Supercomputer Simulation and Risk Evaluation of Tsunami Generation Induced by Earthquakes. New hotspot forecasts show that great earthquakes are likely to occur during the next decade in the Western Pacific north of New Zealand which potentially poses a tsunami risk to Australia. The project will enable this risk to be reliably assessed thereby providing the information needed to properly manage this risk thus addressing the national research priority: Safeguarding Australia. Building on extensi ....Supercomputer Simulation and Risk Evaluation of Tsunami Generation Induced by Earthquakes. New hotspot forecasts show that great earthquakes are likely to occur during the next decade in the Western Pacific north of New Zealand which potentially poses a tsunami risk to Australia. The project will enable this risk to be reliably assessed thereby providing the information needed to properly manage this risk thus addressing the national research priority: Safeguarding Australia. Building on extensive geo-data and Australia's forefront position in solid earth simulation via investment in the ACcESS Major National Research Facility, the project provides an opportunity for Australia to play a key role in constructing next generation real-time tsunami warning systems.Read moreRead less
Crustal fault system dynamics and earthquake prediction. The greatest challenge in earthquake science is prediction. Yet this possibility remains elusive. However, recent advances using an innovative numerical simulation model provided the first clear evidence for an underlying physical mechanism for earthquake forecasting, and observational studies have recently identified two independent precursors suggesting that this mechanism operates in the crust. The proposed project will use advanced sim ....Crustal fault system dynamics and earthquake prediction. The greatest challenge in earthquake science is prediction. Yet this possibility remains elusive. However, recent advances using an innovative numerical simulation model provided the first clear evidence for an underlying physical mechanism for earthquake forecasting, and observational studies have recently identified two independent precursors suggesting that this mechanism operates in the crust. The proposed project will use advanced simulation models and an innovative, multidisciplinary approach to obtain an improved understanding of crustal fault system dynamics with the aim of resolving the earthquake prediction question and progressing towards the scientific underpinning needed for intermediate-term earthquake forecasting.Read moreRead less
Micromechanical modelling of fault gouge dynamics: towards an improved fault constitutive relation. The human and economic costs of geological and other particulate media related problems in Australia are staggering. These include geological hazards (e.g. landslides and earthquakes; the Newcastle earthquake cost around $4 billion and 13 lives), to particulate processes prevalent in Australia's major export industries (e.g. coal export valued at $9.3 billion, iron ore at $3.8 billion, and wheat ....Micromechanical modelling of fault gouge dynamics: towards an improved fault constitutive relation. The human and economic costs of geological and other particulate media related problems in Australia are staggering. These include geological hazards (e.g. landslides and earthquakes; the Newcastle earthquake cost around $4 billion and 13 lives), to particulate processes prevalent in Australia's major export industries (e.g. coal export valued at $9.3 billion, iron ore at $3.8 billion, and wheat at $3.4 billion), to Australia's 810,000 km granular paved road network that costs around $5.5 million per day to maintain. The program will deliver new knowledge and advanced analytical and predictive modelling tools capable of fuelling breakthroughs in earthquake forecasting research and industrial innovations.
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