Forecasting and management using imperfect models, with a focus on weather and climate. Research into complex systems is predicted to be the focus of twenty-first century science, since most of the problems of simple systems are solved. Examples include the weather and climate, economies, argriculture, ecologies, the mind and brain, genetics, biochemistry. Confidence in the reliability and usefulness of models will have significant bearing on how these models are used by decision making and how ....Forecasting and management using imperfect models, with a focus on weather and climate. Research into complex systems is predicted to be the focus of twenty-first century science, since most of the problems of simple systems are solved. Examples include the weather and climate, economies, argriculture, ecologies, the mind and brain, genetics, biochemistry. Confidence in the reliability and usefulness of models will have significant bearing on how these models are used by decision making and how the community perceives the value of this science. Specific immediate benefits of the project include better policy and management responses to climate change and servere weather events.Read moreRead less
Synthesis of dynamics, stochastics and information in forecasting and management of complex systems. Research into complex systems is predicted to be the focus of twenty-first century science, since most of the problems of simple systems are solved. Examples include the weather and climate, economies, agriculture, ecologies, the mind and brain, genetics, biochemistry. Confidence in the reliability and usefulness of models will have significant bearing on how these models are used by decision ma ....Synthesis of dynamics, stochastics and information in forecasting and management of complex systems. Research into complex systems is predicted to be the focus of twenty-first century science, since most of the problems of simple systems are solved. Examples include the weather and climate, economies, agriculture, ecologies, the mind and brain, genetics, biochemistry. Confidence in the reliability and usefulness of models will have significant bearing on how these models are used by decision making and how the community perceives the value of this science. Specific immediate benefits of the project include better policy and management responses to climate change and severe weather events.Read moreRead less