Economic consequences for Australia of global demographic change. In addition to addressing the economic implications of declining fertility and mortality in Australia this study will analyse major changes in demographic behaviour in regions on which Australia's economic health depends and the consequent changes in the flow of migrants into Australia. A new mathematical model of global population change will be integrated into the standard GTAP-dynamic model of global economic performance to pr ....Economic consequences for Australia of global demographic change. In addition to addressing the economic implications of declining fertility and mortality in Australia this study will analyse major changes in demographic behaviour in regions on which Australia's economic health depends and the consequent changes in the flow of migrants into Australia. A new mathematical model of global population change will be integrated into the standard GTAP-dynamic model of global economic performance to provide a useful tool for future analysis of Australia's population and economic policies. The analysis will contribute to policy development and the models will be widely available to policy institutions for their use.Read moreRead less
Population ageing, labour mobility and sustainability of China's economic growth - a dynamic general equilibrium analysis. China is Australia's second largest trading partner. This project will enable Australian policymakers and business partners to gain better understanding of China's macroeconomic performance between 2008 and 2030. Secondly, China is the second largest source of immigrants to Australia. Given that Australia's population is ageing and labour shortages are expected, Australia ma ....Population ageing, labour mobility and sustainability of China's economic growth - a dynamic general equilibrium analysis. China is Australia's second largest trading partner. This project will enable Australian policymakers and business partners to gain better understanding of China's macroeconomic performance between 2008 and 2030. Secondly, China is the second largest source of immigrants to Australia. Given that Australia's population is ageing and labour shortages are expected, Australia may benefit increasingly from the flow of Chinese immigrants. The project will provide Australian policymakers with detailed labour supply forecasts in China disaggregated by age, sex, sector and region that will enable them to develop targeted immigration policies and effectively harness the flow of Chinese emigrants to Australia.Read moreRead less