Nonlinear Panel Data Econometrics: Theory and Practice. This research addresses the ARC National Research Priorities Goal of 'An Environmentally Sustainable Australia', specifically 'Reducing and capturing emissions in transport and energy generation'. Avoiding, managing, and/or adapting to the climate change impacts is now the most pressing global environmental problem. This project will produce tangible and original insights into policy options for institutional adjustment to future climate ....Nonlinear Panel Data Econometrics: Theory and Practice. This research addresses the ARC National Research Priorities Goal of 'An Environmentally Sustainable Australia', specifically 'Reducing and capturing emissions in transport and energy generation'. Avoiding, managing, and/or adapting to the climate change impacts is now the most pressing global environmental problem. This project will produce tangible and original insights into policy options for institutional adjustment to future climate change in Australia; will provide insight into the scope for positive community behavioural change; and possible transformations in Australian social debate to maximise adaptive capacity. It will also strengthen and produce original conceptual approaches and research methods.Read moreRead less
Identification and inference in nonparametric models. This project will develop reliable methods for identification, estimation and inference of nonparametric models for the evaluation of economic policies on outcome variables of interest. This econometric methodology will allow a better understanding of the quantitative effects of an economic policy which will result in better informed policy decisions. The results will have applications to labour market policies, health care policies and educa ....Identification and inference in nonparametric models. This project will develop reliable methods for identification, estimation and inference of nonparametric models for the evaluation of economic policies on outcome variables of interest. This econometric methodology will allow a better understanding of the quantitative effects of an economic policy which will result in better informed policy decisions. The results will have applications to labour market policies, health care policies and education policies among others. The project will also provide national benefits in terms of building up the local stock of researchers trained in the area of identification and estimation of nonparametric models; it will further improve the international reputation that Australia has in econometric theory.Read moreRead less
Estimating and Testing Heterogeneous Structural Changes. This project aims to develop new methods of extracting non-central, irregular patterns from data, and to detect such patterns in climate data and city-level racial composition data. The project expects to have methodological and empirical contributions, propose innovative data-driven approaches, and extract important features of climate and racial-composition data. The anticipated outcomes of this project are new methods of measuring the r ....Estimating and Testing Heterogeneous Structural Changes. This project aims to develop new methods of extracting non-central, irregular patterns from data, and to detect such patterns in climate data and city-level racial composition data. The project expects to have methodological and empirical contributions, propose innovative data-driven approaches, and extract important features of climate and racial-composition data. The anticipated outcomes of this project are new methods of measuring the relationship between human activities and extreme weather, and for quantifying dynamic racial composition. These empirical results should demonstrate the substantial benefits of the new methods by presenting important empirical evidence for designing policies against extreme weather and racial segregation.Read moreRead less
Econometric model building and estimation. This project aims to tackle issues in econometric model building and estimation under cross sectional dependence, heterogeneity and nonlinearity. This project will seek to establish flexible econometric models associated with estimation methods and user-friendly computational techniques to try to solve real world problems. The research outcomes are expected to be useful to empirical researchers in evaluating and improving model building and forecasting ....Econometric model building and estimation. This project aims to tackle issues in econometric model building and estimation under cross sectional dependence, heterogeneity and nonlinearity. This project will seek to establish flexible econometric models associated with estimation methods and user-friendly computational techniques to try to solve real world problems. The research outcomes are expected to be useful to empirical researchers in evaluating and improving model building and forecasting from better models in climatology, demography, economics, environment, finance, machine learning and neural networks.Read moreRead less
Nonlinear spatial and spatiotemporal econometrics: theory with applications. Modern societies like Australia have major challenges in the forecasting, measuring and managing of risks associated with global economic and environmental/climate changes. These tasks require advanced econometric techniques in modelling and forecasting of complex nonlinear spatiotemporal variability in economic and social systems. This project will develop frontier econometric technologies that enable more accurate eco ....Nonlinear spatial and spatiotemporal econometrics: theory with applications. Modern societies like Australia have major challenges in the forecasting, measuring and managing of risks associated with global economic and environmental/climate changes. These tasks require advanced econometric techniques in modelling and forecasting of complex nonlinear spatiotemporal variability in economic and social systems. This project will develop frontier econometric technologies that enable more accurate economic and climate forecasts. The tools produced will provide Australia's scientists and policy-makers with a greater capacity to manage the risks associated with these challenges. A side-benefit of the research will be high-quality publications that enhance the nation's reputation in this cutting edge research.Read moreRead less
