Endgame: managing superannuation in later life. This project aims to come up with strategies for improving superannuation advice for the elderly - including retirees, and also those on the cusp of retirement, who often have little or no scope for working harder or longer to restore their finances. It applies recent developments in financial economics to improve the quality of financial planning advice.
Information Content of Order Flows in the Foreign Exchange and Commodities Markets. The Australian economy depends heavily on resources and commodities markets. The Australian dollar is the sixth most actively traded currency in the world and is more volatile than all other major currencies except the Japanese yen. The proposed study seeks to improve volatility forecasts and hedging effectiveness for foreign exchange and commodity risks, which will create significant benefits for the Australian ....Information Content of Order Flows in the Foreign Exchange and Commodities Markets. The Australian economy depends heavily on resources and commodities markets. The Australian dollar is the sixth most actively traded currency in the world and is more volatile than all other major currencies except the Japanese yen. The proposed study seeks to improve volatility forecasts and hedging effectiveness for foreign exchange and commodity risks, which will create significant benefits for the Australian economy, corporations, and investors. In addition, the project will enhance investment performance and risk management practice of financial institutions, improving the overall safety of our financial system. It will also foster research culture and increase research capacity of Australian financial institutions.Read moreRead less
Discovery Early Career Researcher Award - Grant ID: DE150101889
Funder
Australian Research Council
Funding Amount
$350,000.00
Summary
Insider trading in financial markets. Insider trading destroys confidence in financial markets and undermines their fairness and efficiency. Substantial amounts of taxpayer money are spent each year in combatting insider trading, and yet cases of insider trading remain abundant. This project aims to advance our understanding of insider trading, its prevalence, social costs, characteristics and determinants, and how it responds to different penalties. This project aims to allow for more efficient ....Insider trading in financial markets. Insider trading destroys confidence in financial markets and undermines their fairness and efficiency. Substantial amounts of taxpayer money are spent each year in combatting insider trading, and yet cases of insider trading remain abundant. This project aims to advance our understanding of insider trading, its prevalence, social costs, characteristics and determinants, and how it responds to different penalties. This project aims to allow for more efficient use of regulatory resources through better rules, more accurate detection methods, and increased deterrence. It aims to benefit society through fairer and more efficient markets.Read moreRead less
Chief executive officer pay, incentives, talent and risk-taking: Excessive pay, regulation and the global financial crisis. The Prime Minister has requested the regulators, APRA and Treasury, to come up with rules that would prevent a repeat of the trillion dollar bailouts and guarantees to the financial sector and banks at risk of failure. Excessive pay and risk-taking by bank executives shoulder made the blame for the global crisis that has already cost Australian investors and taxpayers a siz ....Chief executive officer pay, incentives, talent and risk-taking: Excessive pay, regulation and the global financial crisis. The Prime Minister has requested the regulators, APRA and Treasury, to come up with rules that would prevent a repeat of the trillion dollar bailouts and guarantees to the financial sector and banks at risk of failure. Excessive pay and risk-taking by bank executives shoulder made the blame for the global crisis that has already cost Australian investors and taxpayers a sizeable portion of the nation's wealth. The project will greatly assist the regulators in this task. It will also identify compensation practices that reward good long-term performance without excessive pay. This could dramatically raise the performance of Australian companies and ameliorate the problem of dissatisfied investors and taxpayers.Read moreRead less
Back door listings: from hot rocks to hot stocks. The purpose of this research is to explain the incidence, characteristics and performance of firms who engaged in back door listings in the late 1990s. A back door listings is a means whereby a private company becomes listed by a merger with a public corporation.
We are focussing on a research topic that has not been examined at all in academic research. This is despite the significance of the going public process and mergers. We will provide e ....Back door listings: from hot rocks to hot stocks. The purpose of this research is to explain the incidence, characteristics and performance of firms who engaged in back door listings in the late 1990s. A back door listings is a means whereby a private company becomes listed by a merger with a public corporation.
We are focussing on a research topic that has not been examined at all in academic research. This is despite the significance of the going public process and mergers. We will provide evidence on the performance of back door listings, and our results will be the basis of suggestions to market regulators and future researchers.Read moreRead less
The predictive, behavioural and economic forecasting performance of alternative credit risk and bankruptcy models: a global study. This study empirically evaluates a range of "new age" credit risk models using a large global sample of failed firms and bond ratings data. The study will provide a substantive body of empirical evidence to assist regulators, creditors, investors and other users assess the merits, strengths and limitations of alternative risk modelling approaches.
Deep learning based time series modeling and financial forecasting. This project pursues breakthroughs in time series modelling and develops novel statistical models and inference techniques, with a focus on modelling of financial time series data. The advances will be achieved through interdisciplinary research, combining recent advances in machine learning, Bayesian computation, financial econometrics and the increasing availability of Big Data. The outcomes will provide a new range of proven ....Deep learning based time series modeling and financial forecasting. This project pursues breakthroughs in time series modelling and develops novel statistical models and inference techniques, with a focus on modelling of financial time series data. The advances will be achieved through interdisciplinary research, combining recent advances in machine learning, Bayesian computation, financial econometrics and the increasing availability of Big Data. The outcomes will provide a new range of proven and powerful approaches for analysing time series and understanding time effects. The methodologies developed will lead to a greater accuracy in financial forecasting and risk management, and open up new horizons for the wider scientific community to analyse time series data.Read moreRead less
Risk management with real-time financial and business conditions indicators. This project will develop new methods that combine financial and macroeconomic information that arrives at different intervals to better understand the implications of this information for risk management and policy decision-making. This will support better risk management strategies especially when economic conditions are very volatile.
Managing the risk of price spikes, dependences and contagion effects in australian electricity markets. Australian electricity markets are more volatile and spike-prone than other comparable markets. Price spikes account for large parts of total price variation, and companies that are unprepared to manage these risks adequately face potentially substantial losses. The economic reality of price spikes in our interconnected electricity markets which are small and geographically isolated, unlike th ....Managing the risk of price spikes, dependences and contagion effects in australian electricity markets. Australian electricity markets are more volatile and spike-prone than other comparable markets. Price spikes account for large parts of total price variation, and companies that are unprepared to manage these risks adequately face potentially substantial losses. The economic reality of price spikes in our interconnected electricity markets which are small and geographically isolated, unlike the proximate markets of Europe and North America, emphasises the imperative of this Australian-focused research. Results will enable forecasting of extreme prices and enable market participants to manage better their risks, in Australia's unique electricity environment, and reduce chances of large losses or default.Read moreRead less
Diversification failures and improved measures of uncertainty. The project aims to develop new statistical tools, applicable when the conventional paradigm that diversification reduces risk fails and when textbook approaches to risk quantification severely under-report risk. The new tools enhance our capacity to build and manage natural, social and human-made systems in uncertain environments. Our effective response to many threats including financial crises and natural events, depends on this c ....Diversification failures and improved measures of uncertainty. The project aims to develop new statistical tools, applicable when the conventional paradigm that diversification reduces risk fails and when textbook approaches to risk quantification severely under-report risk. The new tools enhance our capacity to build and manage natural, social and human-made systems in uncertain environments. Our effective response to many threats including financial crises and natural events, depends on this capacity. Thus, the expected benefits in the form of more reliable and robust risk analytics will accrue when they are most needed.Read moreRead less