Nonlinear Panel Data Econometrics: Theory and Practice. This research addresses the ARC National Research Priorities Goal of 'An Environmentally Sustainable Australia', specifically 'Reducing and capturing emissions in transport and energy generation'. Avoiding, managing, and/or adapting to the climate change impacts is now the most pressing global environmental problem. This project will produce tangible and original insights into policy options for institutional adjustment to future climate ....Nonlinear Panel Data Econometrics: Theory and Practice. This research addresses the ARC National Research Priorities Goal of 'An Environmentally Sustainable Australia', specifically 'Reducing and capturing emissions in transport and energy generation'. Avoiding, managing, and/or adapting to the climate change impacts is now the most pressing global environmental problem. This project will produce tangible and original insights into policy options for institutional adjustment to future climate change in Australia; will provide insight into the scope for positive community behavioural change; and possible transformations in Australian social debate to maximise adaptive capacity. It will also strengthen and produce original conceptual approaches and research methods.Read moreRead less
Modelling Dynamic Correlations in the Volatility of Patents and Technical Change. National/community benefits include a clearer understanding of the relation between patents and industrial innovation, measuring the effects of patents on technical change, economic growth and job creation, and analysing their fluctuations over time. The project analyses the variability in technological innovations, measures the impact of innovations on total output and key factors of production, namely labour, cap ....Modelling Dynamic Correlations in the Volatility of Patents and Technical Change. National/community benefits include a clearer understanding of the relation between patents and industrial innovation, measuring the effects of patents on technical change, economic growth and job creation, and analysing their fluctuations over time. The project analyses the variability in technological innovations, measures the impact of innovations on total output and key factors of production, namely labour, capital, energy and materials, and emphasizes the usefulness of the results. Expected outcomes include changing current ideas regarding output generation, understanding broad issues underlying patents and their variability, advancing multi-disciplinary knowledge, using information intelligently and promoting a culture of innovation.Read moreRead less
Quantifying Country Credit Risk Ratings and Volatility, and Measuring the Impact of Fundamentals. National/community benefits include developing a superior quantifiable ratings method to the qualitative rankings produced by leading international country credit risk ratings agencies, measuring the impact of economic/financial fundamentals on risk ratings, and analysing their fluctuations across countries and risk categories over time. The project provides a solution to the major problems underlyi ....Quantifying Country Credit Risk Ratings and Volatility, and Measuring the Impact of Fundamentals. National/community benefits include developing a superior quantifiable ratings method to the qualitative rankings produced by leading international country credit risk ratings agencies, measuring the impact of economic/financial fundamentals on risk ratings, and analysing their fluctuations across countries and risk categories over time. The project provides a solution to the major problems underlying qualitative country risk ratings, namely the irregularity and infrequency of their measurement, and emphasizes the practicality of the results. Expected outcomes include a clearer understanding of how to quantify qualitative rankings and their fluctuations, using information intelligently, and promoting an innovation and knowledge culture.Read moreRead less
Modelling stock market liquidity in Australia and the Asia Pacific Region. This project will develop new methods of assessing stock market liquidity in Australia and the Asia-Pacific region. These methods will use high frequency transactions-based data provided by the industry partner, SIRCA. The data will be the basis of smart information real time algorithms for measuring market liquidity. They will incorporate generalizations and extensions of recent developments in time series econometrics, ....Modelling stock market liquidity in Australia and the Asia Pacific Region. This project will develop new methods of assessing stock market liquidity in Australia and the Asia-Pacific region. These methods will use high frequency transactions-based data provided by the industry partner, SIRCA. The data will be the basis of smart information real time algorithms for measuring market liquidity. They will incorporate generalizations and extensions of recent developments in time series econometrics, and will be calibrated and evaluated statistically. The novel methods will be crucial to market participants and to regulators, who will be able to apply them to assess market depth and liquidity, and reduce trading costs substantially.Read moreRead less
ARC Financial Integrity Research Network. The integrity of the financial system is constantly under stress because of the development of ever more complex financial instruments, structures and strategies, and the associated research technologies that continues to accelerate worldwide. FIRN's vision is to harness the considerable strengths of Australia's internationally renowned finance, accounting and economics researchers into a research agenda to address issues concerning the integrity of the ....ARC Financial Integrity Research Network. The integrity of the financial system is constantly under stress because of the development of ever more complex financial instruments, structures and strategies, and the associated research technologies that continues to accelerate worldwide. FIRN's vision is to harness the considerable strengths of Australia's internationally renowned finance, accounting and economics researchers into a research agenda to address issues concerning the integrity of the financial system. It will enable Australian research in this area to match the scale and impact of similar research in other major international financial centres, and play an essential role in placing Australia among the world's leaders in financial markets related research.Read moreRead less