Economic Reform and Australian Electoral Decision Making. Australia has undergone dramatic economic, demographic and social change in the past twenty years. This project will investigate how these changes have impacted upon elector behaviour. With compulsory voting, comprehensive census data and the Australian Election Study an uniquely detailed dataset can be constructed. This dataset and the application of ?cutting edge? statistical techniques from the fields of cohort analysis and discrete ch ....Economic Reform and Australian Electoral Decision Making. Australia has undergone dramatic economic, demographic and social change in the past twenty years. This project will investigate how these changes have impacted upon elector behaviour. With compulsory voting, comprehensive census data and the Australian Election Study an uniquely detailed dataset can be constructed. This dataset and the application of ?cutting edge? statistical techniques from the fields of cohort analysis and discrete choice modelling will allow for the untangling of various influences on voter behaviour. With compulsory voting many biases due to voter turnout issues will be avoided making this project an unbiased test, with international interest and significance, of voter behaviour.Read moreRead less
Risk management and funding structures: an econometric panel data analysis of health insurance in Australia. This research analyses how subsidies to Australian health insurance, both public and private, vary by income, risk of loss, age and region. It will provide the necessary information to guide future health funding by analysing the equity and efficiency of existing subsidies and alternative subsidies related to individuals' risk of high health costs.
A new look at modelling population heterogeneity in econometric study. This research will advance existing quantitative techniques in economic study. New theoretical results will help enhance Australian research reputations. The innovative techniques developed in this project will be demonstrated to study labour force participation of people with disabilities in Australia. Findings of the empirical study will help governments in providing financial assistance to affected families and addressing ....A new look at modelling population heterogeneity in econometric study. This research will advance existing quantitative techniques in economic study. New theoretical results will help enhance Australian research reputations. The innovative techniques developed in this project will be demonstrated to study labour force participation of people with disabilities in Australia. Findings of the empirical study will help governments in providing financial assistance to affected families and addressing the issue of labour shortage in Australia. Furthermore the participation of a high profile international researcher will benefit the local research community and provide a research training opportunity for local postgraduate students.Read moreRead less
An Econometric Analysis of Labour Market, Health and Educational Consequences of Cannabis Use. This research will provide comprehensive empirical knowledge about the linkages between cannabis use, health, education, employment and earnings in Australia. Understanding these linkages is important because although cannabis is a commonly used drug, it is unclear how its use impacts on these important aspects of overall wellbeing and productivity. The knowledge gained from this research will contrib ....An Econometric Analysis of Labour Market, Health and Educational Consequences of Cannabis Use. This research will provide comprehensive empirical knowledge about the linkages between cannabis use, health, education, employment and earnings in Australia. Understanding these linkages is important because although cannabis is a commonly used drug, it is unclear how its use impacts on these important aspects of overall wellbeing and productivity. The knowledge gained from this research will contribute towards designing policies that encourage Australians to make choices that lead to positive pathways, so that they may achieve healthy lifetime outcomes. Productive and healthy outcomes for individuals will contribute to healthy economic outcomes for Australia.Read moreRead less
Partial Identification of Treatment Effects in Binary Response Models with Applications in Health Economics. The broad objectives of this project are to study the issues of partial identification in the context of models involving binary endogenous treatment variables and binary outcomes, and to investigate the implications for econometric estimation of policy effects in empirical economics. Identified sets for treatment effects for several Australian health economic applications will be estimat ....Partial Identification of Treatment Effects in Binary Response Models with Applications in Health Economics. The broad objectives of this project are to study the issues of partial identification in the context of models involving binary endogenous treatment variables and binary outcomes, and to investigate the implications for econometric estimation of policy effects in empirical economics. Identified sets for treatment effects for several Australian health economic applications will be estimated and compared with conventional point identified estimates. Performance of alternative bound estimators will be examined and particular attention given to the issue of the weakness of the instruments and the size of the bounds. The new theoretical developments in this literature have significant implications for empirical economics.Read moreRead less