Spatio-Temporal Statistics and its Application to Remote Sensing. By their very nature, environmental processes involve strong spatial and temporal variability. Inferring cause-effect relationships requires the incorporation of spatial and temporal dependence in the statistical models. The aims of this project are to develop mass-balanced hierarchical spatio-temporal statistical models, new loss functions that are relevant to multivariate processes, and optimal estimators obtained from the hiera ....Spatio-Temporal Statistics and its Application to Remote Sensing. By their very nature, environmental processes involve strong spatial and temporal variability. Inferring cause-effect relationships requires the incorporation of spatial and temporal dependence in the statistical models. The aims of this project are to develop mass-balanced hierarchical spatio-temporal statistical models, new loss functions that are relevant to multivariate processes, and optimal estimators obtained from the hierarchical model's predictive distribution. These methodologies are intended to be applied to the estimation of near-surface fluxes of atmospheric carbon dioxide, using massive remote sensing datasets from satellites and other data sources.Read moreRead less
Trans-dimensional and Approximate Bayesian Computation. Many applied scientists in Australia, particularly those in the biological, medical and environmental sciences are now interested in incorporating Bayesian statistical methodologies into their research.
The development of more generic and efficient Bayesian statistical methods will not only benefit applied statisticians but also the more occasional users of statistics in other disciplinary areas. The success of this project will enhance Au ....Trans-dimensional and Approximate Bayesian Computation. Many applied scientists in Australia, particularly those in the biological, medical and environmental sciences are now interested in incorporating Bayesian statistical methodologies into their research.
The development of more generic and efficient Bayesian statistical methods will not only benefit applied statisticians but also the more occasional users of statistics in other disciplinary areas. The success of this project will enhance Australia's reputation as a strong contributor to the development of Bayesian methodologies. Two PhD students will also be provided training in computational Bayesian statistics.Read moreRead less
Choice experiments to improve predictive power for policy makers. In the current economic climate, Australian governments will benefit from superior choice experiments which will lead to improved prediction of the potential public benefit of proposed policy changes. The choice experiments developed here will have a substantial effect on the development of strategies for the promotion and maintenance of a strong health care system as well as being relevant to the maintenance of a sustainable envi ....Choice experiments to improve predictive power for policy makers. In the current economic climate, Australian governments will benefit from superior choice experiments which will lead to improved prediction of the potential public benefit of proposed policy changes. The choice experiments developed here will have a substantial effect on the development of strategies for the promotion and maintenance of a strong health care system as well as being relevant to the maintenance of a sustainable environment, both designated National Research Priority areas. The innovative research proposed will tap into and build strong links with international research networks, advancing Australia's research reputation and providing a rich environment for the training of research graduates.Read moreRead less
New Bayesian methodology for understanding complex systems using hidden Markov models and expert opinion, environmental, robotics and genomics applications. This project aims to merge four areas of intense international interest in describing complex systems: hidden Markov models and mixtures, semi-parametric and nonparametric approaches, true combination of expert opinion with data, and new Bayesian computational methods based on perfect sampling and particle sampling. The project will signific ....New Bayesian methodology for understanding complex systems using hidden Markov models and expert opinion, environmental, robotics and genomics applications. This project aims to merge four areas of intense international interest in describing complex systems: hidden Markov models and mixtures, semi-parametric and nonparametric approaches, true combination of expert opinion with data, and new Bayesian computational methods based on perfect sampling and particle sampling. The project will significantly contribute to statistical methodology and its ability to inform about real-world problems. A strong focus on applications to genomics, robotics and environmental modelling will bring immediate research and monetary benefit for industry. Expected outcomes include enhanced cross-disciplinary and international linkages, publications, industry-funded projects and highly trained graduates.Read moreRead less
Leaves in 3D: photosynthesis and water-use efficiency. This project aims to develop leaf anatomical ideotypes with improved photosynthesis and water-use efficiency for wheat, rice, chickpea and cotton using novel three dimensional imaging and modelling techniques. This project expects to generate new understanding of the role of leaf anatomy on leaf function. Expected outcomes of this project include the world's first 3D spatially-explicit, anatomically accurate model of leaves of crop plants to ....Leaves in 3D: photosynthesis and water-use efficiency. This project aims to develop leaf anatomical ideotypes with improved photosynthesis and water-use efficiency for wheat, rice, chickpea and cotton using novel three dimensional imaging and modelling techniques. This project expects to generate new understanding of the role of leaf anatomy on leaf function. Expected outcomes of this project include the world's first 3D spatially-explicit, anatomically accurate model of leaves of crop plants to allow virtual experiments identifying optimized anatomy for improved photosynthetic performance. Benefits to the agricultural industry include increased crop productivity and water-use efficiency to meet future global food demand and to make the most of Australia's limited water resourcesRead moreRead less
New approaches to predictive modelling of high-dimensional count data to study climate impacts on ecological communities. This project will lay methodological foundations for future studies of potential impacts of climate change on ecological communities. A flexible new toolset of predictive modelling approaches will be developed, capable of handling all common data types, which fit easy-to-interpret models, and which are more powerful than currently used methods.
