric methods to large survey and administrative datasets, and newly collected survey data. This project expects to provide causal policy-relevant estimates of how insecure work is affecting the wellbeing of workers and their families, and for whom the effects are most harmful. It also expects to inform on how poor mental health influences the types of jobs that people enter into. This should provide significant benefits, including evidence needed to improve existing workplace and employment programs, and evidence ensuring that assistance is efficiently targeted to those workers and industries with the greatest need.Read moreRead less
Living on the Margin: The Relationship between Mental Health and Work in Australia. This project will assess the relationship between Australians' mental health and their work, for example, employment status, work conditions and hours. The study is the first to exploit the detailed timing of mental health and employment transitions to identify whether poor labour market outcomes lead to poor mental health or whether the reverse is true. New Australian data will be used to understand whether the ....Living on the Margin: The Relationship between Mental Health and Work in Australia. This project will assess the relationship between Australians' mental health and their work, for example, employment status, work conditions and hours. The study is the first to exploit the detailed timing of mental health and employment transitions to identify whether poor labour market outcomes lead to poor mental health or whether the reverse is true. New Australian data will be used to understand whether the link between mental health and work adds to the economic vulnerability of families and those at risk of homelessness. The results will advance our understanding of the way that mental health affects overall economic well-being and will inform current policy initiatives to promote economic participation and good mental health.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE180100438
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$402,996.00
Summary
Children's time investments, cognitive development and health. This project aims to understand time investment decisions of children and adolescents. There is a need for more robust evidence on the combination of time investments that improve early cognitive skills and well being. Using advanced econometric techniques and longitudinal data, this project expects to generate new knowledge on how children and adolescents spend their time, and how such time investments affect their health and cognit ....Children's time investments, cognitive development and health. This project aims to understand time investment decisions of children and adolescents. There is a need for more robust evidence on the combination of time investments that improve early cognitive skills and well being. Using advanced econometric techniques and longitudinal data, this project expects to generate new knowledge on how children and adolescents spend their time, and how such time investments affect their health and cognitive development. Expected outcomes of this project include a greater understanding of the early determinants of health and economic inequalities. This will contribute to the development of effective policies for improving educational outcomes, preventing harmful behaviours and promoting health and well being.Read moreRead less