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Where will species go? Revolutionising projections of species distributions with climate change. Improving our capacity to predict climate change impacts on biodiversity is a National Research Priority and a priority under the National Biodiversity and Climate Change Action Plan (2004-2007). Our research will revolutionise the field of bioclimatic modelling by enabling the probability of losses/gains in species distributions to be calculated. This will enable policy makers to identify vulnerable ....Where will species go? Revolutionising projections of species distributions with climate change. Improving our capacity to predict climate change impacts on biodiversity is a National Research Priority and a priority under the National Biodiversity and Climate Change Action Plan (2004-2007). Our research will revolutionise the field of bioclimatic modelling by enabling the probability of losses/gains in species distributions to be calculated. This will enable policy makers to identify vulnerable species and provides a strong framework for prioritizing areas for research and monitoring. Our research will interface two disciplines, earth and biological sciences, and establish a new international collaboration that will ensure Australia is at the forefront of a rapidly developing research field. Read moreRead less
Oxygen-18 in water, carbon dioxide, and organic matter: a tool for linking plant biological processes, hydrology and climate change. The globe is warming but pan evaporation is decreasing, because the world is dimming. We do not understand why. Stable, naturally occurring oxygen isotopes in plants (for example, tree rings) and in the carbon dioxide of the atmosphere vary and record climatic changes and physiological responses. Bringing these disparate areas of research together will help us to i ....Oxygen-18 in water, carbon dioxide, and organic matter: a tool for linking plant biological processes, hydrology and climate change. The globe is warming but pan evaporation is decreasing, because the world is dimming. We do not understand why. Stable, naturally occurring oxygen isotopes in plants (for example, tree rings) and in the carbon dioxide of the atmosphere vary and record climatic changes and physiological responses. Bringing these disparate areas of research together will help us to interpret the changes and responses. Such information is needed for planning future water requirements in Australia (agriculture, natural ecosystems, dams) and around the world. The isotopic composition of tree rings and of the atmospheric carbon dioxide is affected by that in water of leaves, and the processes linking them will be studied in detail. Read moreRead less
Sustainable futures of Australian temperate forests: An investigation of coupled carbon, water and energy exchanges from hourly to centennial timescales. Australia's forests are a critical natural resource that must be sustainably managed. We will determine the uptake/release of carbon from old growth and regrowth forests and assess the water budgets of the Melbourne water catchment. We aim to understand the current cycles of carbon, water and energy and how these may change over time (hours to ....Sustainable futures of Australian temperate forests: An investigation of coupled carbon, water and energy exchanges from hourly to centennial timescales. Australia's forests are a critical natural resource that must be sustainably managed. We will determine the uptake/release of carbon from old growth and regrowth forests and assess the water budgets of the Melbourne water catchment. We aim to understand the current cycles of carbon, water and energy and how these may change over time (hours to centuries). We will integrate our observations with state-of-the-art models to improve our predictions of how forests will respond to change. This will aid our management of forests and forested catchments to ensure sustainable and viable water resources and optimise carbon sequestration.Read moreRead less
Patterns and processes of carbon and water budgets across northern Australian landscapes: From point to region. Quantifying carbon sources and sinks and understanding the underlying processes are pre-requisites to informed policy decisions, especially as nations seek to develop strategies to manage carbon emissions and sequestration. Australia is unique because of its poor soils and high climate variability and is likely to have patterns and process of carbon that are globally different. We fo ....Patterns and processes of carbon and water budgets across northern Australian landscapes: From point to region. Quantifying carbon sources and sinks and understanding the underlying processes are pre-requisites to informed policy decisions, especially as nations seek to develop strategies to manage carbon emissions and sequestration. Australia is unique because of its poor soils and high climate variability and is likely to have patterns and process of carbon that are globally different. We focus on Australia's Top-End region, but will develop tools/methods that can be applied to other important Australian hot-spots. This project will support the existing National Carbon Accounting System by providing new information on processes and spatial variability and regional budgets of carbon and water budgets that underpin our international commitments.Read moreRead less
Variability in El Niño frequency and intensity over the past 4000 years. Fossil corals contain a rich archive of past climate variability for tropical oceans which can extend the limited instrumental data and increase our understanding of climate sensitivity. El Niño variations in the Pacific have far-reaching impacts on Australian climate, and this project will reconstruct variations in the past in order to better forecast climate sensitivity in the future. It focuses on Christmas Island whic ....Variability in El Niño frequency and intensity over the past 4000 years. Fossil corals contain a rich archive of past climate variability for tropical oceans which can extend the limited instrumental data and increase our understanding of climate sensitivity. El Niño variations in the Pacific have far-reaching impacts on Australian climate, and this project will reconstruct variations in the past in order to better forecast climate sensitivity in the future. It focuses on Christmas Island which is the optimal site to capture El Niño variability at several different time scales, and will lead to a better understanding of atmospheric and oceanic factors that have caused climate variability.Read moreRead less
Modelling the impact of simulated warming on marine microbial production of dimethylsulphide on a global scale. The ultimate goal of Earth systems science is to understand the planet's functioning well enough to explain past changes (eg ice ages) and to predict future states of the system (eg the magnitude of greenhouse warming). This is possible only if the climate system can be accurately modelled. This project aims to examine the effect of simulated climate change on the global production of ....Modelling the impact of simulated warming on marine microbial production of dimethylsulphide on a global scale. The ultimate goal of Earth systems science is to understand the planet's functioning well enough to explain past changes (eg ice ages) and to predict future states of the system (eg the magnitude of greenhouse warming). This is possible only if the climate system can be accurately modelled. This project aims to examine the effect of simulated climate change on the global production of dimethylsulphide (DMS) by marine microbial ecosystems. DMS has been hypothesised as an important biogenic feedback on global warming.
This work will provide the first ecosystem modelling estimates of the
global radiative forcing due to DMS and thus decrease the uncertainty in current climate projections.Read moreRead less