Principled statistical methods for high-dimensional correlation networks. This project aims to develop a novel and principled approach for building correlation networks. Correlation networks aim to identify the most significant associations present in modern massive datasets, and have numerous applications, ranging from the biomedical and environmental sciences to the social sciences. Nodes of such networks represent features, and edges represent associations, or the lack thereof. Current method ....Principled statistical methods for high-dimensional correlation networks. This project aims to develop a novel and principled approach for building correlation networks. Correlation networks aim to identify the most significant associations present in modern massive datasets, and have numerous applications, ranging from the biomedical and environmental sciences to the social sciences. Nodes of such networks represent features, and edges represent associations, or the lack thereof. Current methods are not readily scalable to modern ultra-high dimensional settings, and do not account for uncertainty in the estimated associations. This project will develop a principled, highly scalable methodology for building such networks, which incorporates uncertainty quantification. Emphasis is placed on modern ultra-high dimensional settings in which differentiating a true correlation from a spurious one is a notoriously difficult task.Read moreRead less
New methods for modelling real-world extremes. This project aims to develop new theory and methods for analysing and predicting extreme values observed in real-world processes. Many existing techniques are limited by convenient mathematical assumptions that commonly do not hold in practice: dependence at asymptotic levels, process stationarity, and that the observed data are direct measurements of the process of interest. As a result, using these techniques may produce undesirable results. Expec ....New methods for modelling real-world extremes. This project aims to develop new theory and methods for analysing and predicting extreme values observed in real-world processes. Many existing techniques are limited by convenient mathematical assumptions that commonly do not hold in practice: dependence at asymptotic levels, process stationarity, and that the observed data are direct measurements of the process of interest. As a result, using these techniques may produce undesirable results. Expected outcomes of this project include theoretically justified data analysis techniques that can accurately model extreme values seen in the real world. Project benefits include more realistic analyses of nationally important applications in climate, bushfire insurance risk, and anomaly detection.Read moreRead less
Building models for complex data. The purpose of this project is to better understand the process of building statistical models and construct new methods for building models for particular kinds of complex data. The expected outcomes include a new way of thinking about model building and practical tools which together enable us to get more value out of analysing complex data.
Semiparametric Regression for Streaming Data. Semiparametric regression converts large and complex data-sets into interpretable summaries from which sound decisions can be made. This project tackles semiparametric regression analysis of streaming data - where the data are so voluminous that they may not be storable in standard computer memory and therefore need to be processed rapidly on arrival and then discarded. Effective solutions necessitate a rethinking of semi-parametric regression and ne ....Semiparametric Regression for Streaming Data. Semiparametric regression converts large and complex data-sets into interpretable summaries from which sound decisions can be made. This project tackles semiparametric regression analysis of streaming data - where the data are so voluminous that they may not be storable in standard computer memory and therefore need to be processed rapidly on arrival and then discarded. Effective solutions necessitate a rethinking of semi-parametric regression and new approaches will be developed. The project will also develop novel theory and methodology for robotics applications. It will allow analysis of streaming and massive data sets that would not be possible using currently available methods, opening up new applications.Read moreRead less