Stochastic Index Numbers and Their Application in Accounting, Economics and Finance. Index numbers of prices, such as the Consumer Price Index and the All Ordinaries Index, are among the most important economic statistics for the whole economy. But despite their importance, currently constructed price indexes do not use all the information available in the underlying price data, namely the dispersion among the individual prices. This project will develop and apply a methodology for a new approa ....Stochastic Index Numbers and Their Application in Accounting, Economics and Finance. Index numbers of prices, such as the Consumer Price Index and the All Ordinaries Index, are among the most important economic statistics for the whole economy. But despite their importance, currently constructed price indexes do not use all the information available in the underlying price data, namely the dispersion among the individual prices. This project will develop and apply a methodology for a new approach to index numbers that incorporates this information and leads to tractable ways of estimating the whole distribution of the index value, rather than just one number. The practical usefulness of this mthodology will be demonstrated with applications in accounting (sustainable earnings), economics (real exchange rates) and finance (share prices).Read moreRead less
Entropic Analysis of Financial Risk and Uncertainty. The recent financial crisis has shown that the financial markets are not as stable as expected, and are at risk from a lack of knowledge about new financial products and their risks. This research provides a framework to better measure and forecast financial risks by applying a set of techniques known collectively as entropic analysis as a novel way to measure the amount of information that can be extracted from historical data. The research w ....Entropic Analysis of Financial Risk and Uncertainty. The recent financial crisis has shown that the financial markets are not as stable as expected, and are at risk from a lack of knowledge about new financial products and their risks. This research provides a framework to better measure and forecast financial risks by applying a set of techniques known collectively as entropic analysis as a novel way to measure the amount of information that can be extracted from historical data. The research will facilitate the design of policies and regulations by regulatory authorities that need to evaluate new financial products, their associated risks and their impacts on the financial markets.Read moreRead less
Nonlinear spatial and spatiotemporal econometrics: theory with applications. Modern societies like Australia have major challenges in the forecasting, measuring and managing of risks associated with global economic and environmental/climate changes. These tasks require advanced econometric techniques in modelling and forecasting of complex nonlinear spatiotemporal variability in economic and social systems. This project will develop frontier econometric technologies that enable more accurate eco ....Nonlinear spatial and spatiotemporal econometrics: theory with applications. Modern societies like Australia have major challenges in the forecasting, measuring and managing of risks associated with global economic and environmental/climate changes. These tasks require advanced econometric techniques in modelling and forecasting of complex nonlinear spatiotemporal variability in economic and social systems. This project will develop frontier econometric technologies that enable more accurate economic and climate forecasts. The tools produced will provide Australia's scientists and policy-makers with a greater capacity to manage the risks associated with these challenges. A side-benefit of the research will be high-quality publications that enhance the nation's reputation in this cutting edge research.Read moreRead less
Nonlinear and Nonstationary Time Series Econometrics: Theory and Applications. The outcomes of this project will not only complement but also enhance the existing research strengths of Australian researchers in time series econometrics. Such a research goal falls within the National Research Priority 3 (PG1). In addition, our models will be applicable in stablizing the national financial market for more accurate forecasts. This falls within the National Research Priority 3 (PG5). The research ou ....Nonlinear and Nonstationary Time Series Econometrics: Theory and Applications. The outcomes of this project will not only complement but also enhance the existing research strengths of Australian researchers in time series econometrics. Such a research goal falls within the National Research Priority 3 (PG1). In addition, our models will be applicable in stablizing the national financial market for more accurate forecasts. This falls within the National Research Priority 3 (PG5). The research outcomes will also provide novel models to respond to climate change and variability and to provide accurate warming estimates for improving the policy making process. This falls within the National Research Priority 1 (PG7) Read moreRead less
Modelling a portfolio of financial assets: structure, estimation, testing and forecasting. Information regarding financial returns and risk is essential for optimal portfolio selection and asset management. Returns and risk have typically been analysed for individual assets. The project provides a theoretical solution to the important practical problem of modelling a portfolio of financial assets in realistic situations. The significance of the research is the development of a new approach to an ....Modelling a portfolio of financial assets: structure, estimation, testing and forecasting. Information regarding financial returns and risk is essential for optimal portfolio selection and asset management. Returns and risk have typically been analysed for individual assets. The project provides a theoretical solution to the important practical problem of modelling a portfolio of financial assets in realistic situations. The significance of the research is the development of a new approach to analyse a portfolio of returns and risk, and the determination of its applicability using numerical simulation techniques. The expected outcomes are an optimal practical method for analysing a portfolio of assets, a scientific monograph, and publications in leading international journals.Read moreRead less